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Keilor Thunder W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 103-53
26-10 28-13 27-17 22-13
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#18
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game92.8
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Casey Cavaliers W
31 May 2025
KEIL88
CASE66
20 Apr 2024
KEIL103
CASE53
13 Aug 2022
KEIL91
CASE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
54-72
54
72
-18
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
14-15
10-19
19-18
14-28
20-14
18-16
19-11
17-29
16-18
14-24
18-16
24-18
13-13
15-13
20-18
13-19
19-25
17-16
23-16
15-25
20-18
31-16
18-18
21-18
14-17
22-18
23-23
28-11
10-16
17-15
17-11
22-14
22-20
13-6
24-20
25-23
24-19
27-15
21-23
146.0Avg total
74.8Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.567.2149.8+15.2100%
Season at home (1)97.080.0177.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)77.763.0140.7+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)74.871.2146.0+3.670%
Last 5 (5)82.869.2152.0+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)68.277.0145.2-8.827%
vs Similar (4)70.576.0146.5-5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.567.2149.8+15.2100%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
59-88
59
88
-29
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
110-85
110
85
+25
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
84-114
84
114
-30
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
11-25
16-20
17-25
21-18
34-29
22-20
33-18
18-20
23-22
14-31
19-18
15-27
20-17
13-15
16-12
21-17
14-16
29-32
12-22
25-15
18-20
16-31
18-18
19-21
12-22
16-24
17-13
25-16
21-26
16-19
14-19
11-25
17-13
15-34
22-25
23-34
21-26
18-29
22-25
162.6Avg total
74.9Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.292.8165.0-20.50%
Season at home (2)74.097.0171.0-23.00%
Season away (2)70.588.5159.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)74.987.7162.6-12.810%
Last 5 (5)73.291.0164.2-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.386.0160.3-11.812%
vs Similar (3)69.078.0147.0-9.00%
vs Weaker (3)85.081.3166.3+3.767%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -8.0-8.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -8.0-8.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
Keilor Thunder WCasey Cavaliers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
74.2Avg total
36.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.539.474.9-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.138.372.4-4.136%-
Last 30 away (16)36.740.477.1-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.074.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.276.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)34.339.774.0-5.527%-
vs Similar (4)36.242.879.0-6.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.534.576.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
81.1Avg total
38.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.680.8-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.641.881.3-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)38.941.480.3-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.781.1-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.682.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.741.580.1-2.833%-
vs Similar (3)35.739.375.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (3)47.744.792.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keilor Thunder W wins
0
Casey Cavaliers W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HGeelong W97-80
11/04/24AKilsyth W81-60
09/04/24ADiamond Valley W72-53
05/04/24AFrankston W80-76
16/07/23ACasey Cavaliers W84-77
15/07/23AGeelong W72-76
08/07/23AHobart Chargers W72-62
07/07/23ALaunceston W65-87
01/07/23HNunawading W71-69
25/06/23HBendigo W54-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HBendigo Braves W84-114
10/04/24ASandringham W65-97
08/04/24ARingwood W76-80
06/04/24HDandenong Rangers W64-80
16/07/23HKeilor Thunder W77-84
15/07/23HDandenong Rangers W76-87
09/07/23AMelbourne Tigers W64-71
08/07/23AFrankston W74-91
01/07/23HHobart Chargers W110-85
24/06/23HWaverley W59-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.597.077.7
Allowed / game67.280.063.0
Point differential+15.2+17.0+14.7
Avg total149.8177.0140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.274.070.5
Allowed / game92.897.088.5
Point differential-20.5-23.0-18.0
Avg total165.0171.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo Braves W440100%100.271.2+29.0
2 Mt. Gambier W550100%82.262.8+19.4
3 Keilor Thunder W440100%82.567.2+15.2
4 Ringwood W65183%83.571.8+11.7
5 Dandenong Rangers W54180%82.276.6+5.6
6 Knox W43175%81.575.8+5.8
7 Diamond Valley W32167%83.085.7-2.7
8 Sandringham W42250%77.571.0+6.5
9 Melbourne Tigers W42250%87.284.8+2.5
10 Waverley W42250%78.580.5-2.0
11 Hobart Chargers W42250%66.070.2-4.2
12 Ballarat W42250%74.581.0-6.5
13 Eltham W41325%80.078.8+1.2
14 Geelong W41325%86.591.2-4.8
15 Frankston W51420%71.283.8-12.6
16 Launceston W4040%66.583.8-17.2
17 Kilsyth W4040%62.580.0-17.5
18 Nunawading W4040%63.281.8-18.5
19 Casey Cavaliers W4040%72.292.8-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W26282722103
Casey Cavaliers W1013171353
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