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Penrith P. vs Manly W. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 May 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 69-81
27-21 6-23 17-21 19-16
Position#15
Record3-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#14
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game85.7
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Penrith P. v Manly W.
06 Apr 2025
PENR84
MANL72
15 Jun 2024
PENR65
MANL105
20 May 2023
PENR69
MANL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manly W. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
63-106
63
106
-43
A18/03
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
37-110
37
110
-73
A25/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A02/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
67-107
67
107
-40
A14/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
62-113
62
113
-51
A15/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
90-71
90
71
+19
A22/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
54-92
54
92
-38
H23/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A29/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H06/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H13/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
11-24
14-26
20-28
13-35
7-27
11-18
6-30
14-24
18-22
17-19
26-21
21-32
12-30
18-19
16-26
19-41
18-26
15-23
10-23
30-23
23-17
19-20
18-11
19-25
7-24
11-24
17-19
13-21
17-17
18-13
33-29
22-16
11-20
18-10
20-23
–
–
–
–
159.5Avg total
67.6Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)67.491.7159.1-24.427%
Season at home (3)67.082.0149.0-15.033%
Season away (8)67.595.4162.9-27.925%
Last 10 (10)67.691.9159.5-24.330%
Last 5 (5)74.479.4153.8-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)67.491.7159.1-24.427%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
41-77
41
77
-36
A18/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H25/03
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
69-94
69
94
-25
H01/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A14/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
69-102
69
102
-33
A15/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A21/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H22/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H29/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H06/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A13/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
13-15
6-24
8-13
21-14
23-22
20-18
18-19
8-25
14-29
26-23
21-17
10-13
15-18
14-20
16-27
10-26
25-21
16-32
18-23
31-23
13-22
20-16
12-27
23-30
17-23
20-19
11-18
16-12
17-27
18-25
20-25
19-25
26-21
10-16
23-24
16-18
15-15
24-22
13-24
153.6Avg total
68.0Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.385.7154.0-17.59%
Season at home (6)73.786.5160.2-12.817%
Season away (5)61.884.8146.6-23.00%
Last 10 (10)68.085.6153.6-17.610%
Last 5 (5)72.886.4159.2-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.687.5161.1-13.911%
vs Similar (11)79.176.1155.2+3.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)71.090.0161.0-19.00%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -9.2-9.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -5.7-5.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -9.2-9.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -5.7-5.7
Penrith P.Manly W.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A18/03
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
20-62
20
62
-42
A25/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A02/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
33-62
33
62
-29
A14/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A15/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A22/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H23/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A29/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H06/05
NBL1 East
82.8Avg total
32.6Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)32.850.483.2-17.610%-
Last 30 at home (2)29.542.572.0-13.00%-
Last 30 away (8)33.652.486.0-18.812%-
Last 10 (9)32.650.282.8-17.711%-
Last 5 (5)35.846.081.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.850.483.2-17.610%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A18/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H25/03
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H01/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A14/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A21/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H22/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H29/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A13/05
NBL1 East
77.0Avg total
34.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.440.178.5-1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)36.640.376.9-3.723%-
Last 10 (10)34.642.477.0-7.810%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.941.778.7-4.828%-
vs Similar (11)38.536.575.1+2.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)40.053.093.0-13.00%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penrith P. wins
0
Manly W. wins
DateGameScore
22/04/23Manly W. v Penrith P.71-90
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23HBankstown Bruins76-85
06/05/23HHornsby S.71-69
29/04/23AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits81-80
23/04/23HCanberra54-92
22/04/23AManly W.90-71
15/04/23ANorths Bears62-113
14/04/23AHills Hornets67-107
02/04/23ACentral Coast Crusaders75-86
25/03/23ABA CoE37-110
18/03/23AIllawarra Hawks 263-106
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23AHills Hornets68-79
06/05/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits78-86
29/04/23HSutherland Sharks71-89
22/04/23HPenrith P.71-90
21/04/23ASydney Comets76-88
15/04/23AInner West Bulls69-102
14/04/23ANorths Bears55-78
01/04/23HIllawarra Hawks 269-94
25/03/23HCentral Coast Crusaders82-73
18/03/23ANewcastle Falcons41-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL27%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %27%33%25%
Points / game67.467.067.5
Allowed / game91.782.095.4
Point differential-24.4-15.0-27.9
Avg total159.1149.0162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manly W.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game68.373.761.8
Allowed / game85.786.584.8
Point differential-17.5-12.8-23.0
Avg total154.0160.2146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1110191%100.473.3+27.1
2 Inner West Bulls1210283%89.278.8+10.3
3 Norths Bears1210283%87.577.3+10.2
4 Sutherland Sharks128467%88.383.0+5.3
5 Canberra117464%83.974.5+9.5
6 Newcastle Falcons106460%80.370.8+9.5
7 Sydney Comets106460%81.276.3+4.9
8 Hills Hornets127558%79.878.4+1.3
9 Illawarra Hawks 2116555%86.281.3+4.9
10 Albury-Wodonga Bandits126650%86.685.2+1.4
11 Maitland M.115645%87.183.9+3.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders113827%75.587.1-11.6
13 Penrith P.113827%67.491.7-24.4
14 Bankstown Bruins112918%71.586.4-14.8
15 Manly W.111109%68.385.7-17.5
16 Hornsby S.120120%65.784.6-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.276171969
Manly W.2123211681
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