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Palencia vs Fuenlabrada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-88
19-20 26-20 22-19 22-29
Position#6
Record12-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#2
Record15-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game72.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 18· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Palencia v Fuenlabrada
17 Jan 2027
PAL v FUE
upcoming
29 May 2026
PAL76
FUE51
17 May 2026
PAL83
FUE79
15 May 2026
PAL90
FUE52
20 Feb 2026
PAL97
FUE74
01 Feb 2025
PAL89
FUE88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fuenlabrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
W
107-76
107
76
+31
102avg 76
H15/11
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
91-86
91
86
+5
81avg 76
A01/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
91-83
91
83
+8
81avg 76
H05/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 76
A11/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
114-81
114
81
+33
113avg 76
H14/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 76
A20/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 76
H28/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
78-84
78
84
-6
63avg 76
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 76
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 76
A18/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-22
22-11
29-22
23-21
24-17
17-28
23-12
27-29
17-14
24-25
24-24
26-20
15-23
27-22
9-22
22-15
31-14
30-21
26-21
27-25
25-17
19-24
27-10
20-20
24-10
14-25
30-19
22-21
24-18
20-26
18-22
16-18
24-27
18-19
24-18
13-11
24-19
13-14
25-13
21-13
166.9Avg total
89.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.577.5164.0+9.171%
Season at home (8)89.976.2166.1+13.688%
Season away (9)83.678.6162.1+5.056%
Last 10 (10)89.777.2166.9+12.580%
Last 5 (5)84.272.8157.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.686.4167.0-5.823%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.085.6164.6-6.620%
vs Weaker (12)90.274.3164.5+15.892%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
59avg 75
A17/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
80avg 75
H01/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
66avg 75
A07/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 75
H11/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
77avg 75
A14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
92-89
92
89
+3
90avg 75
H22/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 75
A29/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
95-67
95
67
+28
87avg 75
H05/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
77avg 75
A11/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
80avg 75
H18/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
16-19
30-17
18-17
22-16
19-17
14-9
24-23
16-21
17-24
21-13
21-9
23-15
22-27
22-9
15-22
21-20
21-27
22-16
15-12
20-17
18-16
24-20
30-36
17-31
26-20
16-22
19-17
24-12
13-10
30-22
28-23
25-28
24-16
18-16
14-21
19-12
28-19
24-26
19-16
160.0Avg total
84.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.272.8157.1+11.488%
Season at home (8)86.673.0159.6+13.688%
Season away (9)82.172.7154.8+9.489%
Last 10 (10)84.175.9160.0+8.290%
Last 5 (5)89.081.6170.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.383.5160.8-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.274.8156.0+6.478%
vs Weaker (15)85.670.7156.3+14.9100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
PalenciaFuenlabrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H15/11
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H14/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A20/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H28/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A18/01
Primera FEB
84.1Avg total
44.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.781.2+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.937.979.7+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.582.6-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.539.684.1+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.339.880.1+0.554%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.845.683.4-7.820%-
vs Weaker (12)44.337.181.4+7.275%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H01/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H11/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A29/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H05/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A11/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/01
Primera FEB
79.3Avg total
40.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.878.4+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.033.175.1+8.987%-
Last 30 away (15)41.240.581.7+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.579.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.279.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.239.282.3+4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.739.680.2+1.156%-
vs Weaker (15)41.534.275.7+7.387%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.7
48.1%
51.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.7
33.7%
33.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.415.3
71.5%
73.6%15.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWLWWWLWWW
Fuenlabrada
WWWLWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
-11.7
Net rating
-24.7
106.7
Offensive rating
91.4
118.4
Defensive rating
116.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
24.3%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.1%
3-point %
33.7%
64.2%
Assist %
58.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 91.4Defence118.4 · 116.1Shooting51.8% · 48.9%3-point %34.1% · 33.7%Ball care16.8% · 24.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Palencia   ■ Fuenlabrada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
1
Fuenlabrada wins
DateGameScore
11/12/24Fuenlabrada v Palencia82-73
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AEstela83-59
10/01/25HZamora79-75
04/01/25AHestia Menorca78-84
28/12/24HReal Valladolid90-75
20/12/24AOviedo91-71
14/12/24HOurense114-81
11/12/24AFuenlabrada73-82
05/12/24HObradoiro CAB91-83
01/12/24AMoron91-86
15/11/24HCastello107-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HReal Betis90-73
11/01/25AOurense90-89 OT
05/01/25HTizona Burgos95-67
29/12/24AEstudiantes78-90
22/12/24HHestia Menorca92-89
14/12/24AObradoiro CAB79-75
11/12/24HPalencia82-73
07/12/24AEstela75-67
01/12/24HCartagena79-65
17/11/24AGipuzkoa81-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%88%56%
Points / game86.589.983.6
Allowed / game77.576.278.6
Point differential+9.1+13.6+5.0
Avg total164.0166.1162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%88%89%
Points / game84.286.682.1
Allowed / game72.873.072.7
Point differential+11.4+13.6+9.4
Avg total157.1159.6154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%62%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos1817194%90.275.1+15.1
2 Fuenlabrada1715288%84.272.8+11.4
3 Estudiantes1715288%88.879.1+9.8
4 Real Betis1813572%82.974.0+8.9
5 Palencia1712571%86.577.5+9.1
6 Ourense1710759%85.381.8+3.5
7 Obradoiro CAB1810856%79.975.2+4.7
8 Tizona Burgos1810856%89.789.6+0.1
9 Cartagena178947%79.286.2-7.1
10 Zamora1771041%79.481.8-2.4
11 Gipuzkoa1871139%74.977.8-2.9
12 Castello1871139%80.687.7-7.1
13 Hestia Menorca1761135%73.177.2-4.1
14 Real Valladolid1861233%75.682.7-7.2
15 Oviedo1751229%75.882.0-6.2
16 Estela1851328%73.283.0-9.8
17 Alicante1841422%73.877.8-4.0
18 Moron181176%73.184.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1926222289
Fuenlabrada2020192988
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