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Hills Hornets vs Norths Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 88-93
24-26 28-11 15-27 21-29
Position#8
Record8-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#5
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game77.0
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Hills Hornets v Norths Bears
03 May 2025
HILL77
NORT76
13 Jul 2024
HILL102
NORT74
03 Jun 2023
HILL88
NORT93
30 Jul 2022
HILL77
NORT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hills Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norths Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
77-104
77
104
-27
H01/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
107-67
107
67
+40
H14/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A15/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A22/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A23/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H29/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H06/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H13/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H27/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
11-22
22-31
22-24
32-21
30-12
19-18
26-16
26-14
11-27
17-8
21-23
19-13
28-12
18-24
16-20
9-21
23-17
20-16
18-15
13-28
28-15
20-17
21-16
24-28
19-24
20-15
25-20
18-16
15-15
22-24
24-13
25-23
31-25
20-21
12-26
28-12
21-20
18-10
26-19
160.8Avg total
84.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.877.1157.8+3.762%
Season at home (7)84.376.1160.4+8.171%
Season away (6)76.778.2154.8-1.550%
Last 10 (10)84.076.8160.8+7.280%
Last 5 (5)86.077.4163.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.090.4172.4-8.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.678.6155.2-2.050%
vs Weaker (9)85.471.6157.0+13.989%
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#1
L
68-114
68
114
-46
A01/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H14/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
113-62
113
62
+51
H15/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H21/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H22/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H29/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H06/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A13/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H20/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H27/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
8-29
15-28
20-30
13-10
18-15
20-14
27-16
41-19
26-18
23-15
23-10
25-21
17-17
23-15
18-24
13-19
12-28
24-18
20-16
22-22
20-15
29-17
30-21
29-29
19-27
25-24
24-13
19-5
18-14
21-28
29-30
18-20
24-18
26-19
21-21
16-16
13-20
20-16
13-21
163.2Avg total
84.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.577.0162.5+8.577%
Season at home (8)86.574.2160.8+12.275%
Season away (5)84.081.4165.4+2.680%
Last 10 (10)84.778.5163.2+6.270%
Last 5 (5)87.279.2166.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.890.9166.7-15.133%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.677.3159.9+5.275%
vs Weaker (9)89.173.4162.6+15.789%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
Hills HornetsNorths Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H01/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H14/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A15/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A22/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H29/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H06/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H13/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/05
NBL1 East
82.5Avg total
43.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.278.0-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.340.579.8-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.138.076.1+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.282.5+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.285.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.245.683.8-7.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.238.878.0+0.438%-
vs Weaker (9)38.236.474.7+1.856%-
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A01/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H14/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
67-37
67
37
+30
H15/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H21/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H22/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H06/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
37-19
37
19
+18
A13/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H20/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H27/05
NBL1 East
78.5Avg total
39.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.678.6+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.338.377.6+1.062%-
Last 30 away (14)40.639.079.6+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.978.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.276.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.640.377.9-2.856%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.039.078.0+0.067%-
vs Weaker (9)43.636.480.0+7.167%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hills Hornets wins
2
Norths Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/23HHornsby S.93-61
20/05/23ASutherland Sharks88-95
13/05/23HManly W.79-68
06/05/23HIllawarra Hawks 288-87
29/04/23HMaitland M.82-76
23/04/23ANewcastle Falcons70-69
22/04/23ANorths Bears81-69
15/04/23ACentral Coast Crusaders75-72
14/04/23HPenrith P.107-67
01/04/23HNewcastle Falcons77-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/23HNewcastle Falcons62-73
20/05/23HCentral Coast Crusaders89-78
13/05/23AHornsby S.87-77
06/05/23HCanberra97-93
29/04/23HIllawarra Hawks 2101-75
22/04/23HHills Hornets69-81
21/04/23HBA CoE83-77
15/04/23HPenrith P.113-62
14/04/23HManly W.78-55
01/04/23ABA CoE68-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game80.884.376.7
Allowed / game77.176.178.2
Point differential+3.7+8.1-1.5
Avg total157.8160.4154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Norths Bears
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%75%80%
Points / game85.586.584.0
Allowed / game77.074.281.4
Point differential+8.5+12.2+2.6
Avg total162.5160.8165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1514193%100.475.9+24.5
2 Inner West Bulls1311285%89.278.3+10.9
3 Norths Bears1310377%85.577.0+8.5
4 Sutherland Sharks1410471%88.482.3+6.1
5 Newcastle Falcons128467%80.770.7+10.0
6 Canberra138562%83.875.1+8.8
7 Hills Hornets138562%80.877.1+3.7
8 Maitland M.137654%87.582.7+4.8
9 Albury-Wodonga Bandits147750%87.286.5+0.7
10 Illawarra Hawks 2136746%86.283.8+2.3
11 Sydney Comets136746%83.182.2+0.9
12 Central Coast Crusaders123925%74.888.2-13.4
13 Bankstown Bruins1331023%71.685.4-13.8
14 Penrith P.1331023%68.490.9-22.5
15 Manly W.1421214%69.384.2-14.9
16 Hornsby S.140140%66.384.9-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hills Hornets2428152188
Norths Bears2611272993
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