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Canberra vs Penrith P. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 108-72
33-19 29-19 18-12 28-22
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#16
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game86.2
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Canberra v Penrith P.
27 Apr 2025
CANB108
PENR72
03 Jun 2023
CANB101
PENR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
118-88
118
88
+30
H29/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H06/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A14/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H20/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H03/08
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H10/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A29/03
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H05/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H25/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-22
28-24
26-27
31-15
19-31
30-11
12-18
24-19
30-16
25-21
17-24
19-13
28-19
23-24
25-22
19-9
16-21
26-9
14-20
17-5
15-18
13-22
20-28
19-18
18-23
27-20
28-18
23-14
26-23
25-20
19-18
19-22
21-17
20-13
14-20
26-13
33-23
24-25
15-10
19-29
165.0Avg total
88.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.277.0166.2+12.2100%
Season at home (2)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)88.569.0157.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.676.4165.0+12.290%
Last 5 (5)84.878.8163.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.785.3158.0-12.733%
vs Similar (6)84.785.8170.5-1.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.071.1160.1+17.995%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H29/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
71-102
71
102
-31
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
90-114
90
114
-24
A13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H11/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
55-96
55
96
-41
A26/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
22-20
18-20
11-22
14-21
29-18
21-24
20-26
12-20
25-30
18-28
16-24
17-15
20-29
14-31
30-23
21-32
21-33
27-23
21-26
16-17
23-23
22-21
17-20
23-11
24-20
25-19
12-22
19-25
16-21
22-10
28-26
25-28
16-21
27-25
23-26
12-31
14-25
14-21
15-19
171.9Avg total
79.7Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.686.2164.8-7.640%
Season at home (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
Season away (3)74.792.3167.0-17.70%
Last 10 (10)79.792.2171.9-12.520%
Last 5 (5)78.686.2164.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.996.6176.6-16.77%
vs Similar (2)86.590.0176.5-3.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -4.1-4.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -4.1-4.1
CanberraPenrith P.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H29/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H06/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A14/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H20/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/08
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H10/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A29/03
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H05/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H25/04
NBL1 East
88.2Avg total
48.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.838.583.2+6.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.839.885.6+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)43.536.780.2+6.862%-
Last 10 (10)48.040.288.2+7.890%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.885.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.340.781.0-0.333%-
vs Similar (6)45.546.892.3-1.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.235.881.0+9.486%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
42-65
42
65
-23
A13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A26/04
NBL1 East
86.2Avg total
39.6Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.248.087.3-8.823%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.647.286.8-7.631%-
Last 30 away (14)38.949.087.9-10.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.646.686.2-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.482.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.947.886.7-8.921%-
vs Similar (2)44.051.595.5-7.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Canberra wins
0
Penrith P. wins
DateGameScore
04/05/24Penrith P. v Canberra70-86
03/06/23Canberra v Penrith P.101-85
23/04/23Penrith P. v Canberra54-92
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25HBA CoE91-87
12/04/25ANorths Bears81-63
05/04/25HInner West Bulls89-83
29/03/25AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits96-75
10/08/24HMaitland M.67-86
03/08/24HSydney Comets73-55
20/07/24HBA CoE95-74
14/07/24AHornsby S.91-74
06/07/24HSydney Comets85-79
29/06/24HSutherland Sharks118-88
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ABA CoE55-96
12/04/25AInner West Bulls91-100
11/04/25HHills Hornets85-82
06/04/25HManly W.84-72
29/03/25ASutherland Sharks78-81
13/07/24AInner West Bulls90-114
06/07/24HNorths Bears81-98
05/07/24HSydney Comets71-102
29/06/24HBankstown Bruins84-89
22/06/24AHornsby S.78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.290.088.5
Allowed / game77.085.069.0
Point differential+12.2+5.0+19.5
Avg total166.2175.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game78.684.574.7
Allowed / game86.277.092.3
Point differential-7.6+7.5-17.7
Avg total164.8161.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra440100%89.277.0+12.2
2 Sutherland Sharks440100%82.271.0+11.2
3 BA CoE43175%92.266.8+25.5
4 Maitland M.43175%96.584.2+12.2
5 Inner West Bulls43175%93.886.2+7.5
6 Sydney Comets53260%75.470.0+5.4
7 Illawarra Hawks 253260%81.282.8-1.6
8 Central Coast Crusaders42250%80.275.2+5.0
9 Manly W.52340%75.279.4-4.2
10 Norths Bears52340%67.274.4-7.2
11 Penrith P.52340%78.686.2-7.6
12 Bankstown Bruins52340%75.084.2-9.2
13 Hills Hornets41325%79.879.0+0.8
14 Newcastle Falcons51420%74.280.4-6.2
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits51420%71.688.4-16.8
16 Hornsby S.4040%72.587.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra33291828108
Penrith P.1919122272
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