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Casey Cavaliers W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 77-84
25-15 18-20 16-31 18-18
Position#18
Record3-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#16
Record6-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game77.5
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#19
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H27/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A03/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H17/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
88-92
88
92
-4
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
59-88
59
88
-29
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
110-85
110
85
+25
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
11-18
21-25
16-15
16-17
22-20
12-23
17-21
27-25
23-29
19-21
22-22
15-16
19-25
28-20
7-35
25-25
30-25
18-14
15-28
15-18
11-25
16-20
17-25
21-18
34-29
22-20
33-18
18-20
23-22
14-31
19-18
15-27
20-17
13-15
16-12
21-17
14-16
29-32
12-22
163.1Avg total
76.4Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.184.4158.5-10.314%
Season at home (10)74.883.8158.6-9.030%
Season away (11)73.584.9158.4-11.50%
Last 10 (10)76.486.7163.1-10.310%
Last 5 (5)76.684.4161.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)74.485.0159.5-10.614%
vs Similar ◀ (3)63.073.3136.3-10.30%
vs Weaker (5)83.677.8161.4+5.880%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
58-89
58
89
-31
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
58-76
58
76
-18
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
54-72
54
72
-18
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
11-23
24-18
18-16
22-16
21-17
22-21
18-18
19-19
5-27
29-11
13-20
14-23
19-15
8-28
17-23
13-22
12-17
14-20
19-17
11-20
14-15
10-19
19-18
14-28
20-14
18-16
19-11
17-29
16-18
14-24
18-16
24-18
13-13
15-13
20-18
13-19
19-25
17-16
23-16
142.4Avg total
67.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)66.877.5144.3-10.829%
Season at home (11)65.572.8138.4-7.336%
Season away (10)68.182.7150.8-14.620%
Last 10 (10)67.075.4142.4-8.430%
Last 5 (5)66.873.2140.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)68.777.5146.2-8.926%
vs Similar ◀ (4)66.276.8143.0-10.525%
vs Weaker (3)79.360.7140.0+18.7100%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
Casey Cavaliers WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#19
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H27/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
82.8Avg total
39.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.380.2-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.179.1-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.581.4-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.082.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.880.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.840.979.6-2.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)30.742.072.7-11.30%-
vs Weaker (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
71.0Avg total
31.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.539.374.8-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.036.869.8-3.840%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.979.8-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)31.539.571.0-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.872.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.340.074.3-5.726%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.243.082.2-3.850%-
vs Weaker (3)39.329.368.7+10.0100%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Casey Cavaliers W wins
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateGameScore
13/08/22Keilor Thunder W v Casey Cavaliers W91-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23HDandenong Rangers W76-87
09/07/23AMelbourne Tigers W64-71
08/07/23AFrankston W74-91
01/07/23HHobart Chargers W110-85
24/06/23HWaverley W59-88
18/06/23ADiamond Valley W88-92
17/06/23HSandringham W69-96
04/06/23ABendigo W91-97
03/06/23AEltham W67-81
27/05/23HBallarat W66-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23AGeelong W72-76
08/07/23AHobart Chargers W72-62
07/07/23ALaunceston W65-87
01/07/23HNunawading W71-69
25/06/23HBendigo W54-72
24/06/23HDiamond Valley W58-76
17/06/23AKnox W58-89
04/06/23HGeelong W66-77
03/06/23HDandenong Rangers W83-72
28/05/23AWaverley W71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %14%30%0%
Points / game74.174.873.5
Allowed / game84.483.884.9
Point differential-10.3-9.0-11.5
Avg total158.5158.6158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeWLLLW36%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%36%20%
Points / game66.865.568.1
Allowed / game77.572.882.7
Point differential-10.8-7.3-14.6
Avg total144.3138.4150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W22220100%89.468.0+21.3
2 Mt. Gambier W2217577%85.573.2+12.3
3 Waverley W2216673%80.871.7+9.1
4 Geelong W2216673%79.771.7+8.0
5 Frankston W2215768%76.473.1+3.3
6 Sandringham W2213959%82.276.1+6.1
7 Ringwood W2213959%75.975.2+0.7
8 Eltham W22121055%75.474.4+1.0
9 Diamond Valley W22111150%76.876.2+0.6
10 Dandenong Rangers W22111150%75.577.1-1.6
11 Kilsyth W22101245%68.672.1-3.5
12 Knox W2291341%73.571.9+1.5
13 Nunawading W2291341%75.677.5-1.9
14 Launceston W2291341%73.778.4-4.7
15 Hobart Chargers W2281436%73.879.5-5.7
16 Keilor Thunder W2161529%66.877.5-10.8
17 Melbourne Tigers W2251723%65.779.0-13.3
18 Casey Cavaliers W2131814%74.184.4-10.3
19 Ballarat W2231914%66.479.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers W2518161877
Keilor Thunder W1520311884
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