Avellino vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 82-74

23-19 22-16 16-15 21-24

Position#3

Record15-8

FormWLWWW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game77.0

Avellino 🏆

Virtus Bologna

Position#14

Record9-14

FormWLLWW

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game79.3

Lega ARound 24

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Avellino v Virtus Bologna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Bologna winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

75-67

H23/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

81-80

A31/01

Lega A

Pistoia

84-76

H07/02

Lega A

Trento

80-68

+12

A13/02

Lega A

Reggiana

94-87

A19/02

Italian Cup

Trento

71-69

H20/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

76-82

-6

H21/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

95-94

A28/02

Lega A

Cantu

#11

81-77

H06/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

89-82

A14/03

Lega A

19-16

26-19

10-11

20-21

22-17

15-19

24-23

22-19

21-14

22-23

19-20

14-27

15-15

17-13

34-13

17-22

27-17

18-14

32-34

18-16

16-14

21-23

16-16

11-21

25-22

19-17

21-22

34-28

19-22

24-30

18-14

23-20

19-16

19-12

20-29

23-16

20-26

21-20

25-20

160.8Avg total

82.6Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.5	77.0	155.6	+1.5	65%
Season at home (11)	78.5	76.2	154.6	+2.3	73%
Season away (12)	78.6	77.8	156.4	+0.8	58%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	78.2	160.8	+4.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	80.8	163.2	+1.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	76.0	82.0	158.0	-6.0	0%
vs Similar (17)	76.5	76.8	153.2	-0.3	59%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	79.2	76.0	155.2	+3.2	73%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Torino

#15

70-75

-5

A27/12

Lega A

Reggiana

67-77

-10

H03/01

Lega A

Venezia

69-73

-4

A17/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

115-109 OT

115

109

H24/01

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

62-89

-27

A01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

79-75

H09/02

Lega A

Caserta

#13

65-69

-4

A14/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

85-101

101

-16

H28/02

Lega A

Sassari

91-85

A06/03

Lega A

Varese

76-67

H13/03

Lega A

26-12

9-20

19-16

16-27

22-19

12-17

14-24

19-17

19-23

9-18

26-10

15-22

22-14

24-22

13-16

17-24

16-29

13-18

17-12

16-30

14-21

29-19

18-20

18-15

21-24

12-16

18-7

14-22

25-31

13-23

18-21

29-26

24-26

16-19

27-20

24-20

18-19

19-10

20-22

19-16

159.9Avg total

77.9Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	75.0	79.3	154.3	-4.3	39%
Season at home (12)	81.2	80.2	161.3	+1.0	67%
Season away (11)	68.2	78.4	146.5	-10.2	9%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	82.0	159.9	-4.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	79.4	158.6	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	76.7	85.7	162.4	-8.9	33%
vs Similar (14)	74.3	79.3	153.6	-5.0	36%
vs Weaker (1)	89.0	85.0	174.0	+4.0	100%

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	21.0	32.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.5	17.1	38.5	+4.4	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	19.5	37.1	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	22.5	40.6	-4.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.2	44.6	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.6	19.9	37.4	-2.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.1	18.6	37.8	+0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	20.1	36.6	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	18.2	33.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	100%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

45-35

+10

H23/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-38

A31/01

Lega A

Pistoia

43-33

+10

H07/02

Lega A

Trento

29-42

-13

A13/02

Lega A

Reggiana

44-39

A19/02

Italian Cup

Trento

34-30

H20/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

36-43

-7

H21/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

53-50

A28/02

Lega A

Cantu

#11

42-36

H06/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

43-42

A14/03

Lega A

79.9Avg total

41.1Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.4	78.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	36.4	75.9	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	40.4	80.2	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.8	79.9	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	40.2	81.8	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.0	38.9	77.9	+0.1	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	40.6	37.1	77.7	+3.5	64%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Torino

#15

35-32

A27/12

Lega A

Reggiana

34-36

-2

H03/01

Lega A

Venezia

28-41

-13

A17/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

46-36

+10

H24/01

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

29-47

-18

A01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

43-40

H09/02

Lega A

Caserta

#13

33-40

-7

A14/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

38-54

-16

H28/02

Lega A

Sassari

40-45

-5

A06/03

Lega A

Varese

37-29

H13/03

Lega A

76.3Avg total

36.3Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	40.6	76.6	-4.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	38.7	76.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	42.5	77.2	-7.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	40.0	76.3	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.6	79.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.4	43.7	80.1	-7.3	7%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.6	37.6	73.2	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	37.0	73.0	-1.0	0%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.9	36.4	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.6	18.5	37.2	+0.1	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.3	38.1	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.5	38.3	-0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.5	17.4	34.9	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.7	39.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.2	44.1	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	22.3	39.5	-5.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	53%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.8	20.9	38.7	-3.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	28.0	55.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.3	76.4	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	37.5	76.1	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.4	80.9	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.5	37.8	75.3	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	37.6	38.2	75.8	-0.5	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	40.1	78.0	-2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	38.5	78.1	+1.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	41.7	77.9	-5.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	38.7	76.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.3	41.3	80.5	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.3	38.3	73.6	-3.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	53.0	48.0	101.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
28/11/15	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	81-66
29/03/15	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	96-79
07/12/14	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	77-76
06/04/14	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	72-80
22/12/13	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	74-78
27/03/13	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	94-78
28/10/12	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	87-77
29/01/12	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	76-56
16/10/11	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	96-90
06/02/11	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	105-101 OT

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/16	A	Brindisi	89-82
06/03/16	H	Cantu	81-77
28/02/16	A	Sassari	95-94
21/02/16	H	Olimpia Milano	76-82
20/02/16	H	Trento	71-69
19/02/16	A	Reggiana	94-87
13/02/16	A	Trento	80-68
07/02/16	H	Pistoia	84-76
31/01/16	A	Olimpia Milano	81-80
23/01/16	H	Reggiana	75-67

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/16	H	Varese	76-67
06/03/16	A	Sassari	91-85
28/02/16	H	Olimpia Milano	85-101
14/02/16	A	Caserta	65-69
09/02/16	H	Pesaro	79-75
01/02/16	A	Capo d'Orlando	62-89
24/01/16	H	Brindisi	115-109 OT
17/01/16	A	Venezia	69-73
03/01/16	H	Reggiana	67-77
27/12/15	A	Torino	70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	65%
Home	LWWWW	73%
Away	WWWWW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	65%	73%	58%
Points / game	78.5	78.5	78.6
Allowed / game	77.0	76.2	77.8
Point differential	+1.5	+2.3	+0.8
Avg total	155.6	154.6	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	18%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	75% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	39%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	LLLLW	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	39%	67%	9%
Points / game	75.0	81.2	68.2
Allowed / game	79.3	80.2	78.4
Point differential	-4.3	+1.0	-10.2
Avg total	154.3	161.3	146.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	8%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	80% (5)	0% (4)
Overtime %	13%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	23	18	5	78%	84.0	73.0	+11.0
2	Reggiana	24	18	6	75%	80.5	74.2	+6.3
3	Cremona	23	16	7	70%	75.1	73.0	+2.1
4	Avellino	23	15	8	65%	78.5	77.0	+1.5
5	Pistoia	24	13	11	54%	77.7	78.0	-0.3
6	Venezia	23	11	12	48%	77.1	73.9	+3.2
7	Sassari	23	11	12	48%	81.9	80.7	+1.3
8	Trento	23	11	12	48%	76.6	76.4	+0.2
9	Brindisi	23	11	12	48%	80.4	80.9	-0.5
10	Cantu	23	10	13	43%	80.7	79.8	+1.0
11	Pesaro	23	9	14	39%	75.2	77.8	-2.7
12	Caserta	23	9	14	39%	71.9	75.1	-3.2
13	Capo d'Orlando	23	9	14	39%	68.4	72.7	-4.2
14	Virtus Bologna	23	9	14	39%	75.0	79.3	-4.3
15	Varese	23	9	14	39%	73.7	78.8	-5.0
16	Torino	23	6	17	26%	74.5	81.0	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	23	22	16	21	82
Virtus Bologna	19	16	15	24	74

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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