Casale Monferrato vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2012

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 82-77

14-22 26-15 19-21 23-19

Position#18

Record7-24

FormLLLWL

Points / game73.3

Allowed / game76.5

Casale Monferrato 🏆

Pesaro

Position#7

Record19-12

FormWWLLW

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game74.8

Lega ARound 34

Domestic2011-12

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casale Monferrato winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casale Monferrato Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

63-66

-3

A04/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

96-65

+31

H07/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

83-94

-11

A18/03

Lega A

Venezia

85-90

-5

H25/03

Lega A

Cantu

55-70

-15

A06/04

Lega A

Siena

76-82

-6

H15/04

Lega A

Biella

#12

78-87

-9

A21/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

77-80 OT

-3

H25/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

76-70

A29/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

77-83

-6

A02/05

Lega A

19-12

19-18

15-20

10-16

21-21

23-10

24-19

28-15

24-27

9-17

29-21

21-29

24-20

20-21

20-22

21-27

12-11

15-19

16-14

12-26

16-24

19-25

19-16

22-17

19-22

16-19

19-20

24-26

15-17

19-27

20-10

15-15

23-20

16-17

16-20

21-13

23-20

9-16

21-24

24-23

155.3Avg total

76.6Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	73.3	76.5	149.7	-3.2	23%
Season at home (15)	75.7	74.7	150.5	+1.0	27%
Season away (16)	70.9	78.1	149.0	-7.1	19%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	78.7	155.3	-2.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	80.4	157.2	-3.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	68.3	75.8	144.2	-7.5	17%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	75.1	76.5	151.7	-1.4	25%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

89-81

A17/03

Lega A

Cantu

72-69

H21/03

Lega A

Teramo

#17

87-72

+15

H25/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

77-79 OT

-2

A01/04

Lega A

Cremona

#11

86-64

+22

H09/04

Lega A

Varese

67-63

A14/04

Lega A

Sassari

89-81

H22/04

Lega A

Siena

81-85

-4

H26/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

64-73

-9

A29/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

83-75

H02/05

Lega A

31-19

23-27

15-18

20-17

17-12

19-14

15-20

21-23

21-18

14-24

25-16

27-14

16-20

18-15

14-20

21-14

24-16

23-22

26-17

13-9

14-20

23-14

14-18

16-11

23-20

19-14

22-28

25-19

20-25

20-13

21-25

20-22

20-18

12-18

18-15

14-22

22-20

20-18

16-20

25-17

153.7Avg total

79.5Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	75.5	74.8	150.4	+0.7	61%
Season at home (16)	77.4	73.7	151.1	+3.7	69%
Season away (15)	73.6	76.0	149.6	-2.4	53%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	74.2	153.7	+5.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	75.4	152.2	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.2	77.5	152.8	-2.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (25)	76.0	74.9	150.9	+1.1	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Casale MonferratoPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.3	37.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	15.5	33.2	+2.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.0	18.5	37.6	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.2	37.9	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	17.1	36.6	+2.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	19.0	35.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.6	19.1	34.7	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	18.9	35.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.8	36.6	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	16.9	18.7	35.5	-1.8	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	18.8	36.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.1	36.6	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.4	34.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	14.5	31.2	+2.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.1	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

38-30

A04/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

44-31

+13

H07/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

33-44

-11

A18/03

Lega A

Venezia

44-41

H25/03

Lega A

Cantu

27-30

-3

A06/04

Lega A

Siena

35-49

-14

H15/04

Lega A

Biella

#12

35-41

-6

A21/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

34-44

-10

H25/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

39-37

A29/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

32-36

-4

A02/05

Lega A

74.4Avg total

36.1Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	36.9	72.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	37.3	75.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.6	36.6	70.2	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	38.3	74.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	41.4	76.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.7	35.8	70.5	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	35.9	37.2	73.1	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

54-46

A17/03

Lega A

Cantu

36-26

+10

H21/03

Lega A

Teramo

#17

35-42

-7

H25/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

34-35

-1

A01/04

Lega A

Cremona

#11

47-38

H09/04

Lega A

Varese

37-34

A14/04

Lega A

Sassari

42-34

H22/04

Lega A

Siena

40-38

H26/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

32-36

-4

A29/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

42-38

H02/05

Lega A

76.6Avg total

39.9Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	36.7	74.4	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	35.9	73.0	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	37.6	75.9	+0.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	36.7	76.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.0	74.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.0	32.2	69.2	+4.8	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	37.4	37.5	74.9	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	18.1	35.3	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	17.0	33.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.2	36.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.5	17.5	33.0	-2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.7	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	18.6	35.4	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	23.0	41.2	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.6	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	37.3	73.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	36.0	73.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	38.7	74.3	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	39.3	79.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	36.8	77.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	32.0	38.0	70.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	37.5	37.2	74.7	+0.3	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.7	75.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	38.1	78.1	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	37.1	72.8	-1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	36.5	75.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	39.4	77.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.2	45.2	83.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	37.7	36.5	74.2	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Casale Monferrato wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
15/01/12	Pesaro v Casale Monferrato	79-72

Casale Monferratolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/12	A	Teramo	77-83
29/04/12	A	Virtus Roma	76-70
25/04/12	H	Virtus Bologna	77-80 OT
21/04/12	A	Biella	78-87
15/04/12	H	Siena	76-82
06/04/12	A	Cantu	55-70
25/03/12	H	Venezia	85-90
18/03/12	A	Sutor Montegranaro	83-94
07/03/12	H	Avellino	96-65
04/03/12	A	Treviso	63-66

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/12	H	Virtus Roma	83-75
29/04/12	A	Virtus Bologna	64-73
26/04/12	H	Siena	81-85
22/04/12	H	Sassari	89-81
14/04/12	A	Varese	67-63
09/04/12	H	Cremona	86-64
01/04/12	A	Sutor Montegranaro	77-79 OT
25/03/12	H	Teramo	87-72
21/03/12	H	Cantu	72-69
17/03/12	A	Avellino	89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casale Monferrato

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	23%
Home	LWLLL	27%
Away	LLLWL	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	23%	27%	19%
Points / game	73.3	75.7	70.9
Allowed / game	76.5	74.7	78.1
Point differential	-3.2	+1.0	-7.1
Avg total	149.7	150.5	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	3%	7%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (15)	18% (11)	25% (4)
Overtime %	16%	13%	19%

Pesaro

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	61%
Home	WWWLW	69%
Away	WWLWL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	61%	69%	53%
Points / game	75.5	77.4	73.6
Allowed / game	74.8	73.7	76.0
Point differential	+0.7	+3.7	-2.4
Avg total	150.4	151.1	149.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	19%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (12)	60% (5)	71% (7)
Overtime %	6%	0%	13%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	91.0	85.0	+6.0
2	Siena	31	23	8	74%	81.5	72.6	+8.9
3	Olimpia Milano	31	21	10	68%	78.5	73.6	+4.9
4	Cantu	31	21	10	68%	74.8	70.0	+4.7
5	Sassari	31	19	12	61%	80.2	78.2	+2.0
6	Virtus Bologna	31	19	12	61%	75.7	74.6	+1.1
7	Pesaro	31	19	12	61%	75.5	74.8	+0.7
8	Venezia	31	17	14	55%	75.8	74.5	+1.3
9	Varese	31	16	15	52%	75.7	74.4	+1.3
10	Avellino	31	14	17	45%	76.9	81.2	-4.2
11	Biella	31	13	18	42%	76.7	77.6	-0.9
12	Treviso	31	13	18	42%	74.9	77.7	-2.8
13	Cremona	31	13	18	42%	72.1	75.6	-3.6
14	Virtus Roma	32	13	19	41%	78.7	81.3	-2.6
15	Sutor Montegranaro	31	12	19	39%	78.2	79.8	-1.6
16	Caserta	31	12	19	39%	77.7	80.0	-2.3
17	Teramo	31	12	19	39%	74.0	77.6	-3.5
18	Casale Monferrato	31	7	24	23%	73.3	76.5	-3.2
19	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	85.0	91.0	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Casale Monferrato	14	26	19	23	82
Pesaro	22	15	21	19	77

← all games of the day

Casale Monferrato vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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