Canberra vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jul 2017

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 69-113

20-32 12-23 21-29 16-29

Position#14

Record3-15

FormLLWLW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game90.1

Canberra

Mt Gambier 🏆

Position#1

Record15-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game90.5

Allowed / game79.7

SEABL

Other2017

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

#11

107-86

107

+21

H20/05

SEABL

Geelong

94-102

102

-8

H27/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

86-88

-2

H02/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

77-98

-21

A03/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

62-79

-17

H17/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

72-82

-10

A23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

70-104

104

-34

A24/06

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

81-77

A30/06

SEABL

Nunawading

80-97

-17

H01/07

SEABL

Bendigo

111-107 OT

111

107

H08/07

SEABL

28-26

18-22

36-17

25-21

26-29

24-34

31-17

13-22

21-28

21-17

27-24

17-19

27-31

17-19

17-23

16-25

12-15

14-18

14-22

22-24

18-23

19-20

20-20

15-19

18-32

14-25

14-24

24-23

23-12

17-24

16-24

25-17

23-25

18-22

17-28

22-22

22-27

23-18

16-27

32-21

176.0Avg total

84.0Scored

92.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.4	90.1	170.5	-9.7	17%
Season at home (10)	84.1	90.3	174.4	-6.2	20%
Season away (8)	75.8	89.9	165.6	-14.1	12%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	92.0	176.0	-8.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	93.4	176.2	-10.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	82.3	92.7	174.9	-10.4	21%
vs Similar (9)	81.2	82.6	163.8	-1.3	44%
vs Weaker (2)	79.0	73.0	152.0	+6.0	100%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

84-81

A07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

71-92

-21

A13/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

99-70

+29

H19/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-66

+16

H26/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

85-70

+15

H02/06

SEABL

Geelong

95-72

+23

A17/06

SEABL

Dandenong

77-91

-14

A18/06

SEABL

Geelong

104-94

104

+10

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

100-75

100

+25

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

92-81

+11

H07/07

SEABL

16-21

26-22

21-24

21-14

12-30

16-34

17-11

26-17

22-23

28-13

26-24

23-10

22-10

15-16

22-29

23-11

27-22

17-12

23-24

18-12

23-14

17-13

31-26

24-19

20-21

19-19

23-28

15-23

41-27

35-21

6-19

22-27

25-27

35-11

13-19

27-18

23-19

24-18

20-21

25-23

168.1Avg total

88.9Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	90.5	79.7	170.2	+10.8	88%
Season at home (10)	94.5	77.6	172.1	+16.9	100%
Season away (7)	84.9	82.7	167.6	+2.1	71%
Last 10 (10)	88.9	79.2	168.1	+9.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	82.6	176.2	+11.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	79.0	72.0	151.0	+7.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	91.4	77.7	169.1	+13.7	89%

This opponent (Canberra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CanberraMt Gambier

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	23.4	42.7	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.7	22.7	41.4	-4.1	17%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.4	24.3	44.8	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	24.8	46.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.8	44.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.9	24.5	44.4	-4.5	16%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.8	22.3	40.1	-4.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.3	19.2	44.5	+6.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	26.8	18.1	44.8	+8.7	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.4	44.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.6	48.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	25.7	19.2	44.9	+6.5	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.9	40.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.5	22.1	41.5	-2.6	32%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	23.5	38.0	-9.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.9	17.6	41.6	+6.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	19.2	38.3	+0.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	17.9	41.1	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	16.4	42.4	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.7	15.0	33.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.2	18.7	40.9	+3.6	63%	-

CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

#11

46-48

-2

H20/05

SEABL

Geelong

50-63

-13

H27/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

42-45

-3

H02/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

44-50

-6

A03/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

26-33

-7

H17/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

37-43

-6

A23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

32-57

-25

A24/06

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

40-36

A30/06

SEABL

Nunawading

41-47

-6

H01/07

SEABL

Bendigo

45-45

H08/07

SEABL

87.0Avg total

40.3Scored

46.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	44.3	83.0	-5.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	37.8	42.9	80.7	-5.2	22%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.0	46.3	86.3	-6.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	46.7	87.0	-6.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	45.6	84.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.4	46.5	85.9	-7.1	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.8	40.3	78.1	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.5	41.0	76.5	-5.5	0%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

42-43

-1

A07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

28-64

-36

A13/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

50-36

+14

H19/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

37-26

+11

H26/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

44-34

+10

H02/06

SEABL

Geelong

40-27

+13

A17/06

SEABL

Dandenong

39-40

-1

A18/06

SEABL

Geelong

76-48

+28

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

60-38

+22

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

47-37

+10

H07/07

SEABL

85.6Avg total

46.3Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	37.5	84.7	+9.7	87%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	50.7	35.7	86.4	+15.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.6	39.8	82.5	+2.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	39.3	85.6	+7.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.4	38.0	90.4	+14.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	41.0	34.3	75.3	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	47.9	37.9	85.7	+10.0	89%	-

This opponent (Canberra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.9	42.4	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.7	22.4	40.1	-4.8	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	24.6	41.2	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.1	23.6	44.6	-2.5	26%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	13.5	39.0	+12.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.5	20.6	44.2	+2.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.7	16.7	35.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.1	21.1	43.3	+1.0	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.8	21.8	42.7	-1.0	37%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.4	20.4	43.9	+3.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.4	18.8	40.1	+2.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	43.1	85.0	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.5	42.2	86.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.9	44.5	82.4	-6.6	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	43.9	85.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	45.0	85.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	41.9	45.4	87.3	-3.5	26%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	40.8	82.2	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.5	32.0	75.5	+11.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	39.7	82.6	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.1	39.9	83.0	+3.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	39.4	82.2	+3.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	39.9	82.5	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	44.6	85.8	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	38.0	37.7	75.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.5	39.9	83.4	+3.6	63%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Canberra wins

Mt Gambier wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/17	Mt Gambier v Canberra	106-88
01/04/16	Mt Gambier v Canberra	81-71
17/04/15	Mt Gambier v Canberra	82-57

Canberralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/07/17	H	Bendigo	111-107 OT
01/07/17	H	Nunawading	80-97
30/06/17	A	BA CoE	81-77
24/06/17	A	Ballarat	70-104
23/06/17	A	Frankston	72-82
17/06/17	H	NW Tasmania	62-79
03/06/17	A	Albury	77-98
02/06/17	H	BA CoE	86-88
27/05/17	H	Geelong	94-102
20/05/17	H	Albury	107-86

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/07/17	H	Nunawading	92-81
01/07/17	H	Ballarat	100-75
23/06/17	H	Geelong	104-94
18/06/17	A	Dandenong	77-91
17/06/17	A	Geelong	95-72
02/06/17	H	Southern Sabres	85-70
26/05/17	H	Kilsyth	82-66
19/05/17	H	Frankston	99-70
13/05/17	A	Bendigo	71-92
07/05/17	A	Nunawading	84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra

SEABL 2017

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	17%
Home	LLLLW	20%
Away	LLLLW	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	17%	20%	12%
Points / game	80.4	84.1	75.8
Allowed / game	90.1	90.3	89.9
Point differential	-9.7	-6.2	-14.1
Avg total	170.5	174.4	165.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	10%	0%

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2017

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWL	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	88%	100%	71%
Points / game	90.5	94.5	84.9
Allowed / game	79.7	77.6	82.7
Point differential	+10.8	+16.9	+2.1
Avg total	170.2	172.1	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	90%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	17	15	2	88%	90.5	79.7	+10.8
2	Nunawading	19	14	5	74%	90.1	82.2	+7.9
3	Dandenong	18	12	6	67%	81.3	78.1	+3.3
4	Ballarat	19	12	7	63%	88.0	84.1	+3.9
5	Hobart Chargers	18	11	7	61%	94.4	81.8	+12.7
6	Geelong	20	12	8	60%	86.2	82.0	+4.3
7	NW Tasmania	19	10	9	53%	81.6	82.5	-0.9
8	Southern Sabres	19	9	10	47%	82.2	83.6	-1.4
9	Bendigo	20	9	11	45%	87.2	86.7	+0.5
10	Albury	20	9	11	45%	92.0	93.0	-1.0
11	Kilsyth	20	8	12	40%	78.1	81.1	-3.0
12	Frankston	20	7	13	35%	81.0	87.6	-6.7
13	Melbourne Tigers	18	5	13	28%	76.2	89.4	-13.2
14	BA CoE	11	2	9	18%	78.5	89.5	-11.0
15	Canberra	18	3	15	17%	80.4	90.1	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Canberra	20	12	21	16	69
Mt Gambier	32	23	29	29	113

← all games of the day

Canberra vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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