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Casale Monferrato vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 54-70
15-25 6-14 15-16 18-15
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#1
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game74.7
ItalyA2 - Play Offs
Other2016-17
Meetings · Casale Monferrato v Virtus Bologna
07 May 2017
KMO54
VIR70
05 May 2017
KMO79
VIR82
25 Apr 2012
KMO77
VIR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casale Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A21/05
A2 - Play Offs
Agrigento
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A23/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A01/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A04/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H07/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H09/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A11/05
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A30/04
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-73 OT
78
73
+5
A02/05
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H05/05
A2 - Play Offs
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
16-11
15-22
21-25
16-19
20-23
15-10
21-28
12-17
15-16
20-10
20-18
17-21
12-23
10-18
15-21
13-20
26-20
12-19
21-6
18-17
7-7
14-15
17-20
15-23
12-25
18-20
20-13
16-26
16-20
19-8
16-20
11-21
15-14
20-14
13-10
17-17
27-31
13-13
22-21
140.8Avg total
68.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.776.3151.0-1.733%
Season at home (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Season away (2)72.573.5146.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)68.172.7140.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)69.073.8142.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.373.9140.2-7.627%
vs Similar (19)74.374.3148.5+0.037%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A20/03
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H26/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H03/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A10/04
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A17/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H24/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A04/05
Lega A
Casale Monferrato
#14
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H30/04
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#14
L
73-78 OT
73
78
-5
H02/05
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A05/05
A2 - Play Offs
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
16-22
15-16
24-21
16-13
22-16
17-19
18-18
15-24
21-19
23-19
9-13
26-21
14-25
17-26
19-16
10-18
11-25
18-11
34-35
24-6
14-15
22-13
13-20
15-20
23-18
22-18
18-26
26-16
20-16
8-19
20-16
21-11
14-15
14-20
10-13
17-17
31-27
13-13
21-22
150.4Avg total
74.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.374.7151.0+1.767%
Season at home (2)73.572.5146.0+1.050%
Season away (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.476.0150.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)76.072.0148.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.280.4157.5-3.238%
vs Similar (14)74.978.1153.0-3.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)76.374.7151.0+1.767%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
Casale MonferratoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#2
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A21/05
A2 - Play Offs
Agrigento
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A01/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A04/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H07/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H09/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A11/05
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A30/04
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A02/05
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H05/05
A2 - Play Offs
70.2Avg total
32.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.336.871.1-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.036.371.3-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)33.637.370.9-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)32.038.270.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.840.271.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.838.770.5-6.918%-
vs Similar (19)35.735.771.4-0.158%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A20/03
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A10/04
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A17/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H24/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/05
Lega A
Casale Monferrato
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H30/04
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#14
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/05
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#14
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A05/05
A2 - Play Offs
74.2Avg total
37.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.675.1-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.535.573.9+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)34.541.876.3-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.774.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.032.273.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.340.575.8-5.215%-
vs Similar (14)36.237.974.1-1.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.034.077.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Casale Monferrato wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/17HVirtus Bologna79-82
02/05/17AVirtus Bologna78-73 OT
30/04/17AVirtus Bologna67-74
11/05/16ATreviso65-81
09/05/16HTreviso56-59
07/05/16HTreviso72-65
04/05/16ATreviso54-83
01/05/16ATreviso67-61
23/05/15AAgrigento72-80
21/05/15AAgrigento71-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/17ACasale Monferrato82-79
02/05/17HCasale Monferrato73-78 OT
30/04/17HCasale Monferrato74-67
04/05/16AReggiana78-82
24/04/16HTorino73-54
17/04/16ACantu73-89
10/04/16APistoia76-88
03/04/16HTrento68-75
26/03/16HCremona73-66
20/03/16AAvellino74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casale Monferrato
A2 - Play Offs 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game74.779.072.5
Allowed / game76.382.073.5
Point differential-1.7-3.0-1.0
Avg total151.0161.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Virtus Bologna
A2 - Play Offs 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game76.373.582.0
Allowed / game74.772.579.0
Point differential+1.7+1.0+3.0
Avg total151.0146.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Treviso330100%78.367.7+10.7
2 Trieste32167%86.777.3+9.3
3 Fortitudo Bologna32167%69.066.3+2.7
4 Biella32167%76.074.0+2.0
5 Tortona32167%72.070.3+1.7
6 Virtus Bologna32167%76.374.7+1.7
7 Ravenna32167%89.790.0-0.3
8 Roseto32167%62.363.3-1.0
9 Legnano31233%63.362.3+1.0
10 Virtus Roma31233%90.089.7+0.3
11 Casale Monferrato31233%74.776.3-1.7
12 Mantova31233%70.372.0-1.7
13 Verona31233%74.076.0-2.0
14 Agrigento31233%66.369.0-2.7
15 Treviglio31233%77.386.7-9.3
16 Trapani3030%67.778.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casale Monferrato156151854
Virtus Bologna2514161570
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