Trento vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 May 2016

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 61-62

24-19 13-13 9-14 15-16

Position#9

Record15-17

FormWLLLL

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game76.2

Trento

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Position#1

Record24-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game73.4

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Trento v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trento

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

93-81 OT

+12

H26/03

Lega A

Strasbourg

#14

74-68

A29/03

Eurocup

Virtus Bologna

#14

75-68

A03/04

Lega A

Strasbourg

#14

78-86

-8

H06/04

Eurocup

Cantu

#11

79-75

H10/04

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

82-81

A17/04

Lega A

Venezia

62-67

-5

H24/04

Lega A

Caserta

#13

70-73

-3

A04/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

74-86

-12

A08/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

71-79

-8

A10/05

Lega A

23-17

21-15

15-26

17-18

31-16

9-21

19-14

15-17

24-15

19-21

19-23

13-9

19-21

16-15

16-26

27-24

10-23

19-11

24-14

26-27

16-17

21-21

20-28

25-15

16-10

21-18

15-20

10-19

15-20

19-11

10-21

26-21

20-17

14-25

25-23

15-21

21-13

16-25

15-24

19-17

152.2Avg total

75.8Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	76.2	76.2	152.4	-0.1	47%
Season at home (15)	77.9	75.1	153.0	+2.7	60%
Season away (17)	74.6	77.2	151.8	-2.5	35%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	76.4	152.2	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	77.2	149.0	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	74.7	82.7	157.3	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (21)	77.8	77.2	155.0	+0.6	48%
vs Weaker (5)	75.6	81.0	156.6	-5.4	40%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

#11

72-65

H20/03

Lega A

Trento

79-92

-13

H23/03

Eurocup

Reggiana

84-80

H26/03

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

71-78

-7

A03/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

50-64

-14

A10/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

82-78

H17/04

Lega A

Cremona

81-77

H24/04

Lega A

Sassari

80-83

-3

A04/05

Lega A

Trento

86-74

+12

H08/05

Lega A

Trento

79-71

H10/05

Lega A

16-20

20-16

25-9

11-20

19-24

24-24

11-21

25-23

26-28

17-15

19-18

22-19

15-20

23-20

24-16

9-22

10-24

18-14

15-14

7-12

23-17

16-27

22-14

21-20

23-16

18-20

17-25

21-22

18-28

22-14

19-19

17-20

25-14

23-25

21-15

13-21

25-16

24-15

17-19

152.6Avg total

76.4Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	81.8	73.4	155.2	+8.3	75%
Season at home (17)	84.3	72.4	156.6	+11.9	94%
Season away (15)	78.9	74.7	153.6	+4.3	53%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	76.2	152.6	+0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	76.6	158.2	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	77.9	76.6	154.5	+1.3	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	82.3	76.1	158.4	+6.3	83%

This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TrentoOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.8	38.5	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.9	36.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	15.4	33.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.7	17.7	39.3	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (21)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.6	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.6	21.1	38.7	-3.5	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.3	35.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	14.7	23.7	38.3	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	17.7	19.0	36.6	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	17.9	39.6	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.1	17.4	38.5	+3.7	78%	-

TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

44-32

+12

H26/03

Lega A

Strasbourg

#14

40-37

A29/03

Eurocup

Virtus Bologna

#14

43-36

A03/04

Lega A

Strasbourg

#14

35-36

-1

H06/04

Eurocup

Cantu

#11

29-34

-5

H10/04

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

37-38

-1

A17/04

Lega A

Venezia

37-28

H24/04

Lega A

Caserta

#13

34-31

A04/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-42

-8

A08/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-38

-1

A10/05

Lega A

72.2Avg total

37.0Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	37.9	76.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.1	36.2	74.3	+1.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.7	38.9	77.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	35.2	72.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	35.4	71.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.3	41.3	77.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	39.0	37.1	76.1	+2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.6	38.8	76.4	-1.2	60%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

#11

36-36

H20/03

Lega A

Trento

43-48

-5

H23/03

Eurocup

Reggiana

43-43

H26/03

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

38-40

-2

A03/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

28-38

-10

A10/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

39-44

-5

H17/04

Lega A

Cremona

46-32

+14

H24/04

Lega A

Sassari

39-50

-11

A04/05

Lega A

Trento

42-34

H08/05

Lega A

Trento

38-37

H10/05

Lega A

79.4Avg total

39.2Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	38.0	79.9	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	38.5	81.1	+4.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	37.5	78.4	+3.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	40.2	79.4	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.4	80.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	41.9	39.7	81.6	+2.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.0	37.4	79.4	+4.6	61%	-

This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	19.2	38.3	+0.0	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.9	39.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.2	40.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	16.6	36.9	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.6	39.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.0	17.3	37.3	+2.7	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.5	40.3	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	23.2	42.4	-3.9	17%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.5	20.4	38.9	-1.9	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.9	24%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.8	41.1	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.4	36.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	40.2	78.4	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.4	42.3	80.8	-3.9	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.0	38.8	76.8	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	40.7	77.8	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	41.8	77.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	38.3	41.3	79.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	37.9	39.9	77.8	-2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.0	42.2	80.2	-4.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.3	75.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	36.5	76.9	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	38.2	74.7	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	36.0	73.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.2	78.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	36.0	36.9	72.9	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	39.5	38.1	77.6	+1.4	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Trento wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/16	Olimpia Milano v Trento	79-71
08/05/16	Olimpia Milano v Trento	86-74
23/03/16	Olimpia Milano v Trento	79-92
15/03/16	Trento v Olimpia Milano	83-73
16/01/16	Olimpia Milano v Trento	83-79
08/10/15	Trento v Olimpia Milano	80-73
01/02/15	Trento v Olimpia Milano	84-102
20/10/14	Olimpia Milano v Trento	90-75

Trentolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/16	A	Olimpia Milano	71-79
08/05/16	A	Olimpia Milano	74-86
04/05/16	A	Caserta	70-73
24/04/16	H	Venezia	62-67
17/04/16	A	Capo d'Orlando	82-81
10/04/16	H	Cantu	79-75
06/04/16	H	Strasbourg	78-86
03/04/16	A	Virtus Bologna	75-68
29/03/16	A	Strasbourg	74-68
26/03/16	H	Sassari	93-81 OT

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/16	H	Trento	79-71
08/05/16	H	Trento	86-74
04/05/16	A	Sassari	80-83
24/04/16	H	Cremona	81-77
17/04/16	H	Pesaro	82-78
10/04/16	A	Brindisi	50-64
03/04/16	A	Capo d'Orlando	71-78
26/03/16	H	Reggiana	84-80
23/03/16	H	Trento	79-92
20/03/16	H	Cantu	72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	47%
Home	LLWWL	60%
Away	WWLLL	35%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	15	17
Win %	47%	60%	35%
Points / game	76.2	77.9	74.6
Allowed / game	76.2	75.1	77.2
Point differential	-0.1	+2.7	-2.5
Avg total	152.4	153.0	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	27%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	50% (4)	33% (6)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	75%
Home	WWWWW	94%
Away	WWLLL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	75%	94%	53%
Points / game	81.8	84.3	78.9
Allowed / game	73.4	72.4	74.7
Point differential	+8.3	+11.9	+4.3
Avg total	155.2	156.6	153.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	41%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (14)	88% (8)	33% (6)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	32	24	8	75%	81.8	73.4	+8.3
2	Reggiana	33	24	9	73%	81.5	75.5	+6.0
3	Avellino	33	23	10	70%	80.5	77.1	+3.5
4	Cremona	33	20	13	61%	74.8	73.8	+1.0
5	Venezia	33	18	15	55%	77.1	74.0	+3.1
6	Sassari	33	16	17	48%	82.9	82.0	+1.0
7	Pistoia	33	16	17	48%	77.2	78.4	-1.2
8	Trento	32	15	17	47%	76.2	76.2	-0.1
9	Varese	30	14	16	47%	75.1	78.1	-3.1
10	Brindisi	30	13	17	43%	77.3	78.4	-1.0
11	Cantu	30	12	18	40%	80.7	80.2	+0.6
12	Pesaro	30	12	18	40%	76.1	78.5	-2.4
13	Caserta	30	11	19	37%	72.4	76.3	-3.9
14	Virtus Bologna	30	11	19	37%	74.6	78.7	-4.0
15	Torino	30	11	19	37%	75.4	80.0	-4.7
16	Capo d'Orlando	30	11	19	37%	68.6	73.5	-4.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Trento	24	13	9	15	61
Olimpia Milano	19	13	14	16	62

← all games of the day

Trento vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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