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Melbourne Tigers W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 79-86
20-26 16-22 22-28 21-10
Position#8
Record12-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game80.4
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Casey Cavaliers W
18 Jul 2025
MELB79
CASE86
06 Jun 2024
MELB90
CASE88
09 Jul 2023
MELB71
CASE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#1
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
104-74
104
74
+30
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
82-57
82
57
+25
A20/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
43-69
43
69
-26
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
102-55
102
55
+47
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
10-26
16-18
15-24
24-27
21-15
8-33
27-16
18-31
21-9
15-12
10-16
21-16
20-22
30-27
33-9
31-17
17-15
17-8
17-17
28-16
24-28
13-20
15-16
24-19
22-16
22-17
30-9
15-28
25-13
13-21
26-20
6-17
15-15
16-22
6-15
23-18
27-12
30-11
22-14
152.5Avg total
80.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.574.3154.8+6.260%
Season at home (10)86.976.2163.1+10.770%
Season away (10)74.172.4146.5+1.750%
Last 10 (10)80.072.5152.5+7.550%
Last 5 (5)82.871.2154.0+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.480.3148.6-11.918%
vs Similar (6)76.577.7154.2-1.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.876.2162.1+9.677%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
53-90
53
90
-37
A12/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
27-17
16-22
16-14
15-26
12-14
20-25
19-23
28-27
20-15
26-21
22-23
18-28
26-23
11-22
29-24
25-19
16-22
17-25
20-21
24-21
16-25
21-15
29-15
22-22
23-7
19-23
14-17
16-23
24-22
12-19
28-11
22-28
18-14
24-20
17-19
11-24
15-21
15-20
12-25
163.3Avg total
79.4Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.380.4154.7-6.145%
Season at home (10)77.185.3162.4-8.240%
Season away (10)71.575.5147.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)79.483.9163.3-4.550%
Last 5 (5)78.679.2157.8-0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.485.9159.3-12.515%
vs Similar (2)67.059.5126.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker (8)80.976.9157.8+4.075%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
Melbourne Tigers WCasey Cavaliers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A20/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
77.8Avg total
40.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.080.4+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.380.4-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.780.3+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.177.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.478.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.042.277.2-7.227%-
vs Similar (6)40.336.877.2+3.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.839.784.5+5.277%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A12/07
NBL1 South Women
82.6Avg total
39.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.878.8-4.720%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.244.083.2-4.812%-
Last 30 away (14)34.639.273.9-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.082.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.479.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.544.280.8-7.715%-
vs Similar (2)31.533.565.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (8)39.837.877.5+2.038%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Melbourne Tigers W wins
2
Casey Cavaliers W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/25HDiamond Valley W102-55
08/07/25ARingwood W43-69
05/07/25ASandringham W79-82
29/06/25HBendigo Braves W98-61
28/06/25HLaunceston W92-89 OT
20/06/25AMt. Gambier W82-57
15/06/25HHobart Chargers W104-74
14/06/25AKnox W64-68
06/06/25HKeilor Thunder W80-91
31/05/25AGeelong W56-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25AGeelong W53-90
11/07/25HKilsyth W92-86 OT
05/07/25ADandenong Rangers W80-75
29/06/25HEltham W78-69
28/06/25ABendigo Braves W90-76
21/06/25HRingwood W78-87
14/06/25HLaunceston W84-97
06/06/25HSandringham W96-86
31/05/25AKeilor Thunder W66-88
24/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game80.586.974.1
Allowed / game74.376.272.4
Point differential+6.2+10.7+1.7
Avg total154.8163.1146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL45%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game74.377.171.5
Allowed / game80.485.375.5
Point differential-6.1-8.2-4.0
Avg total154.7162.4147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%10%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W20200100%89.064.9+24.1
2 Knox W2118386%81.964.4+17.5
3 Keilor Thunder W2016480%80.972.7+8.2
4 Dandenong Rangers W2115671%86.673.4+13.2
5 Waverley W2014670%78.372.1+6.2
6 Diamond Valley W2013765%83.478.7+4.7
7 Frankston W2012860%78.971.0+7.8
8 Melbourne Tigers W2012860%80.574.3+6.2
9 Ringwood W22121055%77.075.1+1.9
10 Sandringham W20101050%80.080.0+0.0
11 Casey Cavaliers W2091145%74.380.4-6.1
12 Nunawading W2091145%67.375.4-8.1
13 Ballarat W2071335%71.283.5-12.2
14 Mt. Gambier W2161529%66.975.2-8.3
15 Kilsyth W2151624%70.781.7-11.0
16 Hobart Chargers W2251723%71.483.3-11.9
17 Eltham W2041620%72.885.2-12.3
18 Launceston W2141719%74.082.5-8.5
19 Bendigo Braves W2141719%72.082.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W2016222179
Casey Cavaliers W2622281086
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