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Estela vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-76
20-19 25-17 18-19 33-21
Position#14
Record5-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game83.3
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#17
Record7-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game87.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 21
Other2024-25
Meetings · Estela v Castello
15 Feb 2025
ESTE96
CAST76
25 Nov 2023
ESTE91
CAST80
18 Feb 2023
ESTE84
CAST64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
67-75
67
75
-8
55avg 64
H07/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
70-95
70
95
-25
61avg 64
A10/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
83-80
83
80
+3
70avg 64
H15/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
80avg 64
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
60-83
60
83
-23
41avg 64
A29/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 64
H04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
67avg 64
A12/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
59-83
59
83
-24
44avg 64
H18/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
87-90
87
90
-3
74avg 64
A31/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
64avg 64
A11/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
24-17
13-21
9-21
15-21
15-23
21-29
19-22
16-18
20-15
24-20
23-27
16-24
29-11
23-13
21-23
16-24
15-22
13-13
16-24
17-23
21-26
17-20
20-23
24-13
14-27
22-26
18-21
19-24
14-13
13-25
13-21
17-17
18-17
29-31
23-25
16-18
19-29
26-16
16-25
158.9Avg total
74.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.483.3156.6-9.926%
Season at home (9)77.079.8156.8-2.844%
Season away (10)70.186.4156.5-16.310%
Last 10 (10)74.584.4158.9-9.920%
Last 5 (5)75.288.0163.2-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)70.285.7155.9-15.412%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.781.0160.7-1.342%
vs Weaker (2)84.590.0174.5-5.550%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 72
H11/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
60avg 72
A15/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
73-68
73
68
+5
69avg 72
H20/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
99avg 72
A29/12
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 72
A04/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
83-73
83
73
+10
82avg 72
H12/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
77-101
77
101
-24
59avg 72
A18/01
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
63avg 72
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
66-90
66
90
-24
51avg 72
A07/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 72
H11/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
8-15
13-21
21-11
26-28
17-18
12-33
13-16
17-23
13-20
22-14
21-11
20-24
16-25
29-19
28-25
23-25
17-18
20-18
19-23
30-11
23-17
16-22
14-23
20-30
15-29
26-24
16-18
19-17
22-22
17-23
13-28
12-18
20-23
21-29
13-20
22-33
21-20
15-17
20-18
162.8Avg total
76.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.787.8167.5-8.135%
Season at home (10)77.978.2156.1-0.360%
Season away (10)81.597.4178.9-15.910%
Last 10 (10)76.985.9162.8-9.030%
Last 5 (5)75.088.4163.4-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)77.087.9164.9-10.936%
vs Similar ◀ (8)89.088.9177.9+0.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
EstelaCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H07/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A10/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A29/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A31/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/02
Primera FEB
76.4Avg total
36.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.577.0-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.440.078.4-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)34.940.975.8-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.876.4-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.477.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.542.678.1-7.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.236.273.5+1.067%-
vs Weaker (2)40.549.089.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A15/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A29/12
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A04/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H12/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A18/01
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H11/02
Primera FEB
81.9Avg total
38.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.345.083.3-6.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.780.3-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)36.949.386.2-12.57%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.281.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.845.883.5-8.023%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.642.982.5-3.238%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estela wins
3
Castello wins
DateGameScore
25/10/24Castello v Estela89-68
10/05/24Castello v Estela92-89
25/11/23Estela v Castello91-80
18/02/23Estela v Castello84-64
21/10/22Castello v Estela76-72
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25AReal Betis77-88
31/01/25ATizona Burgos87-90
18/01/25HPalencia59-83
12/01/25ACartagena78-87
04/01/25HEstudiantes75-92
29/12/24AGipuzkoa60-83
21/12/24HZamora89-71
15/12/24HTizona Burgos83-80
10/12/24AOviedo70-95
07/12/24HFuenlabrada67-75
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25HFuenlabrada78-88
07/02/25AHestia Menorca66-90
31/01/25HSan Pablo Burgos71-90
18/01/25AReal Valladolid77-101
12/01/25HAlicante83-73
04/01/25AMoron79-84
29/12/24ACartagena106-107 OT
20/12/24HObradoiro CAB73-68
15/12/24ASan Pablo Burgos68-95
11/12/24HHestia Menorca68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%44%10%
Points / game73.477.070.1
Allowed / game83.379.886.4
Point differential-9.9-2.8-16.3
Avg total156.6156.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%60%10%
Points / game79.777.981.5
Allowed / game87.878.297.4
Point differential-8.1-0.3-15.9
Avg total167.5156.1178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos2019195%90.575.4+15.2
2 Fuenlabrada2118386%85.073.7+11.3
3 Estudiantes2017385%87.778.5+9.1
4 Real Betis2015575%83.374.2+9.1
5 Palencia2014670%87.079.3+7.7
6 Obradoiro CAB1911858%80.374.5+5.8
7 Tizona Burgos2011955%89.690.1-0.5
8 Ourense20101050%84.582.9+1.6
9 Zamora2091145%79.880.8-0.9
10 Cartagena2091145%77.585.2-7.7
11 Hestia Menorca2081240%75.377.5-2.2
12 Oviedo2081240%78.181.6-3.5
13 Gipuzkoa2071335%75.478.8-3.4
14 Castello2071335%79.787.8-8.1
15 Real Valladolid2061430%75.583.0-7.5
16 Estela1951426%73.483.3-9.9
17 Alicante2151624%74.779.0-4.3
18 Moron201195%72.785.0-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela2025183396
Castello1917192176
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