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Caserta vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 74-65
22-13 19-18 13-19 20-15
Position#13
Record2-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.3
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Pistoia
24 Oct 2016
KAS74
PIS65
06 Mar 2016
KAS88
PIS94
02 Nov 2014
KAS59
PIS63
12 Jan 2014
KAS80
PIS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H21/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A03/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H10/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
55-73
55
73
-18
no box
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
105avg 109
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
103avg 109
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
119avg 109
A16/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
23-22
27-16
11-19
18-16
17-16
18-19
19-20
25-23
17-22
11-18
22-24
21-23
17-23
23-21
21-20
20-26
17-25
24-7
26-34
13-19
11-9
15-17
16-28
20-15
11-19
21-10
21-26
18-14
22-23
20-26
18-12
23-20
12-23
19-27
20-23
13-19
19-25
32-14
31-24
157.4Avg total
76.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.383.3165.7-1.067%
Season at home (1)78.075.0153.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)84.587.5172.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)76.481.0157.4-4.640%
Last 5 (5)75.078.6153.6-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.880.5153.2-7.715%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.976.9152.8-0.959%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
H10/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
A18/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
H24/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
A04/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
no box
H11/05
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
67-87
67
87
-20
no box
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
89-81
89
81
+8
133avg 112
H09/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
92avg 112
A15/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
25-14
26-17
16-19
18-14
16-25
18-17
16-18
14-23
15-18
30-11
18-16
16-13
14-18
12-11
23-16
15-28
26-27
15-22
20-16
17-23
16-24
18-19
19-17
27-21
18-22
16-20
21-19
21-26
12-25
11-20
23-16
16-24
18-18
25-17
30-22
25-22
18-13
12-14
12-34
155.2Avg total
75.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.383.7158.0-9.333%
Season at home (1)89.081.0170.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)67.085.0152.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)75.779.5155.2-3.840%
Last 5 (5)76.685.2161.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.187.3164.4-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.576.9152.4-1.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
CasertaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/10
Lega A
75.4Avg total
34.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.074.7-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.937.574.5-0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)34.540.575.0-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)34.940.575.4-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.269.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.541.977.5-6.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.936.872.6-0.953%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H10/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A18/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H24/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A04/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/05
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/10
Lega A
79.2Avg total
36.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.341.478.7-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.040.478.4-2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)36.742.278.9-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.479.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.681.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.947.084.9-9.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)37.039.876.9-2.832%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.019.7
42.8%
51.1%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.08.7
43.3%
35.7%26.0
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.6%
74.0%16.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.3
52.5%
51.1%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.0
29.6%
35.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
74.0%11.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
WLWWLLLLWL
Pistoia
LWLLLLWWLW
#13
League position
#7
-1.3
Net rating
-9.4
103.0
Offensive rating
100.6
104.3
Defensive rating
110.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
22.1%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
43.3%
3-point %
29.6%
44.7%
Assist %
57.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 100.6Defence104.3 · 110.0Shooting49.5% · 49.5%3-point %43.3% · 29.6%Ball care18.6% · 22.1%Off. rebounds29.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Caserta   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caserta wins
5
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
06/03/16Caserta v Pistoia88-94
15/11/15Pistoia v Caserta93-84 OT
15/02/15Pistoia v Caserta87-76
02/11/14Caserta v Pistoia59-63
11/05/14Pistoia v Caserta73-68
12/01/14Caserta v Pistoia80-74
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/16ACremona95-82
09/10/16AVarese74-93
02/10/16HReggiana78-75
04/05/16HTrento73-70
24/04/16ABrindisi55-73
17/04/16HAvellino87-92
10/04/16HReggiana82-87
03/04/16ASassari75-87
26/03/16APesaro72-71
21/03/16HVenezia73-80
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/16AAvellino67-83
09/10/16HBrindisi89-81
03/10/16ACremona67-87
11/05/16HAvellino90-92 OT
09/05/16AAvellino70-83
07/05/16AAvellino76-93
04/05/16ACapo d'Orlando65-58
24/04/16HSassari77-68
18/04/16AVenezia68-74
10/04/16HVirtus Bologna88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game82.378.084.5
Allowed / game83.375.087.5
Point differential-1.0+3.0-3.0
Avg total165.7153.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game74.389.067.0
Allowed / game83.781.085.0
Point differential-9.3+8.0-18.0
Avg total158.0170.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano440100%83.574.2+9.2
2 Trento43175%78.070.2+7.8
3 Avellino43175%77.573.0+4.5
4 Reggiana43175%82.078.8+3.2
5 Caserta32167%82.383.3-1.0
6 Varese42250%81.878.0+3.8
7 Cantu42250%78.878.0+0.8
8 Sassari42250%80.880.2+0.5
9 Venezia42250%80.280.5-0.2
10 Torino42250%82.084.2-2.2
11 Pistoia31233%74.383.7-9.3
12 Pesaro41325%69.570.8-1.2
13 Cremona41325%82.084.2-2.2
14 Brindisi41325%77.280.8-3.5
15 Capo d'Orlando41325%75.079.2-4.2
16 Brescia41325%73.081.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2219132074
Pistoia1318191565
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