Canisius hosts St. Bonaventure on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Canisius as the favourite and projecting a close 73-71 win; the model assigns a 56% chance to the home side and 44% to the visitors, and expects 143.7 total points. Both teams are 0-1 for the season, having scored 57.0 and 71.0 points per game while allowing 97.0 and 79.0 respectively, and sit at 407 and 286 in the league standings. Each has a 2-3 record over the last five games, with Canisius's recent outings including a 57-97 loss to Penn State away, a 63-67 defeat to Quinnipiac at home, and a 67-62 win over Merrimack Warriors at home, while St. Bonaventure fell 71-79 to Youngstown State at home, 63-68 to Dayton away, and edged George Mason 63-57 away. Their head-to-head record is tied 3-3, the most recent meeting ending 89-70 in favour of St. Bonaventure on 8 November 2025. The spread is 8.5 in favour of Canisius, with an 81% probability that the home team covers, and the over/under line is 148.0 with a 39% chance of the over; an overtime scenario carries a 5% probability.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Canisius winLost
55.7%fair 1.80
Best odds4.50
Implied22.1%
Edge+33.5pp
St. Bonaventure winWon
44.3%fair 2.26
Best odds1.24
Implied77.9%
Edge-33.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 143Actual: Under 143
Over 143
51.1%
@ 1.64-11.4pp
Under 143
48.9%
@ 2.50+11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.64
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 148 · main lineActual: Under 148
Over 148
38.9%
@ 1.94-10.6pp
Under 148
61.1%
@ 1.89+10.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.92
SBO
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Over/Under 153Actual: Under 153
Over 153
27.8%
@ 2.62-7.7pp
Under 153
72.2%
@ 1.44+7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Under
Bet365
1.44
📊 3. Team Totals
Canisius total 64.5Actual: Canisius under 64.5
Over 64.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
Under 64.5
no forecast
@ 3.15
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.15
Betano
2.72
Canisius total 69 · main lineActual: Canisius under 69
Over 69
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under 69
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Canisius total 72.5Actual: Canisius under 72.5
Over 72.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under 72.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.44
St. Bonaventure total 74Actual: St. Bonaventure over 74
Over 74
38.1%
Under 74
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Bonaventure total 78 · main lineActual: St. Bonaventure over 78
Over 78
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 78
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
St. Bonaventure total 81.5Actual: St. Bonaventure over 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Canisius +6Actual: St. Bonaventure -6
CANI +6
74.7%
@ 2.50+37.2pp
ST. -6
25.3%
@ 1.50-37.2pp
Best 5 market prices
CANI
Bet365
2.50
ST.
Bet365
1.50
Spread Canisius +9 · main lineActual: St. Bonaventure -9
CANI +9
82.7%
@ 1.94+33.1pp
ST. -9
17.3%
@ 1.90-33.1pp
Best 5 market prices
CANI
Bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.87
ST.
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Spread Canisius +12Actual: St. Bonaventure -12
CANI +12
88.5%
@ 1.57+29.6pp
ST. -12
11.5%
@ 2.25-29.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CANI
Bet365
1.57
ST.
Bet365
2.25
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
CanisiusSt. Bonaventure
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: St. Bonaventure win
CANI win
no forecast
@ 2.87
ST. win
no forecast
@ 1.42
2nd half Spread Canisius +4.5 · main lineActual: St. Bonaventure -4.5
CANI +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
ST. -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Over 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: St. Bonaventure (regulation)
CANI
no forecast
@ 2.90
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
ST.
no forecast
@ 1.47
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Canisius +6
74.7%
2.50
Bet365
2.50
-
-
-
-
+37.2pp
Lost
Canisius +5
71.5%
2.65
Bet365
2.65
-
-
-
-
+36.5pp
Lost
Canisius +5.5
72.4%
2.52
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.50
-
-
-
+35.6pp
Lost
Canisius +8
80.2%
2.03
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.05
SBO
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.96
-
+35.0pp
Lost
Canisius +7
77.6%
2.24
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.22
-
-
-
+35.0pp
Lost
Canisius +7.5
78.2%
2.04
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.12
1xBet
1.73
-
+34.9pp
Lost
Canisius +6.5
75.4%
2.31
Pinnacle
2.35
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27
-
-
+34.6pp
Lost
Canisius +8.5
80.8%
1.93
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.02
SBO
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.90
+33.5pp
Lost
Canisius +9
82.7%
1.91
Bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.88
SBO
1.87
-
+33.1pp
Lost
Canisius +9.5
83.1%
1.84
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
+31.0pp
Lost
Canisius +10
84.8%
1.78
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
-
-
+30.3pp
Lost
Canisius +12
88.5%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+29.6pp
Lost
Canisius +10.5
85.1%
1.71
Betano
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.71
Bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
1.69
-
+28.5pp
Lost
Canisius +12.5
88.7%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+28.5pp
Lost
Canisius +11
86.8%
1.65
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.63
-
-
-
+28.0pp
Lost
Canisius +13
90.0%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+27.5pp
Lost
Canisius +13.5
90.2%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+26.7pp
Lost
Canisius +11.5
87.0%
1.61
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.58
-
-
+26.4pp
Lost
Canisius +14
91.4%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+25.4pp
Lost
Canisius +14.5
91.5%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+25.1pp
Lost
St. Bonaventure under 77.5
73.5%
1.90
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
+24.7pp
Lost
St. Bonaventure under 76.5
70.3%
2.09
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.04
-
-
-
+24.1pp
Lost
Canisius +15.5
92.7%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+23.2pp
Lost
Canisius +15
92.6%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+23.1pp
Lost
Canisius +16.5
93.7%
1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+21.5pp
Lost
Canisius +16
93.6%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Lost
Canisius +17
94.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+19.2pp
Lost
Canisius +17.5
94.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+18.4pp
Lost
Under 152.5
70.8%
1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Under 153.5
72.8%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Under 153
72.2%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Under 152
70.1%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Under 154.5
74.7%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
Under 154
74.2%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Under 155
76.1%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
Under 155.5
76.6%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Under 157.5
80.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
Under 172.5
95.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Overtime: no
94.6%
1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+3.4pp
-
Under 162.5
87.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Under 167.5
92.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Canisius under 86.5
91.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Over 122.5
90.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
Canisius under 84.5
87.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
Canisius under 82.5
83.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Over 127.5
83.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.1pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 59.5
86.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.8pp
Won
Canisius under 80.5
77.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 61.5
82.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-9.3pp
Won
Canisius under 79.5
74.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-9.5pp
Won
Canisius under 78.5
71.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-9.8pp
Won
Over 132.5
74.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-10.3pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 63.5
76.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-12.9pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 65.5
70.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-17.6pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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