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Canberra vs Penrith P. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 101-85
19-12 34-23 30-25 18-25
Position#4
Record8-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#15
Record3-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game90.9
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Canberra v Penrith P.
27 Apr 2025
CANB108
PENR72
03 Jun 2023
CANB101
PENR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
88-102
88
102
-14
A26/03
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A01/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H15/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A22/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
92-54
92
54
+38
A23/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A06/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H13/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H20/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A27/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H30/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
27-28
14-25
22-24
10-15
26-19
20-23
17-14
29-9
24-21
25-12
22-16
12-18
24-7
5-18
20-17
25-19
24-7
24-11
19-17
29-29
27-19
24-25
13-24
19-17
21-19
22-10
28-22
17-19
24-22
28-9
30-23
35-21
18-16
25-25
17-14
15-16
25-26
7-21
25-18
160.3Avg total
86.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.875.1158.9+8.862%
Season at home (5)86.271.0157.2+15.260%
Season away (8)82.477.6160.0+4.862%
Last 10 (10)86.374.0160.3+12.370%
Last 5 (5)89.879.0168.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.081.0153.0-9.00%
vs Similar (6)84.781.3166.0+3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.878.3168.0+11.574%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A02/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
67-107
67
107
-40
A14/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
62-113
62
113
-51
A15/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
90-71
90
71
+19
A22/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
54-92
54
92
-38
H23/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A29/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H06/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H13/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H20/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A27/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
18-22
17-19
26-21
21-32
12-30
18-19
16-26
19-41
18-26
15-23
10-23
30-23
23-17
19-20
18-11
19-25
7-24
11-24
17-19
13-21
17-17
18-13
33-29
22-16
11-20
18-10
20-23
–
–
–
–
27-21
6-23
17-21
19-16
15-23
16-21
20-23
28-25
160.0Avg total
72.4Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.490.9159.3-22.523%
Season at home (4)67.581.8149.2-14.225%
Season away (9)68.895.0163.8-26.222%
Last 10 (10)72.487.6160.0-15.230%
Last 5 (5)75.281.4156.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.490.9159.3-22.523%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
CanberraPenrith P.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A26/03
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H15/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A22/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A23/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A06/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A27/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H30/05
NBL1 East
82.8Avg total
45.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.083.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.680.9+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)45.739.585.2+6.373%-
Last 10 (10)45.637.282.8+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.886.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.042.082.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.240.283.3+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.438.683.0+5.865%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A02/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
33-62
33
62
-29
A14/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A15/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A22/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H23/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A29/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H06/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H20/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/05
NBL1 East
81.6Avg total
34.2Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)32.749.382.0-16.78%-
Last 30 at home (3)30.743.073.7-12.30%-
Last 30 away (9)33.351.484.8-18.111%-
Last 10 (9)34.247.381.6-13.111%-
Last 5 (5)30.642.272.8-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.749.382.0-16.78%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Canberra wins
0
Penrith P. wins
DateGameScore
23/04/23Penrith P. v Canberra54-92
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/23HBA CoE72-81
27/05/23ABankstown Bruins95-76
20/05/23HInner West Bulls99-73
13/05/23HSydney Comets90-68
06/05/23ANorths Bears93-97
23/04/23APenrith P.92-54
22/04/23AHornsby S.61-60
15/04/23HBankstown Bruins100-58
01/04/23ASutherland Sharks73-71
26/03/23ACentral Coast Crusaders88-102
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/23ASutherland Sharks79-92
20/05/23HManly W.69-81
13/05/23HBankstown Bruins76-85
06/05/23HHornsby S.71-69
29/04/23AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits81-80
23/04/23HCanberra54-92
22/04/23AManly W.90-71
15/04/23ANorths Bears62-113
14/04/23AHills Hornets67-107
02/04/23ACentral Coast Crusaders75-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%60%62%
Points / game83.886.282.4
Allowed / game75.171.077.6
Point differential+8.8+15.2+4.8
Avg total158.9157.2160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL23%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %23%25%22%
Points / game68.467.568.8
Allowed / game90.981.895.0
Point differential-22.5-14.2-26.2
Avg total159.3149.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1514193%100.475.9+24.5
2 Inner West Bulls1412286%90.377.8+12.5
3 Norths Bears1411379%86.177.8+8.3
4 Sutherland Sharks1410471%88.482.3+6.1
5 Newcastle Falcons128467%80.770.7+10.0
6 Canberra138562%83.875.1+8.8
7 Hills Hornets148657%81.378.2+3.1
8 Maitland M.137654%87.582.7+4.8
9 Albury-Wodonga Bandits147750%87.286.5+0.7
10 Illawarra Hawks 2136746%86.283.8+2.3
11 Sydney Comets146843%82.283.7-1.5
12 Central Coast Crusaders123925%74.888.2-13.4
13 Bankstown Bruins1331023%71.685.4-13.8
14 Penrith P.1331023%68.490.9-22.5
15 Manly W.1421214%69.384.2-14.9
16 Hornsby S.140140%66.384.9-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra19343018101
Penrith P.1223252585
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