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Caserta vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 84-67
23-17 18-19 22-13 21-18
Position#13
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game83.0
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Trento
Italy
Position#4
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game73.0
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Trento
06 Nov 2016
KAS84
TRE67
04 May 2016
KAS73
TRE70
08 Dec 2014
KAS88
TRE90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A03/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H10/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
55-73
55
73
-18
no box
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
105avg 107
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
103avg 107
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
119avg 107
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
74-65
74
65
+9
98avg 107
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
107avg 107
A30/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
17-22
11-18
22-24
21-23
17-23
23-21
21-20
20-26
17-25
24-7
26-34
13-19
11-9
15-17
16-28
20-15
11-19
21-10
21-26
18-14
22-23
20-26
18-12
23-20
12-23
19-27
20-23
13-19
19-25
32-14
31-24
22-13
19-18
13-19
20-15
12-28
24-27
25-20
19-25
159.7Avg total
77.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.283.0163.2-2.860%
Season at home (2)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)83.091.7174.7-8.733%
Last 10 (10)77.382.4159.7-5.140%
Last 5 (5)80.283.0163.2-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.582.0155.5-8.515%
vs Similar (17)75.075.7150.7-0.759%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
H24/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
A04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A08/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
61-62
61
62
-1
no box
H12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
61-69
61
69
-8
86avg 107
A02/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
122avg 107
H09/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
76-59
76
59
+17
112avg 107
A16/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
106avg 107
H30/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
21-18
15-20
10-19
15-20
19-11
10-21
26-21
20-17
14-25
25-23
15-21
21-13
16-25
15-24
19-17
24-19
13-13
9-14
15-16
20-14
11-18
13-21
17-16
20-19
28-22
20-27
22-9
22-7
13-21
20-21
21-10
31-25
14-14
16-15
24-22
18-22
30-22
16-16
16-24
146.2Avg total
73.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.473.0151.4+5.460%
Season at home (3)85.079.0164.0+6.067%
Season away (2)68.564.0132.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)73.073.2146.2-0.230%
Last 5 (5)78.473.0151.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.775.7144.3-7.00%
vs Similar (19)77.376.6153.9+0.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.478.6159.0+1.957%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
CasertaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Lega A
77.0Avg total
35.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.939.875.6-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.337.574.9-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)34.442.076.4-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)35.641.477.0-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.078.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.643.879.4-8.215%-
vs Similar (17)36.136.772.8-0.653%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H24/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H09/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A16/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/10
Lega A
74.1Avg total
38.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.976.0+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.936.476.2+3.571%-
Last 30 away (16)38.537.475.9+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.574.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.878.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (19)38.535.974.4+2.563%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.639.081.6+3.686%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.8
48.1%
51.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.0
36.4%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
74.0%13.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.422.4
50.5%
51.1%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.8
30.2%
35.7%17.4
🏀 Free throws24.015.4
64.2%
74.0%15.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LWWLWWLLLL
Trento
LWWWLLLLLL
#13
League position
#4
-3.6
Net rating
+7.3
101.4
Offensive rating
104.5
105.0
Defensive rating
97.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
48.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.7%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
40.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.4%
3-point %
30.2%
50.7%
Assist %
56.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 104.5Defence105.0 · 97.2Shooting50.3% · 48.9%3-point %36.4% · 30.2%Ball care17.8% · 20.7%Off. rebounds25.4% · 40.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Caserta   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caserta wins
3
Trento wins
DateGameScore
04/05/16Caserta v Trento73-70
03/01/16Trento v Caserta71-66
29/03/15Trento v Caserta73-66
08/12/14Caserta v Trento88-90
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16AOlimpia Milano80-100
24/10/16HPistoia74-65
16/10/16ACremona95-82
09/10/16AVarese74-93
02/10/16HReggiana78-75
04/05/16HTrento73-70
24/04/16ABrindisi55-73
17/04/16HAvellino87-92
10/04/16HReggiana82-87
03/04/16ASassari75-87
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16HReggiana80-84
23/10/16HCapo d'Orlando85-76
16/10/16AVenezia76-59
09/10/16HCremona90-77
02/10/16ABrindisi61-69
12/05/16HOlimpia Milano61-62
10/05/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
08/05/16AOlimpia Milano74-86
04/05/16ACaserta70-73
24/04/16HVenezia62-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game80.276.083.0
Allowed / game83.070.091.7
Point differential-2.8+6.0-8.7
Avg total163.2146.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game78.485.068.5
Allowed / game73.079.064.0
Point differential+5.4+6.0+4.5
Avg total151.4164.0132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano660100%89.079.0+10.0
2 Avellino54180%80.474.2+6.2
3 Reggiana54180%82.479.0+3.4
4 Sassari64267%79.774.7+5.0
5 Trento53260%78.473.0+5.4
6 Venezia53260%80.479.0+1.4
7 Caserta53260%80.283.0-2.8
8 Capo d'Orlando63350%81.076.5+4.5
9 Brindisi52340%79.280.4-1.2
10 Varese52340%78.281.8-3.6
11 Cantu52340%73.681.6-8.0
12 Pistoia62433%75.576.3-0.8
13 Torino62433%84.087.3-3.3
14 Cremona51420%80.283.6-3.4
15 Pesaro51420%67.473.8-6.4
16 Brescia61517%76.784.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2318222184
Trento1719131867
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