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Penrith P. vs Canberra Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 70-86
23-15 15-21 15-26 17-24
Position#16
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game94.7
vs
Position#2
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game69.5
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Penrith P. v Canberra
15 Jun 2025
PENR64
CANB96
04 May 2024
PENR70
CANB86
23 Apr 2023
PENR54
CANB92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H09/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
80-108
80
108
-28
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
95-112
95
112
-17
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
78-109
78
109
-31
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H27/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
17-25
28-25
22-24
19-28
17-26
26-27
18-27
21-29
19-20
21-21
16-25
15-21
12-33
31-21
28-18
12-26
21-15
22-20
18-26
22-26
22-27
29-34
22-25
16-16
16-18
20-30
25-24
18-26
21-31
34-14
22-21
19-36
19-24
25-23
15-26
21-19
16-17
11-23
17-21
178.6Avg total
82.1Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.594.7175.2-14.217%
Season at home (2)71.594.5166.0-23.00%
Season away (4)85.094.8179.8-9.825%
Last 10 (10)82.196.5178.6-14.410%
Last 5 (5)82.096.2178.2-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.394.4167.7-21.111%
vs Similar (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H22/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A23/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H05/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H06/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A13/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A14/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H20/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
90-54
90
54
+36
H27/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H28/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
27-20
15-18
22-28
23-28
24-19
15-24
16-20
15-15
11-20
30-17
34-17
26-25
19-25
22-17
8-21
28-22
23-12
25-9
25-26
20-16
19-30
11-18
19-26
23-8
14-16
10-20
20-16
15-27
23-15
28-13
21-20
17-11
23-14
26-9
24-20
30-10
15-23
15-17
21-19
158.2Avg total
83.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.569.5152.0+13.083%
Season at home (4)89.866.8156.5+23.0100%
Season away (2)68.075.0143.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)83.075.2158.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)78.869.6148.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.090.0156.0-24.00%
vs Similar (11)83.080.9163.9+2.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.569.6159.1+19.994%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Penrith P.Canberra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H09/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/04
NBL1 East
86.1Avg total
37.1Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.649.984.4-15.37%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.249.284.5-14.08%-
Last 30 away (15)34.050.384.3-16.37%-
Last 10 (10)37.149.086.1-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)38.048.086.0-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.449.684.0-15.28%-
vs Similar (1)39.057.096.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H22/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A23/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H05/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H06/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A13/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A14/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H20/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H27/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/04
NBL1 East
80.0Avg total
42.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.937.981.8+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.837.180.9+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)44.139.083.1+5.162%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.780.0+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.073.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.345.381.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (11)44.341.886.1+2.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.133.878.9+11.388%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. wins
2
Canberra wins
DateGameScore
03/06/23Canberra v Penrith P.101-85
23/04/23Penrith P. v Canberra54-92
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HNewcastle Falcons65-80
26/04/24HHills Hornets78-109
20/04/24AIllawarra Hawks95-92
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins77-88
14/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders95-112
06/04/24ASutherland Sharks73-87
23/07/23AInner West Bulls86-93
22/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders77-95
15/07/23HNorths Bears80-108
09/07/23HMaitland M.95-101
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HBankstown Bruins81-69
27/04/24HHornsby S.90-54
20/04/24HManly W.87-75
14/04/24ANewcastle Falcons67-60
13/04/24AMaitland M.69-90
06/04/24HIllawarra Hawks101-69
05/08/23HMaitland M.75-88
29/07/23HHills Hornets90-69
23/07/23AIllawarra Hawks 278-91
22/07/23HSutherland Sharks92-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game80.571.585.0
Allowed / game94.794.594.8
Point differential-14.2-23.0-9.8
Avg total175.2166.0179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game82.589.868.0
Allowed / game69.566.875.0
Point differential+13.0+23.0-7.0
Avg total152.0156.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.660100%96.073.5+22.5
2 Inner West Bulls87188%95.878.5+17.2
3 Canberra65183%82.569.5+13.0
4 Albury-Wodonga Bandits65183%96.084.8+11.2
5 Manly W.43175%95.880.0+15.8
6 Hills Hornets53260%85.482.8+2.6
7 Bankstown Bruins74357%76.774.3+2.4
8 Sutherland Sharks63350%83.281.7+1.5
9 Norths Bears63350%79.879.2+0.7
10 Sydney Comets73443%79.781.9-2.1
11 Central Coast Crusaders73443%87.689.9-2.3
12 BA CoE52340%85.684.4+1.2
13 Newcastle Falcons72529%69.978.9-9.0
14 Penrith P.61517%80.594.7-14.2
15 Hornsby S.8080%73.094.9-21.9
16 Illawarra Hawks6060%76.0105.3-29.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.2315151770
Canberra1521262486
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