Casey Cavaliers vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Aug 2022

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 100-95

23-26 27-18 25-19 25-32

Position#15

Record7-14

FormLWLWL

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game85.7

Casey Cavaliers 🏆

Geelong

Position#8

Record12-9

FormLWLWL

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game83.0

NBL1 SouthRound 16

Other2022

Meetings · Casey Cavaliers v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eltham

#17

63-82

-19

H26/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

111-81

111

+30

A02/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

91-87

H09/07

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

80-89

-9

H16/07

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

78-85

-7

A17/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

85-93

-8

A23/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

100-87

100

+13

A24/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

70-80

-10

H30/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

93-80

+13

H06/08

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

67-75

-8

A13/08

NBL1 South

14-26

21-17

11-24

17-15

14-24

33-15

31-23

33-19

24-29

17-19

23-27

27-12

16-27

21-20

24-22

19-20

18-18

22-27

19-20

29-16

13-29

25-25

18-23

18-17

30-16

29-25

23-29

23-16

19-27

14-17

14-20

28-19

26-19

25-20

14-22

26-18

15-16

18-18

8-23

167.7Avg total

83.8Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	82.6	85.7	168.3	-3.0	33%
Season at home (10)	80.0	86.0	166.0	-6.0	40%
Season away (11)	85.0	85.4	170.4	-0.4	27%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	83.9	167.7	-0.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	83.0	166.0	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.0	87.6	168.6	-6.6	33%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	82.6	83.3	165.9	-0.8	22%
vs Weaker (3)	87.7	87.0	174.7	+0.7	67%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

71-79

-8

H01/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

81-93

-12

A02/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

99-91

H09/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

84-97

-13

A10/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

100-96

100

A16/07

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

73-94

-21

H23/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

97-75

+22

A24/07

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

86-92

-6

H31/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

89-75

+14

H05/08

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

74-98

-24

A06/08

NBL1 South

13-27

21-25

16-19

21-8

23-24

20-25

22-20

16-24

30-25

13-30

25-18

31-18

29-24

24-28

11-26

20-19

24-29

27-16

32-20

17-31

18-31

19-16

22-23

14-24

36-18

22-18

23-17

16-22

26-17

20-23

23-27

17-25

22-28

15-17

29-13

23-17

25-23

19-24

15-25

15-26

174.4Avg total

85.4Scored

89.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	85.3	83.0	168.3	+2.3	57%
Season at home (11)	82.5	80.4	162.8	+2.1	45%
Season away (10)	88.5	85.9	174.4	+2.6	70%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	89.0	174.4	-3.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	86.8	170.6	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.6	83.6	161.2	-6.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	88.7	86.2	174.9	+2.5	46%
vs Weaker (9)	95.2	80.3	175.6	+14.9	100%

This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Casey CavaliersGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.2	21.6	41.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.3	23.9	43.2	-4.6	30%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.5	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	17.2	42.0	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.4	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.3	21.9	45.2	+1.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.7	42.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.9	22.0	47.9	+3.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	24.6	49.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	23.4	48.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	25.3	20.5	45.8	+4.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (9)	25.4	21.8	47.2	+3.7	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.7	21.7	42.5	-1.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	24.3	47.7	-1.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	21.1	43.0	+0.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.5	41.3	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	20.7	44.8	+3.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.3	56%	-

Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eltham

#17

35-43

-8

H26/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

47-39

A02/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

41-48

-7

H09/07

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

37-47

-10

H16/07

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

40-45

-5

A17/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

42-45

-3

A23/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

48-33

+15

A24/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

42-43

-1

H30/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

54-38

+16

H06/08

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

41-34

A13/08

NBL1 South

84.2Avg total

42.7Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	41.3	43.0	84.3	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	40.8	44.8	85.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 away (11)	41.8	41.3	83.1	+0.5	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	41.5	84.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	38.6	84.0	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.7	44.6	84.2	-4.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.1	40.9	83.0	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	44.3	88.3	-0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

34-52

-18

H01/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

43-49

-6

A02/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

43-55

-12

H09/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

53-52

A10/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

51-45

A16/07

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

37-47

-10

H23/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

58-36

+22

A24/07

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

46-40

H31/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

37-45

-8

H05/08

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

44-47

-3

A06/08

NBL1 South

91.4Avg total

44.6Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	45.2	43.0	88.2	+2.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	43.3	83.9	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	50.0	42.7	92.7	+7.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	46.8	91.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	43.0	87.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.1	44.5	83.6	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	46.3	42.0	88.3	+4.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	49.0	43.0	92.0	+6.0	56%	-

This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.8	21.4	42.1	-0.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.2	20.2	40.4	-0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	26.0	18.1	44.1	+7.9	89%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.2	20.2	40.4	-0.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	30%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	23.4	38.8	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.8	17.8	35.5	+0.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	41.1	41.8	82.9	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	39.2	41.2	80.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.8	42.3	85.1	+0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	42.4	83.5	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	44.4	82.0	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.9	40.8	81.7	+0.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.4	42.4	82.9	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.7	42.7	86.3	+1.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.9	39.6	81.4	+2.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	38.5	81.9	+4.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	40.7	81.0	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	43.8	83.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.5	39.1	77.6	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.8	41.6	82.4	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	46.2	37.3	83.6	+8.9	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Casey Cavaliers wins

Geelong wins

No previous meetings.

Casey Cavalierslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/08/22	A	Keilor Thunder	67-75
06/08/22	H	Dandenong	93-80
30/07/22	H	Kilsyth	70-80
24/07/22	A	Waverley	100-87
23/07/22	A	Sandringham Sabres	85-93
17/07/22	A	Bendigo Braves	78-85
16/07/22	H	Ringwood	80-89
09/07/22	H	Frankston	91-87
02/07/22	A	Diamond Valley	111-81
26/06/22	H	Eltham	63-82

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/08/22	A	Keilor Thunder	74-98
05/08/22	H	Nunawading	89-75
31/07/22	H	Mt Gambier	86-92
24/07/22	A	Melbourne Tigers	97-75
23/07/22	H	Hobart Chargers	73-94
16/07/22	A	Dandenong	100-96
10/07/22	A	Kilsyth	84-97
09/07/22	H	Waverley	99-91
02/07/22	A	Sandringham Sabres	81-93
01/07/22	H	Bendigo Braves	71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	33%
Home	LWLLW	40%
Away	WLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	33%	40%	27%
Points / game	82.6	80.0	85.0
Allowed / game	85.7	86.0	85.4
Point differential	-3.0	-6.0	-0.4
Avg total	168.3	166.0	170.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	10%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	75% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Geelong

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	57%
Home	LWLLW	45%
Away	LLWWL	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	57%	45%	70%
Points / game	85.3	82.5	88.5
Allowed / game	83.0	80.4	85.9
Point differential	+2.3	+2.1	+2.6
Avg total	168.3	162.8	174.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	18%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (1)	100% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	22	17	5	77%	87.9	78.9	+9.0
2	Mt Gambier	22	16	6	73%	94.1	84.2	+10.0
3	Kilsyth	22	16	6	73%	82.8	78.8	+4.0
4	Sandringham Sabres	22	16	6	73%	83.7	81.4	+2.3
5	Frankston	22	14	8	64%	91.4	85.1	+6.3
6	Bendigo Braves	22	13	9	59%	80.9	75.7	+5.2
7	Geelong	21	12	9	57%	85.3	83.0	+2.3
8	Knox	22	12	10	55%	82.5	77.1	+5.4
9	Waverley	22	11	11	50%	84.6	83.1	+1.5
10	Diamond Valley	22	11	11	50%	83.2	84.5	-1.3
11	Ringwood	22	10	12	45%	80.9	82.9	-2.0
12	Ballarat	22	10	12	45%	81.0	83.1	-2.1
13	NW Tasmania	22	10	12	45%	76.3	79.7	-3.4
14	Keilor Thunder	22	8	14	36%	76.4	78.3	-1.9
15	Casey Cavaliers	21	7	14	33%	82.6	85.7	-3.0
16	Nunawading	22	7	15	32%	77.9	82.6	-4.7
17	Eltham	22	7	15	32%	74.5	81.0	-6.5
18	Melbourne Tigers	22	6	16	27%	72.3	82.0	-9.6
19	Dandenong	22	5	17	23%	78.8	90.2	-11.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Casey Cavaliers	23	27	25	25	100
Geelong	26	18	19	32	95

← all games of the day

Casey Cavaliers vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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