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Fuenlabrada vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-73
23-15 22-27 22-9 15-22
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#6
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game79.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 11· Pabellon Fernando Martin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fuenlabrada v Palencia
13 Mar 2027
FUE v PAL
upcoming
24 May 2026
FUE78
PAL72
22 May 2026
FUE88
PAL81
20 Dec 2025
FUE73
PAL67
11 Dec 2024
FUE82
PAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuenlabrada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Moron
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
72avg 72
A28/09
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
62avg 72
H05/10
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
96-62
96
62
+34
99avg 72
A12/10
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
94-74
94
74
+20
89avg 72
H19/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
77avg 72
A27/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
79avg 72
A02/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
91-64
91
64
+27
88avg 72
H09/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
59avg 72
A17/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
80avg 72
H01/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
66avg 72
A07/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
12-16
21-10
20-19
20-20
12-19
16-19
22-21
22-12
24-17
27-21
23-12
28-19
25-8
18-23
23-24
23-12
16-17
21-29
21-11
14-20
28-18
25-20
13-12
24-16
18-18
26-16
23-14
17-18
16-19
30-17
18-17
22-16
19-17
14-9
24-23
16-21
17-24
21-13
21-9
150.8Avg total
82.6Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.668.2150.8+14.490%
Season at home (4)83.570.5154.0+13.075%
Season away (6)82.066.7148.7+15.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.668.2150.8+14.490%
Last 5 (5)81.267.4148.6+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.683.7161.3-6.129%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.875.1153.9+3.662%
vs Weaker (15)83.169.8152.9+13.387%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
81avg 76
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 76
H04/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
66avg 76
A12/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 76
H19/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
68-85
68
85
-17
54avg 76
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
80-64
80
64
+16
80avg 76
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
100-67
100
67
+33
96avg 76
A08/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
107-76
107
76
+31
102avg 76
H15/11
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
91-86
91
86
+5
81avg 76
A01/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
91-83
91
83
+8
81avg 76
H05/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
21-23
27-27
22-17
20-18
22-9
21-16
15-26
13-24
21-19
17-20
26-25
15-30
22-19
24-20
19-18
23-23
12-25
20-19
13-18
17-15
19-18
21-15
23-16
23-16
27-16
28-25
22-10
33-22
22-11
29-22
23-21
24-17
17-28
23-12
27-29
17-14
24-25
24-24
26-20
165.3Avg total
86.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.379.0165.3+7.370%
Season at home (5)87.275.8163.0+11.480%
Season away (5)85.482.2167.6+3.260%
Last 10 (10)86.379.0165.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)93.875.2169.0+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)81.187.0168.1-5.922%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.886.5167.3-5.733%
vs Weaker (6)91.274.5165.7+16.7100%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
FuenlabradaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Moron
#18
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A28/09
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/10
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A12/10
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H19/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A27/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H01/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/12
Primera FEB
74.2Avg total
39.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.177.8+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.235.377.5+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)39.338.978.2+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.374.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.475.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.140.383.4+2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.638.276.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker (15)40.834.975.7+5.973%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A08/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H15/11
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/12
Primera FEB
80.3Avg total
41.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.180.3+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.138.178.1+2.062%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.482.9-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.080.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.481.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.140.380.4-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.844.281.0-7.333%-
vs Weaker (6)44.335.279.5+9.283%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.7
48.1%
51.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.7
33.7%
33.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.415.3
71.5%
73.6%15.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fuenlabrada
WWWWWWWWLW
Palencia
WWWWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#6
-24.7
Net rating
-11.7
91.4
Offensive rating
106.7
116.1
Defensive rating
118.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.8%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
24.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.7%
3-point %
34.1%
58.7%
Assist %
64.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 106.7Defence116.1 · 118.4Shooting48.9% · 51.8%3-point %33.7% · 34.1%Ball care24.3% · 16.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Fuenlabrada   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fuenlabrada wins
0
Palencia wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AEstela75-67
01/12/24HCartagena79-65
17/11/24AGipuzkoa81-71
09/11/24HZamora91-64
02/11/24AOviedo80-70
27/10/24AAlicante81-69
19/10/24HCastello94-74
12/10/24AReal Valladolid96-62
05/10/24HSan Pablo Burgos70-79
28/09/24AMoron79-61
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HObradoiro CAB91-83
01/12/24AMoron91-86
15/11/24HCastello107-76
08/11/24ACartagena100-67
01/11/24HAlicante80-64
26/10/24AReal Betis68-85
19/10/24HEstudiantes80-87
12/10/24ASan Pablo Burgos77-88
04/10/24HGipuzkoa78-69
27/09/24ATizona Burgos91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%75%100%
Points / game82.683.582.0
Allowed / game68.270.566.7
Point differential+14.4+13.0+15.3
Avg total150.8154.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%75%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game86.387.285.4
Allowed / game79.075.882.2
Point differential+7.3+11.4+3.2
Avg total165.3163.0167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuenlabrada109190%82.668.2+14.4
2 San Pablo Burgos109190%84.474.5+9.9
3 Estudiantes109190%87.878.5+9.3
4 Real Betis118373%81.672.1+9.5
5 Palencia107370%86.379.0+7.3
6 Obradoiro CAB117464%81.374.6+6.6
7 Ourense106460%86.476.6+9.8
8 Tizona Burgos106460%93.089.9+3.1
9 Zamora105550%77.178.8-1.7
10 Gipuzkoa105550%71.774.0-2.3
11 Real Valladolid104640%72.478.9-6.5
12 Castello104640%82.589.7-7.2
13 Oviedo114736%77.181.6-4.5
14 Hestia Menorca103730%72.477.0-4.6
15 Cartagena103730%72.183.4-11.3
16 Estela113827%71.582.5-11.1
17 Alicante100100%67.175.0-7.9
18 Moron100100%70.983.8-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fuenlabrada2322221582
Palencia152792273
← all games of the day
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