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Mt. Gambier W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 80-55
16-13 17-18 23-13 24-11
Position#6
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game62.8
Mt. Gambier W 🏆
Australia
vs
Keilor Thunder W
Australia
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game63.7
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Mt. Gambier W v Keilor Thunder W
26 Apr 2024
MT. 80
KEIL55
22 Apr 2023
MT. 90
KEIL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt. Gambier W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H21/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H28/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A05/08
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
95-66
95
66
+29
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H19/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-16
20-13
16-18
26-16
28-19
20-24
18-11
20-31
13-17
20-22
23-16
20-17
19-22
21-17
14-16
24-24
17-30
25-14
30-29
23-24
16-19
21-16
25-9
25-23
18-17
34-21
18-5
17-10
21-17
26-14
21-12
17-19
17-10
15-18
18-17
31-13
15-20
23-11
10-19
153.6Avg total
82.6Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.262.8145.0+19.4100%
Season at home (3)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)90.067.0157.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.671.0153.6+11.680%
Last 5 (5)82.262.8145.0+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)82.086.0168.0-4.00%
vs Similar (7)85.473.7159.1+11.771%
vs Weaker (21)84.671.0155.6+13.686%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#14
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
103-53
103
53
+50
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H21/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
16-18
14-24
18-16
24-18
13-13
15-13
20-18
13-19
19-25
17-16
23-16
15-25
20-18
31-16
18-18
21-18
14-17
22-18
23-23
28-11
10-16
17-15
17-11
22-14
22-20
13-6
24-20
25-23
24-19
27-15
21-23
26-10
28-13
27-17
22-13
21-18
25-17
26-8
22-17
150.4Avg total
82.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.863.7151.5+24.2100%
Season at home (3)98.064.3162.3+33.7100%
Season away (3)77.763.0140.7+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)82.068.4150.4+13.680%
Last 5 (5)89.461.2150.6+28.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.377.2145.6-8.929%
vs Similar (3)66.770.7137.3-4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.863.7151.5+24.2100%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
Mt. Gambier WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H21/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A05/08
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H19/04
NBL1 South Women
79.6Avg total
40.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.283.2+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.837.981.7+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)44.440.684.9+3.871%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.879.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.474.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.548.587.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (7)43.443.687.0-0.157%-
vs Weaker (21)44.836.881.6+8.081%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#14
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/04
NBL1 South Women
76.4Avg total
40.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.274.3-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.237.173.3-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)36.039.375.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.176.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.232.278.4+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.239.974.1-5.629%-
vs Similar (3)32.737.770.3-5.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.332.777.0+11.783%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mt. Gambier W wins
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateGameScore
22/04/23Mt. Gambier W v Keilor Thunder W90-59
15/05/22Keilor Thunder W v Mt. Gambier W60-93
Mt. Gambier Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24HLaunceston W79-63
14/04/24HBallarat W67-64
13/04/24HFrankston W85-53
07/04/24AWaverley W95-66
06/04/24ASandringham W85-68
05/08/23ABendigo W96-97
28/07/23HRingwood W74-72
21/07/23HGeelong W76-86
16/07/23AEltham W92-70
15/07/23AWaverley W77-71
Keilor Thunder Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HLaunceston W94-60
20/04/24HCasey Cavaliers W103-53
14/04/24HGeelong W97-80
11/04/24AKilsyth W81-60
09/04/24ADiamond Valley W72-53
05/04/24AFrankston W80-76
16/07/23ACasey Cavaliers W84-77
15/07/23AGeelong W72-76
08/07/23AHobart Chargers W72-62
07/07/23ALaunceston W65-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.277.090.0
Allowed / game62.860.067.0
Point differential+19.4+17.0+23.0
Avg total145.0137.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.898.077.7
Allowed / game63.764.363.0
Point differential+24.2+33.7+14.7
Avg total151.5162.3140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo Braves W550100%101.672.0+29.6
2 Keilor Thunder W660100%87.863.7+24.2
3 Mt. Gambier W550100%82.262.8+19.4
4 Ringwood W76186%83.171.1+12.0
5 Knox W54180%81.872.8+9.0
6 Dandenong Rangers W75271%77.175.6+1.6
7 Melbourne Tigers W64267%83.377.8+5.5
8 Sandringham W53260%77.870.4+7.4
9 Eltham W52340%81.076.8+4.2
10 Waverley W52340%74.078.0-4.0
11 Diamond Valley W52340%77.883.8-6.0
12 Ballarat W52340%71.880.6-8.8
13 Hobart Chargers W62433%66.872.3-5.5
14 Geelong W41325%86.591.2-4.8
15 Frankston W61517%69.881.2-11.3
16 Launceston W61517%67.581.7-14.2
17 Casey Cavaliers W61517%69.090.7-21.7
18 Kilsyth W5050%63.881.0-17.2
19 Nunawading W5050%65.686.8-21.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt. Gambier W1617232480
Keilor Thunder W1318131155
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