Mt Gambier vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jun 2017

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 104-94

41-27 35-21 6-19 22-27

Position#1

Record12-2

FormWWWWL

Points / game88.8

Allowed / game78.9

Mt Gambier 🏆

Geelong

Position#4

Record10-5

FormLWWWL

Points / game85.9

Allowed / game79.2

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

91-79

+12

A22/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

111-87

111

+24

H28/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

89-81

A06/05

SEABL

Nunawading

84-81

A07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

71-92

-21

A13/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

99-70

+29

H19/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-66

+16

H26/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

85-70

+15

H02/06

SEABL

Geelong

95-72

+23

A17/06

SEABL

Dandenong

77-91

-14

A18/06

SEABL

33-14

13-22

29-22

16-21

31-14

30-20

24-22

26-31

23-19

19-15

31-30

16-17

16-21

26-22

21-24

21-14

12-30

16-34

17-11

26-17

22-23

28-13

26-24

23-10

22-10

15-16

22-29

23-11

27-22

17-12

23-24

18-12

23-14

17-13

31-26

24-19

20-21

19-19

23-28

15-23

167.3Avg total

88.4Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	88.8	78.9	167.7	+9.9	86%
Season at home (7)	92.7	75.1	167.9	+17.6	100%
Season away (7)	84.9	82.7	167.6	+2.1	71%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	78.9	167.3	+9.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	73.8	161.4	+13.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	76.6	74.2	150.8	+2.4	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	91.1	77.2	168.3	+14.0	88%

This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#13

83-80

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

80-84

-4

A29/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

89-59

+30

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

101-77

101

+24

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

83-77

H20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

87-92

-5

H26/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

102-94

102

A27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

79-73

A03/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-77

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

72-95

-23

H17/06

SEABL

23-20

24-17

17-15

19-28

21-22

22-18

15-19

22-25

23-23

23-10

19-12

24-14

16-17

28-16

35-22

22-22

32-23

21-22

16-14

14-18

24-27

25-19

17-22

21-24

29-26

34-24

17-31

22-13

18-24

22-18

14-13

25-18

29-19

21-24

15-16

17-18

14-23

13-17

26-31

19-24

166.6Avg total

85.8Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	85.9	79.2	165.1	+6.7	67%
Season at home (7)	84.3	77.4	161.7	+6.9	57%
Season away (8)	87.2	80.8	168.0	+6.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	80.8	166.6	+5.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	86.2	170.6	-1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	82.3	90.7	173.0	-8.3	33%
vs Similar (5)	77.6	80.0	157.6	-2.4	40%
vs Weaker (22)	90.0	80.3	170.3	+9.7	68%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	18.7	43.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.9	17.0	42.9	+8.9	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.8	41.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	25.1	18.6	43.7	+6.4	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.4	44.0	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	22.0	45.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.4	45.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.8	46.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.3	28.3	47.7	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.4	20.6	45.0	+3.7	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.4	39.0	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.9	40.5	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	14.6	33.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.8	15.6	33.4	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.2	18.9	40.2	+2.3	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.3	41.1	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	18.5	41.8	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (22)	23.8	19.9	43.7	+3.9	73%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

46-36

+10

A22/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

61-34

+27

H28/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

42-34

A06/05

SEABL

Nunawading

42-43

-1

A07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

28-64

-36

A13/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

50-36

+14

H19/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

37-26

+11

H26/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

44-34

+10

H02/06

SEABL

Geelong

40-27

+13

A17/06

SEABL

Dandenong

39-40

-1

A18/06

SEABL

80.3Avg total

42.9Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	37.1	82.2	+8.0	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.5	34.9	83.4	+13.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	39.2	80.9	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	37.4	80.3	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	32.6	74.6	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	39.0	34.6	73.6	+4.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	46.3	37.6	83.9	+8.8	88%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#13

47-37

+10

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

43-40

A29/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

46-33

+13

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

44-33

+11

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

53-45

H20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

49-46

H26/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

63-50

+13

A27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

40-42

-2

A03/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

50-43

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

27-40

-13

H17/06

SEABL

87.1Avg total

46.2Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	41.3	86.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	41.3	86.8	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.6	41.3	85.9	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	40.9	87.1	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	44.2	90.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.0	47.7	83.7	-11.7	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.8	40.8	77.6	-4.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (22)	48.2	40.5	88.7	+7.6	91%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	21.1	43.5	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	24.0	48.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	26.2	51.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.5	21.4	44.8	+2.1	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.7	39.3	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	24.3	19.7	44.0	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.2	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.3	41.1	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.0	35.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.3	18.2	39.6	+3.1	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	19.7	41.5	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	22.0	23.3	45.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.2	20.4	43.6	+2.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.0	20.2	41.3	+0.8	41%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	39.6	83.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	39.4	84.6	+5.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	39.8	81.8	+2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	41.5	87.0	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	41.2	86.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.8	39.6	84.4	+5.2	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.0	82.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	40.1	81.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	39.9	82.3	+2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.9	79.5	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	42.0	80.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	46.3	43.0	89.3	+3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.8	39.2	80.0	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (22)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
17/06/17	Geelong v Mt Gambier	72-95
15/07/16	Mt Gambier v Geelong	87-98
22/04/16	Geelong v Mt Gambier	74-97
07/08/15	Mt Gambier v Geelong	68-69
20/06/15	Geelong v Mt Gambier	73-94

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/06/17	A	Dandenong	77-91
17/06/17	A	Geelong	95-72
02/06/17	H	Southern Sabres	85-70
26/05/17	H	Kilsyth	82-66
19/05/17	H	Frankston	99-70
13/05/17	A	Bendigo	71-92
07/05/17	A	Nunawading	84-81
06/05/17	A	Southern Sabres	89-81
28/04/17	H	NW Tasmania	111-87
22/04/17	A	Ballarat	91-79

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/06/17	H	Mt Gambier	72-95
04/06/17	A	Kilsyth	82-77
03/06/17	A	Nunawading	79-73
27/05/17	A	Canberra	102-94
26/05/17	H	NW Tasmania	87-92
20/05/17	H	Bendigo	83-77
13/05/17	A	Frankston	101-77
06/05/17	H	Canberra	89-59
29/04/17	A	Southern Sabres	80-84
23/04/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2017

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	86%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWL	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	86%	100%	71%
Points / game	88.8	92.7	84.9
Allowed / game	78.9	75.1	82.7
Point differential	+9.9	+17.6	+2.1
Avg total	167.7	167.9	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	86%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	67%
Home	LWWLL	57%
Away	LWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	67%	57%	75%
Points / game	85.9	84.3	87.2
Allowed / game	79.2	77.4	80.8
Point differential	+6.7	+6.9	+6.5
Avg total	165.1	161.7	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	43%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	14	12	2	86%	88.8	78.9	+9.9
2	Nunawading	16	13	3	81%	90.0	80.8	+9.2
3	Hobart Chargers	15	10	5	67%	97.3	81.7	+15.5
4	Geelong	15	10	5	67%	85.9	79.2	+6.7
5	Ballarat	15	10	5	67%	86.2	82.7	+3.5
6	Dandenong	16	10	6	62%	80.8	78.8	+2.0
7	Bendigo	16	9	7	56%	86.2	82.9	+3.3
8	Albury	15	8	7	53%	93.1	91.8	+1.3
9	NW Tasmania	15	7	8	47%	80.3	82.0	-1.7
10	Southern Sabres	16	7	9	44%	80.2	82.9	-2.6
11	Kilsyth	16	6	10	38%	76.8	81.4	-4.6
12	Frankston	16	4	12	25%	79.1	88.5	-9.4
13	BA CoE	10	2	8	20%	78.6	90.3	-11.7
14	Melbourne Tigers	15	3	12	20%	75.8	91.4	-15.6
15	Canberra	14	1	13	7%	78.9	88.4	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	41	35	6	22	104
Geelong	27	21	19	27	94

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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