Keilor Thunder vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Aug 2022

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 98-74

23-25 24-19 25-15 26-15

Position#14

Record6-13

FormWWLLL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game78.8

Keilor Thunder 🏆

Geelong

Position#8

Record12-8

FormWLWLW

Points / game85.9

Allowed / game82.2

NBL1 SouthRound 15

Other2022

Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#18

66-62

H04/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

53-88

-35

A18/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

61-89

-28

H26/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

87-82

H02/07

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

88-68

+20

A09/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

83-54

+29

A10/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

#17

72-69

A16/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

69-79

-10

H17/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

76-79

-3

H23/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

80-89

-9

A30/07

NBL1 South

14-14

14-18

19-15

19-23

11-16

11-13

12-36

15-24

17-24

10-18

19-23

18-15

24-19

20-25

25-23

19-15

19-18

24-17

26-18

26-19

19-10

14-11

24-14

16-8

22-13

11-29

23-19

19-18

22-22

6-20

22-19

18-26

23-18

18-23

17-12

15-17

24-17

21-18

20-37

149.4Avg total

73.5Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	75.6	78.8	154.4	-3.2	32%
Season at home (9)	76.1	79.1	155.2	-3.0	33%
Season away (10)	75.2	78.5	153.7	-3.3	30%
Last 10 (10)	73.5	75.9	149.4	-2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	74.0	150.0	+2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.2	82.8	161.0	-4.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	74.4	81.7	156.1	-7.2	11%
vs Weaker (4)	74.5	66.2	140.8	+8.2	75%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#13

86-82

H25/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

71-79

-8

H01/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

81-93

-12

A02/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

99-91

H09/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

84-97

-13

A10/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

100-96

100

A16/07

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

73-94

-21

H23/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

97-75

+22

A24/07

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

86-92

-6

H31/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

89-75

+14

H05/08

NBL1 South

25-20

27-19

19-19

15-24

13-27

21-25

16-19

21-8

23-24

20-25

22-20

16-24

30-25

13-30

25-18

31-18

29-24

24-28

11-26

20-19

24-29

27-16

32-20

17-31

18-31

19-16

22-23

14-24

36-18

22-18

23-17

16-22

26-17

20-23

23-27

17-25

22-28

15-17

29-13

23-17

174.0Avg total

86.6Scored

87.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	85.9	82.2	168.2	+3.7	60%
Season at home (11)	82.5	80.4	162.8	+2.1	45%
Season away (9)	90.1	84.6	174.7	+5.6	78%
Last 10 (10)	86.6	87.4	174.0	-0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	86.4	175.4	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.6	83.6	161.2	-6.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	89.9	85.2	175.2	+4.7	50%
vs Weaker (10)	94.7	78.9	173.6	+15.8	100%

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Keilor ThunderGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	58%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.9	35.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	14.5	34.0	+5.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.5	21.8	45.3	+1.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	21.8	43.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	26.0	21.9	47.9	+4.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	24.3	48.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	24.6	49.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	25.4	20.3	45.6	+5.1	82%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.9	21.8	47.7	+4.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.3	42%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.2	20.7	40.8	-0.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.2	18.7	35.9	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	16.8	36.2	+2.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	21.1	40.8	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.5	20.5	44.9	+4.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	60%	-

Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#18

28-32

-4

H04/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

30-39

-9

A18/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

32-48

-16

H26/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

42-34

H02/07

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

38-33

A09/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

45-29

+16

A10/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

#17

38-21

+17

A16/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

41-40

H17/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

41-44

-3

H23/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

39-34

A30/07

NBL1 South

72.8Avg total

37.4Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	38.5	38.5	77.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	39.9	40.6	80.4	-0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (10)	37.3	36.6	73.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	35.4	72.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	33.6	74.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.7	40.2	80.8	+0.5	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.9	40.6	77.4	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.0	31.2	70.2	+7.8	75%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#13

52-39

+13

H25/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

34-52

-18

H01/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

43-49

-6

A02/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

43-55

-12

H09/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

53-52

A10/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

51-45

A16/07

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

37-47

-10

H23/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

58-36

+22

A24/07

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

46-40

H31/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

37-45

-8

H05/08

NBL1 South

91.4Avg total

45.4Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	45.3	42.7	88.0	+2.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	42.9	84.0	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	50.5	42.4	92.8	+8.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	46.0	91.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	42.6	88.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.1	44.5	83.6	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	46.5	41.5	88.1	+5.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	48.9	42.4	91.3	+6.5	60%	-

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	16.0	18.8	34.8	-2.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	18.9	34.3	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	20.2	34.2	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	21.7	37.7	-5.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	14.0	16.2	30.2	-2.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.6	19.6	42.1	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.0	45.8	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.8	21.4	42.1	-0.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.6	19.8	40.5	+0.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	26.2	17.8	44.0	+8.4	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.7	21.2	40.8	-1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.7	22.3	40.0	-4.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	18.8	40.2	+2.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.1	38.4	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-1.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.8	41.2	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.8	17.8	35.5	+0.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	37.1	40.3	77.4	-3.2	26%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	36.2	38.6	74.8	-2.3	22%	-
Last 30 away (10)	37.9	41.9	79.8	-4.0	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	40.5	76.6	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	40.4	75.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.5	42.7	80.2	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.6	41.1	78.7	-3.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (4)	35.5	35.0	70.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.3	38.8	81.1	+3.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	37.9	81.2	+5.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.1	39.9	81.0	+1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.4	82.6	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	43.8	87.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.5	39.1	77.6	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.8	40.7	82.5	+1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.8	36.5	82.3	+9.3	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Keilor Thunder wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
07/05/22	Geelong v Keilor Thunder	84-76

Keilor Thunderlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/07/22	A	Sandringham Sabres	80-89
23/07/22	H	Diamond Valley	76-79
17/07/22	H	Frankston	69-79
16/07/22	A	Eltham	72-69
10/07/22	A	Melbourne Tigers	83-54
09/07/22	A	Ballarat	88-68
02/07/22	H	Kilsyth	87-82
26/06/22	H	Hobart Chargers	61-89
18/06/22	A	Ringwood	53-88
04/06/22	H	Melbourne Tigers	66-62

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/08/22	H	Nunawading	89-75
31/07/22	H	Mt Gambier	86-92
24/07/22	A	Melbourne Tigers	97-75
23/07/22	H	Hobart Chargers	73-94
16/07/22	A	Dandenong	100-96
10/07/22	A	Kilsyth	84-97
09/07/22	H	Waverley	99-91
02/07/22	A	Sandringham Sabres	81-93
01/07/22	H	Bendigo Braves	71-79
25/06/22	H	NW Tasmania	86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	32%
Home	WLWLL	33%
Away	LWWWL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	32%	33%	30%
Points / game	75.6	76.1	75.2
Allowed / game	78.8	79.1	78.5
Point differential	-3.2	-3.0	-3.3
Avg total	154.4	155.2	153.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	11%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	40% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geelong

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	60%
Home	LWLLW	45%
Away	WLLWW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	60%	45%	78%
Points / game	85.9	82.5	90.1
Allowed / game	82.2	80.4	84.6
Point differential	+3.6	+2.1	+5.6
Avg total	168.2	162.8	174.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	18%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (1)	100% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	21	16	5	76%	88.0	78.7	+9.3
2	Mt Gambier	19	14	5	74%	94.8	84.7	+10.2
3	Sandringham Sabres	21	15	6	71%	83.4	82.5	+0.9
4	Kilsyth	19	13	6	68%	82.4	78.8	+3.6
5	Bendigo Braves	20	13	7	65%	80.7	74.2	+6.5
6	Frankston	19	12	7	63%	90.4	85.4	+5.0
7	Geelong	20	12	8	60%	85.9	82.2	+3.6
8	Knox	19	10	9	53%	82.3	76.9	+5.4
9	Ballarat	18	9	9	50%	81.0	80.7	+0.3
10	Diamond Valley	20	10	10	50%	82.2	84.2	-2.1
11	NW Tasmania	21	10	11	48%	76.0	79.4	-3.4
12	Waverley	19	9	10	47%	82.3	82.9	-0.6
13	Ringwood	19	9	10	47%	80.8	83.2	-2.3
14	Casey Cavaliers	20	7	13	35%	83.4	86.2	-2.8
15	Nunawading	20	7	13	35%	78.0	82.6	-4.6
16	Keilor Thunder	19	6	13	32%	75.6	78.8	-3.2
17	Eltham	19	5	14	26%	75.3	81.6	-6.3
18	Dandenong	20	5	15	25%	79.2	89.4	-10.2
19	Melbourne Tigers	19	4	15	21%	71.1	80.7	-9.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Keilor Thunder	23	24	25	26	98
Geelong	25	19	15	15	74

← all games of the day

Keilor Thunder vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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