Canberra vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 May 2017

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 94-102

26-29 24-34 31-17 13-22

Position#14

Record1-8

FormLLLLW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game87.6

Canberra

Geelong 🏆

Position#4

Record7-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game77.2

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Canberra v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

#10

86-105

105

-19

A14/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

78-94

-16

H25/03

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-89

-7

H01/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

88-106

106

-18

A07/04

SEABL

Dandenong

77-80

-3

A08/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

64-70

-6

H29/04

SEABL

Geelong

59-89

-30

A06/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-83

-1

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

77-91

-14

H13/05

SEABL

Albury

#11

107-86

107

+21

H20/05

SEABL

21-36

24-12

23-25

18-32

17-21

10-28

28-22

23-23

13-25

24-17

17-29

28-18

17-37

26-28

17-29

28-12

16-18

24-18

15-24

22-20

19-20

12-12

12-14

21-24

23-23

10-23

12-19

14-24

18-15

25-25

22-20

17-23

22-27

14-26

25-25

16-13

28-26

18-22

36-17

25-21

169.3Avg total

80.0Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	79.3	87.6	166.9	-8.2	11%
Season at home (5)	81.6	86.0	167.6	-4.4	20%
Season away (4)	76.5	89.5	166.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	89.3	169.3	-9.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	83.8	161.6	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	81.2	89.2	170.4	-7.9	32%
vs Similar (8)	81.0	82.1	163.1	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker (3)	75.0	68.0	143.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

100-76

100

+24

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

62-75

-13

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

74-63

+11

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

97-98

-1

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

83-80

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

80-84

-4

A29/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

89-59

+30

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

101-77

101

+24

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

83-77

H20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

87-92

-5

H26/05

SEABL

23-20

32-17

18-16

27-23

13-23

10-21

20-14

19-17

20-18

19-18

17-18

18-9

25-35

24-22

21-17

27-24

23-20

24-17

17-15

19-28

21-22

22-18

15-19

22-25

23-23

23-10

19-12

24-14

16-17

28-16

35-22

22-22

32-23

21-22

16-14

14-18

24-27

25-19

17-22

21-24

163.7Avg total

85.6Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	86.6	77.2	163.8	+9.5	64%
Season at home (6)	86.3	74.5	160.8	+11.8	67%
Season away (5)	87.0	80.4	167.4	+6.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	78.1	163.7	+7.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	77.8	165.8	+10.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	87.5	88.5	176.0	-1.0	50%
vs Similar (5)	81.2	82.8	164.0	-1.6	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	90.6	80.5	171.0	+10.1	70%

This opponent (Canberra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CanberraGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	22.1	41.7	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.1	43.1	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	24.8	44.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.0	22.9	39.9	-5.9	12%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	16.0	35.3	+3.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.7	43.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	21.8	45.7	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.5	41.4	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	31.0	53.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.3	19.7	44.0	+4.5	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.6	37.4	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.3	21.6	40.8	-2.3	37%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	14.7	20.3	35.0	-5.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	19.1	41.6	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	21.1	43.7	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.4	20.0	43.5	+3.4	74%	-

CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

#10

45-48

-3

A14/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

27-49

-22

H25/03

SEABL

Kilsyth

37-42

-5

H01/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

43-65

-22

A07/04

SEABL

Dandenong

40-36

A08/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

31-32

-1

H29/04

SEABL

Geelong

33-46

-13

A06/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

43-40

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

36-53

-17

H13/05

SEABL

Albury

#11

46-48

-2

H20/05

SEABL

84.0Avg total

38.1Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	42.6	81.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.3	42.6	78.9	-6.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	42.6	84.4	-0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	45.9	84.0	-7.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.8	81.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.9	44.4	84.3	-4.5	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.1	40.8	78.9	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	34.0	36.3	70.3	-2.3	33%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

55-37

+18

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

23-44

-21

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

39-36

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

49-57

-8

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

47-37

+10

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

43-40

A29/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

46-33

+13

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

44-33

+11

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

53-45

H20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

49-46

H26/05

SEABL

85.6Avg total

44.8Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	40.7	86.3	+4.9	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.5	40.8	87.3	+5.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.5	40.6	85.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	40.8	85.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	39.4	86.4	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	51.5	92.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	47.7	39.8	87.5	+7.9	91%	-

This opponent (Canberra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.1	41.1	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.3	23.2	44.5	-1.8	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	15.3	41.0	+10.3	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.9	36.4	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	14.0	37.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	21.6	40.8	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.3	16.3	31.7	-1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	21.4	43.2	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	22.8	45.4	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.3	21.2	42.4	+0.1	35%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	42.1	83.2	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	40.8	84.4	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	43.7	81.9	-5.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	43.4	85.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	41.3	44.8	86.1	-3.5	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.6	39.8	80.4	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	31.7	72.7	+9.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	40.7	83.9	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	39.6	82.4	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.7	42.0	85.7	+1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	37.3	78.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	38.4	79.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	47.0	37.0	84.0	+10.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.4	42.2	85.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.9	40.7	83.6	+2.2	52%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Canberra wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
06/05/17	Geelong v Canberra	89-59
24/04/16	Canberra v Geelong	78-74
15/08/15	Canberra v Geelong	76-78
30/05/15	Geelong v Canberra	83-80

Canberralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/05/17	H	Albury	107-86
13/05/17	H	Hobart Chargers	77-91
07/05/17	A	Kilsyth	82-83
06/05/17	A	Geelong	59-89
29/04/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	64-70
08/04/17	A	Dandenong	77-80
07/04/17	A	Mt Gambier	88-106
01/04/17	H	Kilsyth	82-89
25/03/17	H	Southern Sabres	78-94
14/08/16	A	Ballarat	86-105

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/05/17	H	NW Tasmania	87-92
20/05/17	H	Bendigo	83-77
13/05/17	A	Frankston	101-77
06/05/17	H	Canberra	89-59
29/04/17	A	Southern Sabres	80-84
23/04/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	83-80
21/04/17	A	Albury	97-98
08/04/17	A	Bendigo	74-63
07/04/17	H	Dandenong	62-75
31/03/17	H	Ballarat	100-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra

SEABL 2017

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	11%
Home	LLLLW	20%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	11%	20%	0%
Points / game	79.3	81.6	76.5
Allowed / game	87.6	86.0	89.5
Point differential	-8.2	-4.4	-13.0
Avg total	166.9	167.6	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	64%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	64%	67%	60%
Points / game	86.6	86.3	87.0
Allowed / game	77.2	74.5	80.4
Point differential	+9.5	+11.8	+6.6
Avg total	163.8	160.8	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	11	10	1	91%	89.6	79.3	+10.4
2	Nunawading	13	11	2	85%	90.8	80.8	+10.0
3	Hobart Chargers	11	8	3	73%	98.9	80.5	+18.4
4	Ballarat	10	7	3	70%	85.6	81.5	+4.1
5	Geelong	11	7	4	64%	86.6	77.2	+9.5
6	Dandenong	12	7	5	58%	79.2	80.7	-1.4
7	Bendigo	13	6	7	46%	83.5	82.5	+0.9
8	Albury	11	5	6	45%	92.2	94.0	-1.8
9	Kilsyth	12	5	7	42%	76.1	79.1	-3.0
10	Southern Sabres	10	4	6	40%	78.0	83.6	-5.6
11	NW Tasmania	11	4	7	36%	78.9	83.7	-4.8
12	Melbourne Tigers	10	3	7	30%	75.7	88.1	-12.4
13	Frankston	12	3	9	25%	79.8	89.8	-10.1
14	BA CoE	8	1	7	12%	78.1	90.9	-12.8
15	Canberra	9	1	8	11%	79.3	87.6	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Canberra	26	24	31	13	94
Geelong	29	34	17	22	102

← all games of the day

Canberra vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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