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Casey Cavaliers vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 90-63
22-15 29-11 18-15 21-22
Position#19
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game95.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers v Geelong
22 Apr 2023
CASE90
GEEL63
14 Aug 2022
CASE100
GEEL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A23/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
A24/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H30/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H06/08
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A13/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
100-95
100
95
+5
H14/08
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A01/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A14/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A16/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
H21/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
13-29
25-25
18-23
18-17
30-16
29-25
23-29
23-16
19-27
14-17
14-20
28-19
26-19
25-20
14-22
26-18
15-16
18-18
8-23
23-26
27-18
25-19
25-32
11-28
25-27
18-22
18-20
19-27
17-26
23-24
21-20
13-27
22-23
20-21
9-12
28-13
18-16
22-20
24-11
167.0Avg total
82.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.084.2161.2-7.225%
Season at home (1)92.060.0152.0+32.0100%
Season away (3)72.092.3164.3-20.30%
Last 10 (10)82.384.7167.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)81.686.4168.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.888.8167.5-10.025%
vs Similar (11)85.082.3167.3+2.736%
vs Weaker (3)87.787.0174.7+0.767%
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H23/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
97-75
97
75
+22
A24/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H05/08
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
95-100
95
100
-5
A14/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A20/08
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
95-97
95
97
-2
A01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H15/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H21/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
19-16
22-23
14-24
36-18
22-18
23-17
16-22
26-17
20-23
23-27
17-25
22-28
15-17
29-13
23-17
25-23
19-24
15-25
15-26
26-23
18-27
19-25
32-25
14-25
6-18
27-19
10-25
31-24
28-25
14-25
22-23
21-27
32-19
12-22
20-28
21-23
31-27
13-23
22-19
174.4Avg total
83.8Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.095.0184.0-6.00%
Season at home (2)86.094.0180.0-8.00%
Season away (1)95.097.0192.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)83.890.6174.4-6.820%
Last 5 (5)83.894.4178.2-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.084.1161.1-7.122%
vs Similar (13)88.685.5174.2+3.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.984.6175.5+6.275%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -4.3-4.3
Casey CavaliersGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A23/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A24/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H30/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H06/08
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A13/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H14/08
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A01/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A14/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A16/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H21/04
NBL1 South
85.4Avg total
43.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)41.243.684.8-2.435%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.043.485.4-1.433%-
Last 30 away (14)40.543.784.2-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.485.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.286.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.746.685.2-7.917%-
vs Similar (11)43.240.183.3+3.155%-
vs Weaker (3)44.044.388.3-0.333%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H23/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A24/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/08
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A20/08
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H15/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H21/04
NBL1 South
90.3Avg total
45.0Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.688.4+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.143.385.5-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)47.543.991.4+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)45.045.390.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.693.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.944.383.2-5.433%-
vs Similar (13)46.242.688.8+3.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.444.493.8+5.062%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Casey Cavaliers wins
0
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
14/08/22Casey Cavaliers v Geelong100-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/23HBendigo Braves92-60
16/04/23ASandringham Sabres64-83
14/04/23AMt Gambier80-97
01/04/23ADandenong72-97
14/08/22HGeelong100-95
13/08/22AKeilor Thunder67-75
06/08/22HDandenong93-80
30/07/22HKilsyth70-80
24/07/22AWaverley100-87
23/07/22ASandringham Sabres85-93
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/23HSandringham Sabres87-92
15/04/23HBendigo Braves85-96
01/04/23AKilsyth95-97
20/08/22AFrankston57-87
14/08/22ACasey Cavaliers95-100
06/08/22AKeilor Thunder74-98
05/08/22HNunawading89-75
31/07/22HMt Gambier86-92
24/07/22AMelbourne Tigers97-75
23/07/22HHobart Chargers73-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game77.092.072.0
Allowed / game84.260.092.3
Point differential-7.2+32.0-20.3
Avg total161.2152.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game89.086.095.0
Allowed / game95.094.097.0
Point differential-6.0-8.0-2.0
Avg total184.0180.0192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier440100%105.889.2+16.5
2 Eltham330100%90.775.3+15.3
3 Kilsyth54180%95.487.0+8.4
4 Frankston43175%100.287.5+12.8
5 Diamond Valley32167%91.791.7+0.0
6 Keilor Thunder32167%84.084.0+0.0
7 Ballarat53260%94.490.0+4.4
8 Knox42250%86.276.8+9.5
9 Dandenong42250%92.884.8+8.0
10 Nunawading42250%90.284.5+5.8
11 Sandringham Sabres63350%87.294.3-7.2
12 NW Tasmania42250%78.290.8-12.5
13 Ringwood52340%90.692.2-1.6
14 Casey Cavaliers41325%77.084.2-7.2
15 Hobart Chargers41325%86.295.0-8.8
16 Melbourne Tigers41325%77.586.5-9.0
17 Waverley41325%81.592.5-11.0
18 Bendigo Braves51420%87.699.0-11.4
19 Geelong3030%89.095.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers2229182190
Geelong1511152263
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