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Casey Cavaliers W vs Ballarat W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 88-59
25-11 27-14 18-17 18-17
Position#11
Record10-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#13
Record7-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game84.1
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers W v Ballarat W
20 Jul 2025
CASE88
BALL59
27 May 2023
CASE66
BALL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
53-90
53
90
-37
A12/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A18/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
12-14
20-25
19-23
28-27
20-15
26-21
22-23
18-28
26-23
11-22
29-24
25-19
16-22
17-25
20-21
24-21
16-25
21-15
29-15
22-22
23-7
19-23
14-17
16-23
24-22
12-19
28-11
22-28
18-14
24-20
17-19
11-24
15-21
15-20
12-25
26-20
22-16
28-22
10-21
163.6Avg total
80.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.980.3155.2-5.548%
Season at home (10)77.185.3162.4-8.240%
Season away (11)72.875.8148.6-3.055%
Last 10 (10)80.383.3163.6-3.060%
Last 5 (5)77.879.8157.6-2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)73.385.3158.6-12.020%
vs Similar (2)67.059.5126.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.976.9157.8+4.075%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
50-79
50
79
-29
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
66-108
66
108
-42
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
55-98
55
98
-43
A19/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
20-16
5-15
26-12
23-31
14-26
11-13
22-23
24-23
25-18
20-17
18-17
13-15
18-20
26-23
17-23
15-18
7-15
14-25
14-21
16-17
16-26
9-19
29-20
22-19
22-20
17-17
12-17
14-21
25-13
27-25
21-21
19-28
12-30
13-31
22-19
18-25
20-28
8-24
9-21
153.7Avg total
70.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.584.1154.6-13.733%
Season at home (11)68.082.2150.2-14.227%
Season away (10)73.286.3159.5-13.140%
Last 10 (10)70.483.3153.7-12.940%
Last 5 (5)71.489.0160.4-17.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.584.8157.3-12.338%
vs Similar (7)78.777.1155.9+1.671%
vs Weaker (2)85.056.0141.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Casey Cavaliers WBallarat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A12/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A18/07
NBL1 South Women
81.6Avg total
39.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.879.0-4.620%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.244.083.2-4.812%-
Last 30 away (14)34.939.374.1-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.781.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.479.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.744.281.0-7.515%-
vs Similar (2)31.533.565.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.837.877.5+2.038%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A19/07
NBL1 South Women
78.4Avg total
35.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.680.8-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.239.876.0-3.640%-
Last 30 away (15)40.345.385.6-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.842.678.4-6.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.482.2-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.444.480.8-8.024%-
vs Similar (7)41.941.783.6+0.157%-
vs Weaker (2)45.026.571.5+18.5100%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Casey Cavaliers W wins
2
Ballarat W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/25AMelbourne Tigers W86-79
12/07/25AGeelong W53-90
11/07/25HKilsyth W92-86 OT
05/07/25ADandenong Rangers W80-75
29/06/25HEltham W78-69
28/06/25ABendigo Braves W90-76
21/06/25HRingwood W78-87
14/06/25HLaunceston W84-97
06/06/25HSandringham W96-86
31/05/25AKeilor Thunder W66-88
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25AKnox W55-98
12/07/25HDandenong Rangers W66-108
11/07/25HKeilor Thunder W87-80
05/07/25HKilsyth W79-77 OT
29/06/25ARingwood W70-82
28/06/25HSandringham W50-79
21/06/25HFrankston W74-81
15/06/25ANunawading W87-75
14/06/25AKeilor Thunder W70-93
31/05/25ABendigo Braves W66-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW48%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%40%55%
Points / game74.977.172.8
Allowed / game80.385.375.8
Point differential-5.5-8.2-3.0
Avg total155.2162.4148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%10%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLWWL27%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%27%40%
Points / game70.568.073.2
Allowed / game84.182.286.3
Point differential-13.7-14.2-13.1
Avg total154.6150.2159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W22220100%90.065.3+24.7
2 Knox W2219386%82.664.0+18.6
3 Dandenong Rangers W2216673%86.973.3+13.6
4 Waverley W2216673%79.872.6+7.2
5 Keilor Thunder W2216673%80.273.8+6.4
6 Frankston W2214864%80.070.9+9.2
7 Diamond Valley W2214864%82.879.8+3.0
8 Melbourne Tigers W22121055%80.375.8+4.5
9 Sandringham W22121055%82.479.9+2.5
10 Ringwood W22121055%77.075.1+1.9
11 Casey Cavaliers W21101148%74.980.3-5.5
12 Nunawading W22101245%68.475.8-7.4
13 Ballarat W2171433%70.584.1-13.7
14 Mt. Gambier W2261627%67.275.7-8.5
15 Kilsyth W2251723%71.082.1-11.2
16 Hobart Chargers W2251723%71.483.3-11.9
17 Launceston W2241818%73.983.0-9.1
18 Bendigo Braves W2241818%71.783.3-11.6
19 Eltham W2241818%73.287.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers W2527181888
Ballarat W1114171759
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