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Keilor Thunder W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Aug 2022
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 91-65
19-22 31-13 23-19 18-11
Position#11
Record9-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#10
Record11-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game75.8
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 16
Women2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Casey Cavaliers W
31 May 2025
KEIL88
CASE66
20 Apr 2024
KEIL103
CASE53
13 Aug 2022
KEIL91
CASE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
15-18
13-15
19-13
27-18
17-22
19-16
28-20
12-21
24-28
24-17
25-14
18-24
17-22
25-18
19-25
24-16
28-14
15-14
18-29
22-22
25-22
8-21
12-15
13-15
21-13
22-14
21-21
19-11
13-19
20-5
24-11
20-31
27-27
21-17
14-17
11-22
24-15
12-21
18-14
151.3Avg total
76.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.378.2153.5-2.845%
Season at home (10)76.074.6150.6+1.460%
Season away (10)74.781.7156.4-7.030%
Last 10 (10)76.874.5151.3+2.350%
Last 5 (5)73.470.6144.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.685.1155.7-14.611%
vs Similar (4)79.582.2161.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (7)79.166.9146.0+12.386%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#12
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H18/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A17/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A23/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H30/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
19-21
13-18
20-18
19-20
22-30
13-27
24-19
32-18
12-22
21-16
20-15
16-22
16-14
19-20
14-7
22-17
15-19
17-18
20-23
20-22
17-29
20-23
12-26
21-32
26-13
22-18
29-19
6-21
22-22
19-16
12-11
30-23
24-26
24-17
27-27
30-25
24-10
16-11
15-14
157.2Avg total
78.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.175.8155.9+4.355%
Season at home (10)81.077.9158.9+3.140%
Season away (10)79.273.7152.9+5.570%
Last 10 (10)78.378.9157.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.281.0164.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.289.5164.8-14.20%
vs Similar (4)78.875.5154.2+3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.271.3153.5+10.875%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
Keilor Thunder WCasey Cavaliers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
79.9Avg total
39.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)39.042.281.2-3.245%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.538.375.8-0.860%-
Last 30 away (10)40.546.286.7-5.730%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.879.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.946.883.7-9.911%-
vs Similar (4)43.546.590.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (7)39.134.073.1+5.186%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#12
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H18/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A17/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A23/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H30/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
83.2Avg total
40.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)42.940.283.2+2.655%-
Last 30 at home (10)43.139.582.6+3.650%-
Last 30 away (10)42.741.083.7+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.683.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.688.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.244.082.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (4)40.540.881.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.238.884.1+6.467%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
0
Casey Cavaliers W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/22HGeelong W65-72
30/07/22ASandringham W82-92
23/07/22HDiamond Valley W76-46
17/07/22HFrankston W77-63
16/07/22AEltham W67-80
10/07/22AMelbourne Tigers W85-73
09/07/22ABallarat W79-89
02/07/22HKilsyth W85-80
26/06/22HHobart Chargers W91-76
18/06/22ARingwood W61-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/22HDandenong Rangers W85-60
30/07/22HKilsyth W105-93
24/07/22AWaverley W59-70
23/07/22ASandringham W98-82
17/07/22ABendigo W69-100
16/07/22HRingwood W74-77
09/07/22HFrankston W65-63
02/07/22ADiamond Valley W85-71
26/06/22HEltham W78-96
18/06/22HSandringham W65-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game75.376.074.7
Allowed / game78.274.681.7
Point differential-2.8+1.4-7.0
Avg total153.5150.6156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeLWLWW40%
AwayWWLWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%40%70%
Points / game80.181.079.2
Allowed / game75.877.973.7
Point differential+4.3+3.1+5.5
Avg total155.9158.9152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%30%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W2018290%88.870.3+18.4
2 Ringwood W2118386%77.660.7+17.0
3 Mt. Gambier W2115671%75.868.5+7.3
4 Nunawading W2215768%77.066.4+10.6
5 Geelong W2114767%80.671.7+8.9
6 Knox W2013765%74.060.5+13.5
7 Waverley W2013765%73.974.2-0.3
8 Launceston W2214864%81.074.8+6.2
9 Ballarat W2113862%76.670.8+5.8
10 Casey Cavaliers W2011955%80.175.8+4.3
11 Sandringham W22101245%75.481.0-5.5
12 Keilor Thunder W2091145%75.378.2-2.8
13 Kilsyth W2191243%71.075.0-4.0
14 Eltham W2181338%74.678.5-3.9
15 Dandenong Rangers W2051525%70.082.4-12.4
16 Frankston W2151624%67.276.0-8.8
17 Hobart Chargers W2241818%63.577.8-14.3
18 Melbourne Tigers W2131814%55.576.6-21.1
19 Diamond Valley W222209%65.782.7-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W1931231891
Casey Cavaliers W2213191165
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