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Canberra vs Hills Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 88-65
23-14 20-22 19-17 26-12
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#8
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game76.6
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Canberra v Hills Hornets
29 Jul 2023
CANB90
HILL69
08 Jul 2023
CANB88
HILL65
07 May 2022
CANB95
HILL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hills Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#5
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A06/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H13/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H20/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A27/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H30/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
57-99
57
99
-42
A08/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H17/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H24/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
108-71
108
71
+37
A01/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
27-19
24-25
13-24
19-17
21-19
22-10
28-22
17-19
24-22
28-9
30-23
35-21
18-16
25-25
17-14
15-16
25-26
7-21
25-18
19-12
34-23
30-25
18-25
11-24
19-24
12-31
15-20
16-14
31-23
21-25
23-16
35-24
16-18
13-15
19-17
37-20
21-16
22-20
28-15
169.1Avg total
88.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.076.8161.8+8.267%
Season at home (8)88.274.0162.2+14.275%
Season away (10)82.479.1161.5+3.360%
Last 10 (10)88.980.2169.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)88.081.4169.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.590.0154.5-25.50%
vs Similar (8)85.280.0165.2+5.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.477.4168.8+14.080%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A23/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H29/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H06/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H13/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H27/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H03/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H17/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
95-57
95
57
+38
A24/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H01/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
23-17
20-16
18-15
13-28
28-15
20-17
21-16
24-28
19-24
20-15
25-20
18-16
15-15
22-24
24-13
25-23
31-25
20-21
12-26
28-12
21-20
18-10
26-19
24-26
28-11
15-27
21-29
23-18
22-21
23-24
18-16
22-10
32-14
23-16
18-17
23-21
19-18
17-16
14-16
159.8Avg total
84.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.976.6158.5+5.365%
Season at home (10)83.777.6161.3+6.170%
Season away (7)79.375.1154.4+4.157%
Last 10 (10)84.275.6159.8+8.680%
Last 5 (5)87.072.2159.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.889.2171.0-7.525%
vs Similar (15)74.778.1152.8-3.340%
vs Weaker (11)87.771.7159.5+16.0100%
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
CanberraHills Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A06/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A27/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H30/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A08/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H17/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H24/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A01/07
NBL1 East
87.1Avg total
46.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.838.883.6+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.937.681.5+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)45.640.185.7+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)46.940.287.1+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.687.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (8)44.640.084.6+4.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.837.883.5+8.070%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H29/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H06/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H13/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H03/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H17/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
54-24
54
24
+30
A24/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/07
NBL1 East
83.0Avg total
44.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.878.3+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.940.080.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)38.037.475.4+0.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.383.0+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.434.282.6+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.847.285.0-9.50%-
vs Similar (15)37.638.776.3-1.133%-
vs Weaker (11)42.835.978.7+6.973%-
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Canberra wins
0
Hills Hornets wins
DateGameScore
02/07/22Hills Hornets v Canberra79-102
07/05/22Canberra v Hills Hornets95-83
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/23AManly W.108-71
24/06/23HNorths Bears83-74
17/06/23HIllawarra Hawks 291-78
08/06/23ABA CoE57-99
03/06/23HPenrith P.101-85
30/05/23HBA CoE72-81
27/05/23ABankstown Bruins95-76
20/05/23HInner West Bulls99-73
13/05/23HSydney Comets90-68
06/05/23ANorths Bears93-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders73-71
24/06/23APenrith P.95-57
17/06/23HBankstown Bruins86-79
03/06/23HNorths Bears88-93
27/05/23HHornsby S.93-61
20/05/23ASutherland Sharks88-95
13/05/23HManly W.79-68
06/05/23HIllawarra Hawks 288-87
29/04/23HMaitland M.82-76
23/04/23ANewcastle Falcons70-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game85.088.282.4
Allowed / game76.874.079.1
Point differential+8.2+14.2+3.3
Avg total161.8162.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %65%70%57%
Points / game81.983.779.3
Allowed / game76.677.675.1
Point differential+5.3+6.1+4.1
Avg total158.5161.3154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE2019195%101.076.3+24.8
2 Inner West Bulls1815383%90.677.8+12.8
3 Norths Bears1913668%84.579.4+5.2
4 Sutherland Sharks1913668%87.582.6+4.9
5 Maitland M.1812667%89.881.3+8.5
6 Canberra1812667%85.076.8+8.2
7 Hills Hornets1711665%81.976.6+5.3
8 Newcastle Falcons1811761%78.173.2+4.8
9 Illawarra Hawks 2189950%87.382.9+4.3
10 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1991047%88.288.2-0.1
11 Sydney Comets1991047%81.682.8-1.2
12 Bankstown Bruins1841422%74.687.7-13.2
13 Manly W.1941521%70.585.6-15.1
14 Penrith P.1731418%69.792.9-23.2
15 Central Coast Crusaders1831517%76.987.6-10.7
16 Hornsby S.190190%65.683.3-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra2320192688
Hills Hornets1422171265
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