Castello vs Fuenlabrada Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2025

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 78-88

22-33 21-20 15-17 20-18

Position#17

Record7-12

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game87.8

Castello

Fuenlabrada 🏆

Position#2

Record16-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game74.1

Primera FEBRound 20

Other2024-25

Meetings · Castello v Fuenlabrada

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Fuenlabrada winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

77-83

-6

65avg 72

A06/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

68-63

64avg 72

H11/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

68-95

-27

60avg 72

A15/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

73-68

69avg 72

H20/12

Primera FEB

Cartagena

106-107 OT

106

107

-1

99avg 72

A29/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

79-84

-5

70avg 72

A04/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

83-73

+10

82avg 72

H12/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

77-101

101

-24

59avg 72

A18/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

71-90

-19

63avg 72

H31/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

66-90

-24

51avg 72

A07/02

Primera FEB

21-17

13-33

17-12

26-21

26-16

8-15

13-21

21-11

26-28

17-18

12-33

13-16

17-23

13-20

22-14

21-11

20-24

16-25

29-19

28-25

23-25

17-18

20-18

19-23

30-11

23-17

16-22

14-23

20-30

15-29

26-24

16-18

19-17

22-22

17-23

13-28

12-18

20-23

21-29

13-20

162.2Avg total

76.8Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	79.8	87.8	167.6	-8.0	37%
Season at home (9)	77.9	77.1	155.0	+0.8	67%
Season away (10)	81.5	97.4	178.9	-15.9	10%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	85.4	162.2	-8.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	87.6	162.8	-12.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	77.0	87.9	164.8	-10.9	38%
vs Similar (9)	87.8	88.0	175.8	-0.2	44%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Fuenlabrada Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFuenlabrada

Date

Competition

Estela

#14

75-67

66avg 75

A07/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

82-73

76avg 75

H11/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

79-75

77avg 75

A14/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

92-89

90avg 75

H22/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

78-90

-12

67avg 75

A29/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

95-67

+28

87avg 75

H05/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

90-89 OT

77avg 75

A11/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

90-73

+17

80avg 75

H18/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

88-89

-1

72avg 75

A01/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

92-80

+12

89avg 75

H08/02

Primera FEB

16-21

17-24

21-13

21-9

23-15

22-27

22-9

15-22

21-20

21-27

22-16

15-12

20-17

18-16

24-20

30-36

17-31

26-20

16-22

19-17

24-12

13-10

30-22

28-23

25-28

24-16

18-16

14-21

19-12

28-19

24-26

19-16

20-19

20-26

19-22

29-22

20-23

25-18

20-27

27-12

165.3Avg total

86.1Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	84.8	74.1	158.9	+10.8	84%
Season at home (9)	87.2	73.8	161.0	+13.4	89%
Season away (10)	82.7	74.3	157.0	+8.4	80%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	79.2	165.3	+6.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	79.6	170.6	+11.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	77.3	83.5	160.8	-6.2	33%
vs Similar (8)	83.4	76.8	160.1	+6.6	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	86.0	71.2	157.2	+14.8	100%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CastelloFuenlabrada

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.7	43.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.7	42.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	24.7	44.9	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.4	48%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.0	22.1	44.1	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.5	39.4	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.5	18.8	40.3	+2.7	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	21.9	39.0	-4.8	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	24.7	41.3	-8.0	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	22.0	38.4	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	11%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	16.1	37.1	+4.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.6	16.3	36.9	+4.3	69%	-

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

34-50

-16

A06/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

34-31

H11/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

43-46

-3

A15/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

30-43

-13

H20/12

Primera FEB

Cartagena

36-49

-13

A29/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

40-43

-3

A04/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

53-28

+25

H12/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

35-59

-24

A18/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

41-39

H31/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

32-41

-9

A07/02

Primera FEB

80.7Avg total

37.8Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	44.6	82.7	-6.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	39.9	79.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	49.3	86.2	-12.5	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	42.9	80.7	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.0	82.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.5	45.4	83.0	-7.9	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.3	42.8	82.1	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#14

33-45

-12

A07/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

45-42

H11/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

42-47

-5

A14/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

38-33

H22/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

43-51

-8

A29/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

37-22

+15

H05/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

49-44

A11/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

47-31

+16

H18/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

40-45

-5

A01/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

45-41

H08/02

Primera FEB

82.0Avg total

41.9Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	37.2	79.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	33.6	76.5	+9.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	40.8	82.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	40.1	82.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	36.6	80.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.2	39.2	82.3	+4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.4	40.9	83.2	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.8	34.6	76.4	+7.1	88%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	21.7	40.8	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	22.5	44.5	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.3	22.9	42.1	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.3	20.4	43.8	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.3	39.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	22.8	39.2	-6.5	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.9	40.4	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	22.4	37.4	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.7	22.1	44.8	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	16.3	35.9	+3.4	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.8	42.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	15.9	36.5	+4.8	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+3.9	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	42.1	83.0	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	40.0	79.2	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	44.1	86.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	41.1	78.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	45.6	80.6	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	38.8	41.9	80.6	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.0	42.6	88.6	+3.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	37.7	78.8	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	38.9	80.6	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	36.5	76.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	38.3	81.6	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	41.4	87.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.2	44.3	78.5	-10.2	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.0	35.9	76.9	+5.1	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	43.7	36.1	79.8	+7.6	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 72.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	18.7	48.1%	51.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.9	6.7	33.7%	33.7%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.3	71.5%	73.6%	15.3

They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	22.8	55.5%	51.8%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	11.3	39.6%	33.7%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	20.1	13.0	64.7%	73.6%	13.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	20.4	49.8%	51.8%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.9	6.7	32.1%	33.7%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	20.6	14.7	71.2%	73.6%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	22.9	56.3%	51.8%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	11.3	41.4%	33.7%	33.8
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.5	70.8%	73.6%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Castello wins

Fuenlabrada wins

Date	Game	Score
19/10/24	Fuenlabrada v Castello	94-74
19/01/24	Castello v Fuenlabrada	77-73
31/10/23	Fuenlabrada v Castello	85-98

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/25	A	Hestia Menorca	66-90
31/01/25	H	San Pablo Burgos	71-90
18/01/25	A	Real Valladolid	77-101
12/01/25	H	Alicante	83-73
04/01/25	A	Moron	79-84
29/12/24	A	Cartagena	106-107 OT
20/12/24	H	Obradoiro CAB	73-68
15/12/24	A	San Pablo Burgos	68-95
11/12/24	H	Hestia Menorca	68-63
06/12/24	A	Gipuzkoa	77-83

Fuenlabradalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/25	H	Gipuzkoa	92-80
01/02/25	A	Palencia	88-89
18/01/25	H	Real Betis	90-73
11/01/25	A	Ourense	90-89 OT
05/01/25	H	Tizona Burgos	95-67
29/12/24	A	Estudiantes	78-90
22/12/24	H	Hestia Menorca	92-89
14/12/24	A	Obradoiro CAB	79-75
11/12/24	H	Palencia	82-73
07/12/24	A	Estela	75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	37%
Home	LWWWL	67%
Away	LLLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	37%	67%	10%
Points / game	79.8	77.9	81.5
Allowed / game	87.8	77.1	97.4
Point differential	-8.0	+0.8	-15.9
Avg total	167.6	155.0	178.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Fuenlabrada

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	84%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWLWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	84%	89%	80%
Points / game	84.8	87.2	82.7
Allowed / game	74.1	73.8	74.3
Point differential	+10.8	+13.4	+8.4
Avg total	158.9	161.0	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	19	18	1	95%	90.7	74.9	+15.8
2	Fuenlabrada	19	16	3	84%	84.8	74.1	+10.8
3	Estudiantes	19	16	3	84%	87.7	78.7	+9.0
4	Real Betis	20	15	5	75%	83.3	74.2	+9.1
5	Palencia	19	14	5	74%	87.2	78.9	+8.2
6	Obradoiro CAB	19	11	8	58%	80.3	74.5	+5.8
7	Ourense	19	10	9	53%	84.8	82.3	+2.5
8	Tizona Burgos	19	10	9	53%	89.4	90.0	-0.6
9	Cartagena	20	9	11	45%	77.5	85.2	-7.7
10	Zamora	19	8	11	42%	79.6	81.4	-1.8
11	Hestia Menorca	19	8	11	42%	74.4	76.6	-2.2
12	Gipuzkoa	19	7	12	37%	75.2	78.6	-3.4
13	Oviedo	19	7	12	37%	77.3	81.8	-4.5
14	Castello	19	7	12	37%	79.8	87.8	-8.0
15	Real Valladolid	19	6	13	32%	75.5	82.8	-7.3
16	Estela	19	5	14	26%	73.4	83.3	-9.9
17	Alicante	19	4	15	21%	74.9	78.7	-3.8
18	Moron	19	1	18	5%	72.9	85.0	-12.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Castello	22	21	15	20	78
Fuenlabrada	33	20	17	18	88

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Castello vs Fuenlabrada Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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