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Geelong W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 76-72
19-13 25-19 16-17 16-23
Position#3
Record14-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#16
Record6-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game77.6
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2023
Meetings · Geelong W v Keilor Thunder W
26 Jul 2025
GEEL84
KEIL69
15 Jul 2023
GEEL76
KEIL72
07 May 2022
GEEL101
KEIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
82-47
82
47
+35
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H17/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
59-94
59
94
-35
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
103-64
103
64
+39
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
15-12
20-28
21-30
29-19
21-10
14-12
18-6
19-19
27-5
11-29
20-13
25-15
24-28
22-16
21-25
23-32
13-23
13-21
10-18
25-19
31-19
21-15
26-11
24-17
20-12
23-12
17-15
18-19
21-16
16-5
23-29
12-21
21-14
20-19
18-18
21-21
24-21
23-15
16-22
152.8Avg total
80.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.272.0152.1+8.270%
Season at home (10)86.273.0159.2+13.280%
Season away (10)74.170.9145.0+3.260%
Last 10 (10)80.572.3152.8+8.270%
Last 5 (5)84.068.0152.0+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.590.5171.0-10.00%
vs Similar (6)70.379.0149.3-8.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.867.3149.1+14.582%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#5
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
58-89
58
89
-31
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
58-76
58
76
-18
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
54-72
54
72
-18
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
19-20
15-19
10-20
18-17
11-23
24-18
18-16
22-16
21-17
22-21
18-18
19-19
5-27
29-11
13-20
14-23
19-15
8-28
17-23
13-22
12-17
14-20
19-17
11-20
14-15
10-19
19-18
14-28
20-14
18-16
19-11
17-29
16-18
14-24
18-16
24-18
13-13
15-13
20-18
141.6Avg total
65.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)66.577.6144.1-11.130%
Season at home (11)65.572.8138.4-7.336%
Season away (9)67.783.4151.1-15.822%
Last 10 (10)65.975.7141.6-9.830%
Last 5 (5)64.073.2137.2-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.577.6146.1-9.127%
vs Similar (5)70.077.4147.4-7.440%
vs Weaker (3)79.360.7140.0+18.7100%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
Geelong WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
79.6Avg total
43.2Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.878.6+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.641.185.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.932.571.4+6.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.479.6+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.879.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.043.584.5-2.50%-
vs Similar (6)38.846.084.8-7.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.633.776.3+9.082%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
71.0Avg total
31.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.639.575.1-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.237.670.8-4.438%-
Last 30 away (14)38.441.780.1-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)31.939.171.0-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.869.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.439.874.2-5.427%-
vs Similar (5)38.644.282.8-5.640%-
vs Weaker (3)39.329.368.7+10.0100%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Geelong W wins
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23HBallarat W84-79
07/07/23ARingwood W71-72
01/07/23AFrankston W78-69
30/06/23HMelbourne Tigers W84-56
25/06/23HEltham W103-64
23/06/23AMt. Gambier W59-94
17/06/23HDandenong Rangers W92-84
04/06/23AKeilor Thunder W77-66
03/06/23HKnox W82-47
27/05/23ABendigo W75-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23AHobart Chargers W72-62
07/07/23ALaunceston W65-87
01/07/23HNunawading W71-69
25/06/23HBendigo W54-72
24/06/23HDiamond Valley W58-76
17/06/23AKnox W58-89
04/06/23HGeelong W66-77
03/06/23HDandenong Rangers W83-72
28/05/23AWaverley W71-74
27/05/23AFrankston W61-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game80.286.274.1
Allowed / game72.073.070.9
Point differential+8.2+13.2+3.2
Avg total152.1159.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeWLLLW36%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %30%36%22%
Points / game66.565.567.7
Allowed / game77.672.883.4
Point differential-11.1-7.3-15.8
Avg total144.1138.4151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W20200100%88.866.4+22.4
2 Waverley W2016480%82.071.2+10.8
3 Mt. Gambier W2015575%85.673.5+12.2
4 Frankston W2115671%77.272.2+5.0
5 Geelong W2014670%80.272.0+8.2
6 Ringwood W2113862%75.674.7+0.9
7 Sandringham W2011955%82.277.3+4.8
8 Eltham W2011955%74.873.0+1.8
9 Diamond Valley W21111052%76.575.4+1.0
10 Dandenong Rangers W21101148%74.977.1-2.2
11 Knox W2091145%72.870.7+2.1
12 Kilsyth W2191243%68.572.4-3.9
13 Launceston W2291341%73.778.4-4.7
14 Nunawading W2181338%75.177.2-2.1
15 Hobart Chargers W2281436%73.879.5-5.7
16 Keilor Thunder W2061430%66.577.6-11.1
17 Melbourne Tigers W2151624%65.579.2-13.8
18 Casey Cavaliers W2031715%74.084.2-10.2
19 Ballarat W2131814%66.079.1-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W1925161676
Keilor Thunder W1319172372
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