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Geelong vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 71-79
13-27 21-25 16-19 21-8
Position#8
Record8-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#6
Record6-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game74.1
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 10
Other2022
Meetings · Geelong v Bendigo Braves
12 Apr 2025
GEEL89
BEND91
12 Apr 2024
GEEL81
BEND88
15 Apr 2023
GEEL85
BEND96
01 Jul 2022
GEEL71
BEND79
31 Jul 2021
GEEL90
BEND80
20 Jul 2019
GEEL67
BEND84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo Braves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#11
W
110-59
110
59
+51
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A01/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H13/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A14/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A20/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H28/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H04/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A19/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H25/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
21-16
24-15
39-16
22-29
24-19
23-13
21-12
30-25
17-16
21-16
16-19
10-19
24-17
21-15
9-19
26-22
18-28
21-16
20-10
18-22
26-15
17-22
22-23
18-22
19-24
19-25
26-17
17-12
13-20
11-26
22-20
24-19
27-22
26-19
16-13
25-20
27-19
19-19
15-24
159.7Avg total
84.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.377.5162.8+7.773%
Season at home (6)81.575.5157.0+6.050%
Season away (5)89.880.0169.8+9.8100%
Last 10 (10)84.075.7159.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)81.480.6162.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.881.0158.8-3.233%
vs Similar (14)86.482.0168.4+4.457%
vs Weaker (10)91.276.9168.1+14.3100%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#8
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H01/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H07/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A14/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H21/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A27/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A28/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H04/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
104-61
104
61
+43
H18/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H19/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A25/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
19-24
13-23
12-21
28-24
24-24
15-19
15-24
15-21
24-20
9-12
17-18
24-15
16-9
27-32
23-18
20-25
19-14
21-18
13-20
14-8
14-11
13-27
28-14
22-19
20-22
24-14
24-18
29-14
28-12
34-19
13-16
23-17
30-16
18-21
18-19
15-9
23-13
29-16
15-24
154.9Avg total
81.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.474.1153.5+5.350%
Season at home (6)88.077.0165.0+11.067%
Season away (6)70.871.2142.0-0.333%
Last 10 (10)81.773.2154.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)86.865.8152.6+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.094.8177.8-11.811%
vs Similar (7)87.177.1164.3+10.086%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.374.9158.2+8.471%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
GeelongBendigo Braves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H13/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H28/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H04/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A19/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/06
NBL1 South
83.0Avg total
43.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.839.883.6+4.059%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.840.080.8+0.847%-
Last 30 away (14)47.039.586.5+7.571%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.883.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.081.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.742.783.3-2.033%-
vs Similar (13)43.437.681.0+5.869%-
vs Weaker (10)46.240.887.0+5.460%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H07/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H21/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A27/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
28-19
28
19
+9
A28/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H04/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H18/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H19/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A25/06
NBL1 South
77.5Avg total
43.6Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.539.282.8+4.366%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.737.983.6+7.883%-
Last 30 away (17)42.040.282.2+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)43.633.977.5+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.628.271.8+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.048.490.4-6.433%-
vs Similar (7)47.034.181.1+12.986%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.735.678.3+7.177%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Geelong wins
2
Bendigo Braves wins
DateGameScore
01/05/22Bendigo Braves v Geelong73-90
31/07/21Geelong v Bendigo Braves90-80
20/07/19Geelong v Bendigo Braves67-84
12/05/19Bendigo Braves v Geelong96-80
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/22HNW Tasmania86-82
19/06/22ADiamond Valley93-73
04/06/22HBallarat63-78
28/05/22HFrankston82-88
20/05/22AMt Gambier83-82
14/05/22AEltham85-76
13/05/22HKnox64-70
07/05/22HKeilor Thunder84-76
01/05/22ABendigo Braves90-73
30/04/22HRingwood110-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/22AEltham82-62
19/06/22HFrankston89-73
18/06/22HDandenong104-61
04/06/22HRingwood90-73
28/05/22ANW Tasmania69-60
27/05/22AHobart Chargers73-77
21/05/22HDiamond Valley90-74
14/05/22ASandringham Sabres65-71
07/05/22HBallarat82-91
01/05/22HGeelong73-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%50%100%
Points / game85.381.589.8
Allowed / game77.575.580.0
Point differential+7.7+6.0+9.8
Avg total162.8157.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game79.488.070.8
Allowed / game74.177.071.2
Point differential+5.3+11.0-0.3
Avg total153.5165.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1210283%99.484.0+15.4
2 Hobart Chargers129375%84.378.1+6.2
3 Geelong118373%85.377.5+7.7
4 Waverley117464%83.981.5+2.5
5 Ballarat138562%82.278.3+3.9
6 Kilsyth138562%78.279.3-1.2
7 Sandringham Sabres138562%81.583.9-2.5
8 Frankston127558%91.785.1+6.6
9 Knox137654%84.677.1+7.5
10 Ringwood137654%77.580.7-3.2
11 Bendigo Braves126650%79.474.1+5.3
12 Diamond Valley126650%84.282.2+1.9
13 Nunawading136746%77.380.8-3.5
14 NW Tasmania125742%71.880.0-8.2
15 Dandenong124833%79.185.5-6.4
16 Casey Cavaliers123925%80.086.8-6.8
17 Melbourne Tigers123925%72.881.2-8.5
18 Keilor Thunder1221017%73.581.4-7.9
19 Eltham1221017%73.781.8-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1321162171
Bendigo Braves272519879
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