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Canisius vs Mount St. Mary's Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#236
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#295
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Canisius v Mount St. Mary's
06 Dec 2026
CANI v MOUN
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
CANI68
MOUN78
16 Feb 2025
CANI66
MOUN73
01 Mar 2024
CANI61
MOUN56
02 Jan 2023
CANI60
MOUN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canisius win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanisiusUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A22/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
57-97
57
97
-40
A03/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
49-88
49
88
-39
H08/11
NCAA
Hiram
#509
W
117-60
117
60
+57
H09/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-34
39-35
27-37
38-32
40-30
32-36
24-20
23-48
29-32
38-30
30-29
33-38
26-47
31-50
14-43
35-45
57-19
60-41
44-30
42-51
141.3Avg total
68.6Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.281.5158.8-4.250%
Season at home (2)83.074.0157.0+9.050%
Season away (2)71.589.0160.5-17.550%
Last 10 (10)68.672.7141.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)74.478.6153.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)61.275.6136.8-14.315%
vs Similar (8)67.063.0130.0+4.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)72.066.0138.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#8
L
52-97
52
97
-45
A03/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
44-42
28-21
37-34
31-31
45-32
20-24
48-23
32-31
37-46
39-25
30-22
21-35
37-28
16-51
36-46
29-22
39-35
30-42
32-40
133.4Avg total
67.0Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)60.778.7139.3-18.033%
Season at home (1)68.057.0125.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)57.089.5146.5-32.50%
Last 10 (10)67.066.4133.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)61.869.2131.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)63.274.3137.5-11.127%
vs Similar (8)72.274.4146.6-2.150%
vs Weaker (7)71.356.3127.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Canisius) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +3.7+3.7
CanisiusMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CanisiusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A21/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
14-43
14
43
-29
H08/11
NCAA
Hiram
#509
W
57-19
57
19
+38
H09/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A13/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.5Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.432.863.2-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.633.163.7-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)30.332.562.7-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.163.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.667.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)28.435.063.4-6.625%-
vs Similar (8)31.129.260.4+1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#8
L
16-51
16
51
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NCAA
60.1Avg total
28.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.534.265.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.233.266.5+0.038%-
Last 30 away (17)30.235.065.2-4.841%-
Last 10 (10)28.531.660.1-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)27.035.062.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.935.765.6-5.740%-
vs Similar (8)35.436.171.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)30.629.059.6+1.629%-
This opponent (Canisius) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Canisius wins
7
Mount St. Mary's wins
Canisiuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABrown86-81
09/11/26HHiram117-60
08/11/26HSt. Bonaventure49-88
03/11/26APenn State57-97
01/03/26HQuinnipiac63-67
28/02/26HMerrimack Warriors67-62
22/02/26AMount St. Mary's47-68
21/02/26ARider72-66
15/02/26HManhattan65-69
14/02/26HIona63-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVirginia Tech62-82
07/11/26HLoyola Maryland68-57
03/11/26AXavier52-97
08/03/26ASiena58-63
01/03/26AFairfield69-47
28/02/26ASacred Heart69-77
22/02/26HCanisius68-47
21/02/26HNiagara76-63
14/02/26ARider65-55
08/02/26AIona83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canisius
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.283.071.5
Allowed / game81.574.089.0
Point differential-4.2+9.0-17.5
Avg total158.8157.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game60.768.057.0
Allowed / game78.757.089.5
Point differential-18.0+11.0-32.5
Avg total139.3125.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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