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Canisius vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-78
34-33 34-45
Position#327
Record8-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game70.5
Canisius
USA
vs
Mount St. Mary's 🏆
USA
Position#242
Record6-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Canisius v Mount St. Mary's
06 Dec 2026
CANI v MOUN
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
CANI68
MOUN78
16 Feb 2025
CANI66
MOUN73
01 Mar 2024
CANI61
MOUN56
02 Jan 2023
CANI60
MOUN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canisius winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanisiusUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#134
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A06/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A07/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
70-43
70
43
+27
A13/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A17/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
59-103
59
103
-44
A23/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A10/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
48-74
48
74
-26
A11/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
25-37
23-41
29-33
39-17
31-26
27-22
18-40
30-46
29-57
39-37
46-44
34-41
48-37
28-32
42-32
25-30
23-44
28-34
26-25
132.9Avg total
62.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)62.270.5132.7-8.344%
Season at home (8)68.963.8132.6+5.175%
Season away (10)56.975.9132.8-19.020%
Last 10 (10)62.270.7132.9-8.540%
Last 5 (5)67.871.2139.0-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)61.577.4138.8-15.917%
vs Similar (5)65.857.8123.6+8.080%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
73-42
73
42
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A02/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-51
35-36
20-30
36-34
38-37
43-36
33-38
34-37
39-26
34-16
30-33
36-26
27-29
38-46
35-32
34-48
31-33
39-32
25-29
25-38
136.4Avg total
67.7Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.374.1141.4-6.833%
Season at home (7)68.666.9135.4+1.757%
Season away (11)66.578.7145.2-12.318%
Last 10 (10)67.768.7136.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)64.069.2133.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)61.577.5139.1-16.018%
vs Similar (14)69.767.2136.9+2.571%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)74.468.4142.8+6.060%
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
CanisiusMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CanisiusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#134
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A07/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
39-17
39
17
+22
A13/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A23/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A10/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H15/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
30.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.334.664.9-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.331.162.4+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)29.637.266.8-7.618%-
Last 10 (10)30.533.263.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.834.865.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.136.967.0-6.825%-
vs Similar (5)29.025.854.8+3.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/01
NCAA
66.1Avg total
32.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.334.466.7-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.534.868.4-1.336%-
Last 30 away (19)31.534.265.7-2.742%-
Last 10 (10)32.333.866.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)29.631.260.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.436.466.7-6.027%-
vs Similar (14)32.733.466.1-0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)35.233.268.4+2.060%-
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Canisius wins
5
Mount St. Mary's wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Canisius v Mount St. Mary's66-73
12/03/24Mount St. Mary's v Canisius61-77
02/03/24Canisius v Mount St. Mary's61-56
06/01/24Mount St. Mary's v Canisius74-69
07/03/23Mount St. Mary's v Canisius67-66 OT
19/02/23Mount St. Mary's v Canisius75-74
02/01/23Canisius v Mount St. Mary's60-64
Canisiuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HNiagara54-59
11/01/26AIona48-74
10/01/26AManhattan70-64
04/01/26HSacred Heart82-78
02/01/26HFairfield85-81
23/12/25ADuquesne59-103
17/12/25ARhode Island45-62
13/12/25AMaine Black Bears70-43
07/12/25ASiena52-74
06/12/25ASt. Peters57-69
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HSiena50-67
10/01/26HSt. Peters70-65
04/01/26AQuinnipiac69-80
02/01/26AMerrimack Warriors65-75
30/12/25HIona66-59
21/12/25HPenn State Brandywine73-42
20/12/25ADrexel67-75
13/12/25ALoyola Maryland81-73
06/12/25AMarist56-64
04/12/25HSacred Heart80-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canisius
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game62.268.956.9
Allowed / game70.563.875.9
Point differential-8.3+5.1-19.0
Avg total132.7132.6132.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)80% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %33%57%18%
Points / game67.368.666.5
Allowed / game74.166.978.7
Point differential-6.8+1.7-12.3
Avg total141.4135.4145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist1611569%72.361.7+10.6
2 Quinnipiac1812667%77.172.0+5.1
3 Iona1912763%75.374.4+0.9
4 Fairfield1811761%78.272.9+5.3
5 Siena1811761%69.865.4+4.3
6 St. Peters159660%72.168.4+3.7
7 Merrimack Warriors1810856%66.470.8-4.3
8 Canisius1881044%62.270.5-8.3
9 Manhattan1981142%75.881.3-5.5
10 Mount St. Mary's1861233%67.374.1-6.8
11 Sacred Heart1961332%74.576.9-2.4
12 Niagara1751229%63.273.4-10.2
13 Rider1621412%61.574.4-12.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Canisius343468
Mount St. Mary's334578
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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