Castello vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 85-89

33-29 17-15 22-26 13-19

Position#17

Record7-16

FormLLLLL

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game88.5

Castello

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#4

Record20-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game77.3

Primera FEBRound 24

Other2024-25

Meetings · Castello v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Cartagena

106-107 OT

106

107

-1

99avg 72

A29/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

79-84

-5

70avg 72

A04/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

83-73

+10

82avg 72

H12/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

77-101

101

-24

59avg 72

A18/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

71-90

-19

63avg 72

H31/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

66-90

-24

51avg 72

A07/02

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

78-88

-10

71avg 72

H11/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

76-96

-20

65avg 72

A15/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

83-87 OT

-4

70avg 72

H02/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

87-96

-9

77avg 72

A08/03

Primera FEB

20-24

16-25

29-19

28-25

23-25

17-18

20-18

19-23

30-11

23-17

16-22

14-23

20-30

15-29

26-24

16-18

19-17

22-22

17-23

13-28

12-18

20-23

21-29

13-20

22-33

21-20

15-17

20-18

19-20

17-25

19-18

21-33

22-37

14-11

27-13

14-16

27-20

23-38

19-20

18-18

171.8Avg total

80.6Scored

91.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	80.0	88.5	168.5	-8.5	30%
Season at home (11)	78.4	79.0	157.4	-0.6	55%
Season away (12)	81.5	97.2	178.7	-15.7	8%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	91.2	171.8	-10.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	91.4	169.4	-13.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	77.5	87.1	164.6	-9.6	35%
vs Similar (10)	87.1	89.4	176.5	-2.3	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

90-78

+12

86avg 78

H29/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

92-75

+17

86avg 78

A04/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

91-95

-4

82avg 78

H12/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

88-75

+13

80avg 78

A17/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

76-81

-5

73avg 78

H02/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

80-70

+10

76avg 78

A08/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

87-76

+11

85avg 78

H12/02

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

94-64

+30

91avg 78

A16/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

82-69

+13

73avg 78

H02/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

79-73

65avg 78

A08/03

Primera FEB

31-17

20-26

22-16

17-19

23-17

26-21

20-17

23-20

21-23

23-16

25-32

22-24

26-14

14-20

27-19

21-22

26-9

16-26

19-18

15-28

17-14

25-18

19-19

26-20

25-18

15-23

21-15

20-17

29-15

18-21

27-11

26-19

20-16

23-15

13-19

23-21

13-17

24-20

19-15

161.5Avg total

85.9Scored

75.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	87.3	77.3	164.6	+10.0	87%
Season at home (12)	88.0	78.2	166.2	+9.8	83%
Season away (11)	86.5	76.3	162.8	+10.3	91%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	75.6	161.5	+10.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	70.4	154.8	+14.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	91.0	95.0	186.0	-4.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	83.5	76.0	159.5	+7.5	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	85.7	75.8	161.5	+9.8	83%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CastelloEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	24.5	45.6	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.5	44.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	25.6	46.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	23.5	45.4	-1.6	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	17.8	40.5	+4.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	18.7	39.8	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	17.1	41.0	+6.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.2	17.8	42.0	+6.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.4	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	22.0	39.4	-4.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	17.8	35.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	26.3	43.4	-9.1	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.4	42.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.0	20.1	37.1	-3.1	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.9	40.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	18.8	39.2	+1.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.8	39.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.5	22.7	38.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+2.0	61%	-

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cartagena

36-49

-13

A29/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

40-43

-3

A04/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

53-28

+25

H12/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

35-59

-24

A18/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

41-39

H31/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

32-41

-9

A07/02

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

43-53

-10

H11/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

36-45

-9

A15/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

36-48

-12

H02/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

50-58

-8

A08/03

Primera FEB

86.5Avg total

40.2Scored

46.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	45.1	84.1	-6.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	50.7	89.0	-12.5	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	46.3	86.5	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	49.0	88.4	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	39.0	45.8	84.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.9	43.6	82.5	-4.7	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

51-43

H29/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

49-38

+11

A04/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

44-39

H12/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

40-34

A17/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

42-35

H02/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

42-32

+10

A08/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

51-38

+13

H12/02

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

49-32

+17

A16/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

46-35

+11

H02/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

36-38

-2

A08/03

Primera FEB

81.4Avg total

45.0Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.1	80.4	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.7	38.6	81.4	+4.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.6	37.5	79.1	+4.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	36.4	81.4	+8.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	35.0	79.8	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.7	40.5	80.2	-0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.8	37.5	80.3	+5.3	70%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.9	22.2	41.1	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.1	19.3	43.4	+4.8	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.1	40.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	32.0	57.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	18.7	40.8	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	17.9	37.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	22.2	39.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	55%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	23.1	44.4	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	15.8	35.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	16.8	38.5	+4.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.2	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.3	81.5	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	38.7	77.7	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	43.9	85.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	42.5	81.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	40.4	77.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.7	40.7	78.4	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.4	42.4	87.8	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	37.8	80.0	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.4	36.8	79.2	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.9	39.2	81.2	+2.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	39.2	80.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.4	75.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	56.0	103.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.8	35.5	79.3	+8.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.6	37.7	79.2	+3.9	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Castello wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
06/10/24	Estudiantes v Castello	108-85
31/03/24	Estudiantes v Castello	95-79
29/11/23	Castello v Estudiantes	68-84
09/04/23	Castello v Estudiantes	87-86
11/12/22	Estudiantes v Castello	77-52
15/03/22	Estudiantes v Castello	100-69
10/11/21	Castello v Estudiantes	66-78

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/25	A	Zamora	87-96
02/03/25	H	Cartagena	83-87 OT
15/02/25	A	Estela	76-96
11/02/25	H	Fuenlabrada	78-88
07/02/25	A	Hestia Menorca	66-90
31/01/25	H	San Pablo Burgos	71-90
18/01/25	A	Real Valladolid	77-101
12/01/25	H	Alicante	83-73
04/01/25	A	Moron	79-84
29/12/24	A	Cartagena	106-107 OT

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/25	A	Ourense	79-73
02/03/25	H	Hestia Menorca	82-69
16/02/25	A	Zamora	94-64
12/02/25	H	Real Valladolid	87-76
08/02/25	A	Cartagena	80-70
02/02/25	H	Oviedo	76-81
17/01/25	A	Gipuzkoa	88-75
12/01/25	H	San Pablo Burgos	91-95
04/01/25	A	Estela	92-75
29/12/24	H	Fuenlabrada	90-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	30%
Home	WWLLL	55%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	30%	55%	8%
Points / game	80.0	78.4	81.5
Allowed / game	88.5	79.0	97.2
Point differential	-8.5	-0.6	-15.7
Avg total	168.5	157.4	178.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	13%	9%	17%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	87%
Home	WLLWW	83%
Away	WWWWW	91%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	87%	83%	91%
Points / game	87.3	88.0	86.5
Allowed / game	77.3	78.2	76.3
Point differential	+10.0	+9.8	+10.3
Avg total	164.6	166.2	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	58%	55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	9%	8%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	23	21	2	91%	90.5	76.0	+14.5
2	Fuenlabrada	23	20	3	87%	85.3	74.0	+11.3
3	Estudiantes	23	20	3	87%	87.3	77.3	+10.0
4	Real Betis	24	18	6	75%	83.1	74.5	+8.6
5	Palencia	23	16	7	70%	87.0	80.1	+6.9
6	Obradoiro CAB	22	13	9	59%	80.7	74.5	+6.2
7	Tizona Burgos	23	13	10	57%	90.3	89.4	+0.9
8	Cartagena	23	12	11	52%	78.7	84.3	-5.6
9	Ourense	24	11	13	46%	82.7	83.4	-0.7
10	Zamora	24	10	14	42%	78.7	82.5	-3.9
11	Hestia Menorca	23	9	14	39%	74.7	77.1	-2.4
12	Estela	22	8	14	36%	75.5	81.7	-6.3
13	Oviedo	23	8	15	35%	77.2	81.5	-4.3
14	Gipuzkoa	23	7	16	30%	75.8	79.8	-4.0
15	Real Valladolid	23	7	16	30%	77.5	84.5	-7.0
16	Castello	23	7	16	30%	80.0	88.5	-8.5
17	Alicante	23	6	17	26%	75.3	79.6	-4.3
18	Moron	24	2	22	8%	72.6	83.8	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Castello	33	17	22	13	85
Estudiantes	29	15	26	19	89

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Castello vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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