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Geelong vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 85-96
21-27 32-19 12-22 20-28
Position#10
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#13
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game109.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Geelong v Bendigo Braves
12 Apr 2025
GEEL89
BEND91
12 Apr 2024
GEEL81
BEND88
15 Apr 2023
GEEL85
BEND96
01 Jul 2022
GEEL71
BEND79
31 Jul 2021
GEEL90
BEND80
20 Jul 2019
GEEL67
BEND84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo Braves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#3
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A10/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
100-96
100
96
+4
A16/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H23/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
97-75
97
75
+22
A24/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H05/08
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
95-100
95
100
-5
A14/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A20/08
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
95-97
95
97
-2
A01/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
24-28
11-26
20-19
24-29
27-16
32-20
17-31
18-31
19-16
22-23
14-24
36-18
22-18
23-17
16-22
26-17
20-23
23-27
17-25
22-28
15-17
29-13
23-17
25-23
19-24
15-25
15-26
26-23
18-27
19-25
32-25
14-25
6-18
27-19
10-25
31-24
28-25
14-25
22-23
176.1Avg total
85.0Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.097.0192.0-2.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)95.097.0192.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)85.091.1176.1-6.130%
Last 5 (5)82.091.4173.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.883.1158.9-7.425%
vs Similar (14)89.187.2176.4+1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.882.4177.1+12.488%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#16
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A23/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H24/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H30/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H06/08
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A13/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
H20/08
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
A26/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
87-101
87
101
-14
H01/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
100-118
100
118
-18
A06/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
18-11
34-11
21-32
25-22
18-15
17-24
25-17
17-20
25-23
27-24
17-24
22-16
19-22
16-16
13-6
15-25
18-20
25-16
20-22
18-28
18-21
25-19
27-30
21-31
27-19
27-16
19-28
30-16
17-26
19-23
17-18
23-20
25-25
16-34
23-22
33-34
23-29
23-30
21-25
178.6Avg total
88.3Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.5109.5203.0-16.00%
Season at home (1)87.0101.0188.0-14.00%
Season away (1)100.0118.0218.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)88.390.3178.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)94.4102.4196.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)85.292.5177.7-7.317%
vs Similar (8)85.479.9165.2+5.562%
vs Weaker (16)80.774.4155.1+6.369%
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
GeelongBendigo Braves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#3
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A10/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A16/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H23/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A24/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/08
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A20/08
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A01/04
NBL1 South
90.3Avg total
44.9Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.143.088.1+2.048%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.542.683.2-2.131%-
Last 30 away (16)48.843.492.1+5.462%-
Last 10 (10)44.945.490.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.887.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.243.680.9-6.425%-
vs Similar (13)46.242.688.8+3.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)51.143.194.2+8.062%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#16
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A23/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H24/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H30/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/08
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A13/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H20/08
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A26/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H01/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A06/04
NBL1 South
87.9Avg total
43.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.582.1+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.938.185.0+8.787%-
Last 30 away (15)40.338.979.2+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.887.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.896.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)45.544.790.2+0.850%-
vs Similar (8)43.638.882.4+4.962%-
vs Weaker (16)42.836.178.9+6.781%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Geelong wins
3
Bendigo Braves wins
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23AKilsyth95-97
20/08/22AFrankston57-87
14/08/22ACasey Cavaliers95-100
06/08/22AKeilor Thunder74-98
05/08/22HNunawading89-75
31/07/22HMt Gambier86-92
24/07/22AMelbourne Tigers97-75
23/07/22HHobart Chargers73-94
16/07/22ADandenong100-96
10/07/22AKilsyth84-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/23ABallarat100-118
01/04/23HFrankston87-101
26/08/22AKilsyth88-93 OT
20/08/22HKnox109-102 OT
14/08/22ABallarat88-98
13/08/22AKilsyth78-83
06/08/22HMelbourne Tigers70-60
30/07/22HMt Gambier86-91
24/07/22HHobart Chargers85-78
23/07/22ANunawading92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game95.0-95.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total192.0-192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game93.587.0100.0
Allowed / game109.5101.0118.0
Point differential-16.0-14.0-18.0
Avg total203.0188.0218.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston220100%101.582.5+19.0
2 Mt Gambier330100%106.787.7+19.0
3 Kilsyth330100%100.785.7+15.0
4 Eltham110100%87.077.0+10.0
5 NW Tasmania110100%80.070.0+10.0
6 Ballarat32167%100.787.7+13.0
7 Dandenong21150%87.582.5+5.0
8 Knox21150%82.078.5+3.5
9 Ringwood21150%90.089.5+0.5
10 Diamond Valley21150%92.593.0-0.5
11 Nunawading21150%89.090.0-1.0
12 Waverley21150%81.084.5-3.5
13 Keilor Thunder21150%84.090.0-6.0
14 Geelong1010%95.097.0-2.0
15 Hobart Chargers1010%70.080.0-10.0
16 Melbourne Tigers2020%78.091.5-13.5
17 Bendigo Braves2020%93.5109.5-16.0
18 Casey Cavaliers2020%76.097.0-21.0
19 Sandringham Sabres3030%83.7111.0-27.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong2132122085
Bendigo Braves2719222896
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