PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Penrith P. vs Hills Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 85-82
19-25 16-21 22-10 28-26
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game77.0
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Penrith P. v Hills Hornets
11 Apr 2025
PENR85
HILL82
26 Apr 2024
PENR78
HILL109
24 Jun 2023
PENR57
HILL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hills Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
109-112 OT
109
112
-3
A02/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
65-105
65
105
-40
H15/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
86-103
86
103
-17
H16/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H29/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
71-102
71
102
-31
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
90-114
90
114
-24
A13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H06/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
31-16
25-17
18-32
14-30
19-28
22-25
10-22
20-29
15-26
23-26
28-22
27-26
22-20
18-20
11-22
14-21
29-18
21-24
20-26
12-20
25-30
18-28
16-24
17-15
20-29
14-31
30-23
21-32
21-33
27-23
21-26
16-17
23-23
22-21
17-20
23-11
24-20
25-19
12-22
179.0Avg total
82.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)84.072.0156.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)78.081.0159.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)82.696.4179.0-13.810%
Last 5 (5)80.893.4174.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.297.3176.5-18.14%
vs Similar (2)86.590.0176.5-3.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H15/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
76-101
76
101
-25
H22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H23/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
70-98
70
98
-28
H07/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A12/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H05/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
26-19
27-21
21-26
18-31
21-25
26-20
11-25
13-24
22-25
29-24
17-20
15-31
22-24
22-35
35-23
22-13
23-24
19-26
12-15
32-18
27-15
17-29
19-19
20-23
16-25
14-27
20-23
23-20
21-24
20-17
31-28
18-15
26-21
30-17
28-21
22-20
15-20
15-23
18-14
174.9Avg total
86.4Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.488.5174.9-2.140%
Last 5 (5)86.483.8170.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.391.8169.2-14.517%
vs Similar (3)79.079.7158.7-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.779.4171.1+12.393%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
Penrith P.Hills Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A02/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H15/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H16/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
42-65
42
65
-23
A13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/04
NBL1 East
89.2Avg total
41.6Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.148.387.4-9.323%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.648.386.9-9.728%-
Last 30 away (12)39.848.488.2-8.717%-
Last 10 (10)41.647.689.2-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.086.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.748.186.8-9.421%-
vs Similar (2)44.051.595.5-7.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H15/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H23/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H07/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A12/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/04
NBL1 East
86.5Avg total
43.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.484.3+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.643.284.8-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)43.939.983.8+4.156%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.286.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.284.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.246.785.9-7.417%-
vs Similar (3)37.740.378.0-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.737.584.2+9.373%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. wins
4
Hills Hornets wins
DateGameScore
02/06/24Hills Hornets v Penrith P.112-109 OT
26/04/24Penrith P. v Hills Hornets78-109
24/06/23Penrith P. v Hills Hornets57-95
14/04/23Hills Hornets v Penrith P.107-67
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HManly W.84-72
29/03/25ASutherland Sharks78-81
13/07/24AInner West Bulls90-114
06/07/24HNorths Bears81-98
05/07/24HSydney Comets71-102
29/06/24HBankstown Bruins84-89
22/06/24AHornsby S.78-88
16/06/24HMaitland M.86-103
15/06/24HManly W.65-105
02/06/24AHills Hornets109-112 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HSutherland Sharks70-77
13/07/24HNorths Bears102-74
12/07/24AIllawarra Hawks95-89
07/07/24HManly W.70-98
06/07/24HCentral Coast Crusaders95-81
29/06/24ANewcastle Falcons76-78
26/06/24ASydney Comets94-113
23/06/24HBankstown Bruins81-93
22/06/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits76-101
15/06/24HSutherland Sharks105-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.084.078.0
Allowed / game76.572.081.0
Point differential+4.5+12.0-3.0
Avg total157.5156.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game70.070.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total147.0147.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE220100%93.060.5+32.5
2 Central Coast Crusaders220100%91.071.0+20.0
3 Canberra220100%92.579.0+13.5
4 Illawarra Hawks 2220100%90.082.5+7.5
5 Sutherland Sharks220100%79.074.0+5.0
6 Bankstown Bruins32167%75.078.7-3.7
7 Maitland M.21150%96.079.0+17.0
8 Penrith P.21150%81.076.5+4.5
9 Sydney Comets21150%74.075.5-1.5
10 Manly W.31233%69.376.3-7.0
11 Albury-Wodonga Bandits31233%71.390.7-19.3
12 Inner West Bulls1010%83.089.0-6.0
13 Hills Hornets1010%70.077.0-7.0
14 Hornsby S.2020%67.579.0-11.5
15 Newcastle Falcons3030%70.082.0-12.0
16 Norths Bears2020%65.583.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.1916222885
Hills Hornets2521102682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.