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Sutor Montegranaro vs Casale Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 94-83
27-24 17-9 21-29 29-21
Position#16
Record9-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#18
Record6-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game74.5
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2011-12
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casale Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutor MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Teramo
#17
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H03/01
Lega A
Caserta
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A08/01
Lega A
Cantu
#4
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H11/01
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A15/01
Lega A
Avellino
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H29/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#13
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A08/02
Lega A
Biella
#12
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A04/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A07/03
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H13/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
12-22
23-13
15-21
12-15
26-13
13-19
24-19
13-13
28-17
28-18
20-25
25-22
25-26
17-24
17-24
24-27
14-22
26-14
20-30
22-16
10-8
7-22
24-14
18-18
18-14
13-27
20-17
17-18
24-13
12-6
20-26
22-18
17-19
18-23
15-17
23-22
26-21
22-15
22-30
153.2Avg total
76.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.177.5153.6-1.441%
Season at home (10)77.074.2151.2+2.860%
Season away (12)75.380.2155.6-4.925%
Last 10 (10)76.776.5153.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)74.072.8146.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.877.7154.5-0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (22)73.776.3150.0-2.632%
vs Weaker (2)71.565.0136.5+6.550%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#13
L
92-93
92
93
-1
H08/01
Lega A
Teramo
#17
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H11/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A15/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
A29/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
58-64 OT
58
64
-6
H04/02
Lega A
Caserta
#15
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A26/02
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Avellino
#10
W
96-65
96
65
+31
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
17-19
17-26
31-25
10-17
17-11
16-18
17-16
12-19
15-21
17-22
28-17
16-22
23-19
13-16
23-21
15-23
13-14
16-13
16-10
19-15
17-13
5-9
12-16
20-21
15-17
22-19
19-20
21-15
18-14
9-27
12-27
19-12
19-18
15-20
10-16
21-21
23-10
24-19
28-15
146.6Avg total
72.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.374.5146.9-2.226%
Season at home (12)74.872.4147.2+2.433%
Season away (11)69.676.8146.5-7.218%
Last 10 (10)72.674.0146.6-1.420%
Last 5 (5)70.671.0141.6-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.875.8145.5-6.025%
vs Similar ◀ (19)72.974.3147.2-1.426%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
Sutor MontegranaroCasale Monferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Teramo
#17
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H03/01
Lega A
Caserta
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A08/01
Lega A
Cantu
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/01
Lega A
Siena
#2
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A15/01
Lega A
Avellino
#10
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H29/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#13
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/02
Lega A
Biella
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A04/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A07/03
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H13/03
Lega A
75.2Avg total
39.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.974.6-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.335.673.9+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)35.339.975.2-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.175.2+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.433.472.8+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)36.038.174.1-2.045%-
vs Weaker (2)32.532.565.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H08/01
Lega A
Teramo
#17
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H11/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A29/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H04/02
Lega A
Caserta
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A26/02
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A04/03
Lega A
Avellino
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/03
Lega A
70.1Avg total
35.7Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)35.535.771.2-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.835.473.2+2.358%-
Last 30 away (11)33.036.069.0-3.027%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.470.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.431.269.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.534.070.5+2.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.336.171.3-0.837%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sutor Montegranaro wins
1
Casale Monferrato wins
DateGameScore
27/11/11Casale Monferrato v Sutor Montegranaro87-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/12HVenezia93-88
07/03/12AVirtus Bologna72-77
04/03/12ABiella73-63
08/02/12AVirtus Roma69-76
29/01/12HVarese63-60
22/01/12AAvellino84-93
15/01/12ASiena84-96
11/01/12HCantu89-73
08/01/12ACaserta75-66
03/01/12HTeramo65-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/12HAvellino96-65
04/03/12ATreviso63-66
26/02/12AOlimpia Milano60-83
12/02/12HCaserta76-77
04/02/12HVarese58-64 OT
29/01/12ACremona74-73 OT
22/01/12HSassari75-78
15/01/12APesaro72-79
11/01/12HTeramo60-62
08/01/12HVirtus Roma92-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutor Montegranaro
Lega A 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW41%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %41%60%25%
Points / game76.177.075.3
Allowed / game77.574.280.2
Point differential-1.4+2.8-4.9
Avg total153.6151.2155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casale Monferrato
Lega A 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW26%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%33%18%
Points / game72.374.869.6
Allowed / game74.572.476.8
Point differential-2.2+2.4-7.2
Avg total146.9147.2146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)22% (9)25% (4)
Overtime %17%8%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nazionale Italiana110100%91.085.0+6.0
2 Siena2418675%79.470.4+9.0
3 Cantu2315865%74.469.7+4.7
4 Sassari2214864%78.277.1+1.1
5 Virtus Bologna2314961%77.976.6+1.3
6 Olimpia Milano2213959%75.972.5+3.4
7 Venezia2213959%77.575.2+2.3
8 Pesaro2213959%74.475.4-1.0
9 Varese23121152%76.375.3+0.9
10 Avellino24121250%78.280.1-2.0
11 Biella23111248%75.275.9-0.7
12 Caserta22101245%77.078.1-1.0
13 Virtus Roma24101442%77.679.8-2.2
14 Sutor Montegranaro2291341%76.177.5-1.4
15 Treviso2291341%73.775.8-2.1
16 Cremona2481633%72.377.8-5.5
17 Teramo2371630%71.676.1-4.5
18 Casale Monferrato2361726%72.374.5-2.2
19 International All Stars1010%85.091.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutor Montegranaro2717212994
Casale Monferrato249292183
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