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Castello vs Moron Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 83-64
17-20 17-14 24-15 25-15
Position#17
Record7-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game89.9
vs
Position#18
Record3-26
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game83.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 30
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Moron winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 73
H11/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
76-96
76
96
-20
65avg 73
A15/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
70avg 73
H02/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
87-96
87
96
-9
77avg 73
A08/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 73
H11/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
74avg 73
A16/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 73
H21/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
72-100
72
100
-28
60avg 73
A28/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
83-102
83
102
-19
81avg 73
H04/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
77-96
77
96
-19
68avg 73
A12/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
21-20
15-17
20-18
19-20
17-25
19-18
21-33
22-37
14-11
27-13
14-16
27-20
23-38
19-20
18-18
33-29
17-15
22-26
13-19
24-20
20-26
21-21
11-20
22-21
19-20
30-26
23-30
18-26
14-22
22-23
18-29
21-24
19-30
28-26
15-22
17-25
21-24
24-26
15-21
174.9Avg total
81.1Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.289.9170.1-9.624%
Season at home (14)80.382.6162.9-2.443%
Season away (15)80.296.6176.8-16.47%
Last 10 (10)81.193.8174.9-12.70%
Last 5 (5)80.496.4176.8-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)78.889.1168.0-10.327%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.691.8177.4-6.125%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Moron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MoronSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoron
Date
Competition
Zamora
#13
L
68-84
68
84
-16
51avg 60
H12/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
58-70
58
70
-12
46avg 60
A16/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
68-87
68
87
-19
51avg 60
H02/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
73-97
73
97
-24
62avg 60
A07/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
89-59
89
59
+30
79avg 60
H11/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
91-78
91
78
+13
82avg 60
A15/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
64-68
64
68
-4
52avg 60
H22/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
61-74
61
74
-13
45avg 60
A29/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
55avg 60
H06/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
56avg 60
A13/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
12-22
21-24
16-17
15-14
13-19
17-15
13-22
24-13
13-29
23-23
8-22
21-26
16-27
23-21
13-23
19-12
25-10
30-20
15-17
17-21
29-20
16-17
29-20
16-5
21-19
16-27
11-17
18-13
17-32
15-22
11-7
21-23
20-20
16-24
13-32
20-25
17-27
17-17
16-18
151.5Avg total
71.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.383.4155.7-11.010%
Season at home (15)74.784.1158.8-9.313%
Season away (14)69.882.6152.4-12.97%
Last 10 (10)71.280.3151.5-9.120%
Last 5 (5)71.281.2152.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)71.283.5154.8-12.34%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.582.2162.8-1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -5.0-5.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -5.0-5.0
CastelloMoron
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H11/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H02/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A08/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H11/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H04/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A12/04
Primera FEB
89.6Avg total
41.0Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.745.785.4-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.741.483.1+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)37.750.087.7-12.30%-
Last 10 (10)41.048.689.6-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)39.047.686.6-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)39.845.785.5-5.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.445.885.1-6.425%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Moron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MoronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zamora
#13
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H12/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A16/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H02/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A07/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H11/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A15/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H22/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A29/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H06/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A13/04
Primera FEB
77.1Avg total
37.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.142.980.0-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.240.378.5-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)36.045.581.5-9.513%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.877.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.080.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)37.143.080.0-5.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.242.579.8-5.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Castello wins
1
Moron wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Moron v Castello84-79
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AOurense77-96
04/04/25HReal Valladolid83-102
28/03/25AObradoiro CAB72-100
21/03/25HTizona Burgos94-97
16/03/25AOviedo76-87
11/03/25HEstudiantes85-89
08/03/25AZamora87-96
02/03/25HCartagena83-87 OT
15/02/25AEstela76-96
11/02/25HFuenlabrada78-88
Moronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25AEstudiantes70-87
06/04/25HObradoiro CAB70-99
29/03/25AOviedo61-74
22/03/25HCartagena64-68
15/03/25AReal Valladolid91-78
11/03/25HOurense89-59
07/03/25ATizona Burgos73-97
02/03/25HEstela68-87
16/02/25AHestia Menorca58-70
12/02/25HZamora68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL43%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %24%43%7%
Points / game80.280.380.2
Allowed / game89.982.696.6
Point differential-9.6-2.4-16.4
Avg total170.1162.9176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Moron
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL10%
HomeLLWLL13%
AwayLLWLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %10%13%7%
Points / game72.374.769.8
Allowed / game83.484.182.6
Point differential-11.0-9.3-12.9
Avg total155.7158.8152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos2927293%88.674.4+14.2
2 Fuenlabrada2924583%84.975.5+9.4
3 Estudiantes2924583%86.578.0+8.5
4 Real Betis2923679%83.674.8+8.8
5 Obradoiro CAB2920969%82.673.5+9.1
6 Palencia29191066%86.580.2+6.3
7 Tizona Burgos29151452%88.889.1-0.3
8 Cartagena29131645%77.384.4-7.1
9 Ourense29121741%82.183.2-1.1
10 Gipuzkoa29121741%78.179.3-1.2
11 Alicante29111838%79.179.7-0.6
12 Oviedo29111838%77.981.0-3.1
13 Zamora29111838%78.682.5-3.9
14 Hestia Menorca29101934%74.478.0-3.6
15 Estela29101934%75.783.0-7.3
16 Real Valladolid2992031%78.085.2-7.2
17 Castello2972224%80.289.9-9.6
18 Moron2932610%72.383.4-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Castello1717242583
Moron2014151564
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