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Castello vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-94
23-25 16-22 26-31 16-16
Position#15
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game68.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 4
Other2023-24
Meetings · Castello v San Pablo Burgos
31 Jan 2025
CAST71
SPB90
27 Oct 2023
CAST81
SPB94
25 Nov 2022
CAST65
SPB67
03 Feb 2017
CAST77
SPB87
11 Mar 2016
CAST60
SPB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Pablo Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
W
87-86
87
86
+1
no box
H09/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
62-99
62
99
-37
no box
A16/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
105-78
105
78
+27
no box
H21/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
A29/04
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
H05/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A13/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
80-93
80
93
-13
75avg 70
A07/10
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
83avg 70
H13/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
65-85
65
85
-20
52avg 70
A21/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-32
25-11
20-16
27-27
15-25
15-28
15-31
17-15
17-22
31-15
33-13
24-28
21-24
14-14
20-25
27-29
20-17
15-15
27-12
19-23
18-18
16-23
21-23
11-19
31-18
19-19
20-26
30-18
17-21
18-20
26-19
19-33
24-27
20-17
29-25
17-17
13-21
12-21
30-17
10-26
166.8Avg total
81.8Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.388.0166.3-9.733%
Season at home (1)90.086.0176.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)72.589.0161.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)81.885.0166.8-3.250%
Last 5 (5)80.285.6165.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.884.0159.8-8.246%
vs Similar (9)76.478.9155.3-2.444%
vs Weaker (8)81.576.2157.8+5.275%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
L
96-104 OT
96
104
-8
no box
A14/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
A26/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
no box
A28/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
H02/06
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A17/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A18/06
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
no box
A07/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
W
79-66
79
66
+13
75avg 70
H14/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 70
A21/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
25-17
17-18
15-16
14-17
26-22
24-21
22-20
20-22
23-24
26-22
23-19
21-22
36-27
22-13
23-27
19-22
19-23
21-19
28-21
15-21
19-18
17-17
18-8
22-28
20-22
19-23
22-22
26-17
14-11
10-18
16-20
19-22
16-17
28-17
16-10
23-17
15-14
18-17
16-16
164.6Avg total
83.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.068.3142.3+5.767%
Season at home (1)79.066.0145.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)71.569.5141.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)83.780.9164.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)74.872.8147.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.095.0168.0-22.00%
vs Similar (10)87.385.2172.5+2.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.070.5155.5+14.574%
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
CastelloSan Pablo Burgos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H09/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A16/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H21/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/04
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A13/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H19/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/10
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A21/10
Primera FEB
78.4Avg total
37.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.078.4-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.839.379.1+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)35.042.677.6-7.627%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.878.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.078.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.344.081.3-6.731%-
vs Similar (9)35.938.974.8-3.033%-
vs Weaker (8)39.238.477.6+0.950%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A14/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A28/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/06
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/06
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A07/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/10
Primera FEB
81.9Avg total
41.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.879.6+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.234.276.3+8.069%-
Last 30 away (17)43.238.882.1+4.471%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.881.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.475.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (10)43.141.985.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.534.176.6+8.579%-
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.3
46.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Castello wins
5
San Pablo Burgos wins
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AHestia Menorca65-85
13/10/23HCaceres90-86
07/10/23AOurense80-93
19/05/23HAlicante100-81
13/05/23AOviedo66-83
05/05/23HAlmansa81-67
29/04/23AReal Valladolid82-92
21/04/23HMelilla105-78
16/04/23ALeyma Coruna62-99
09/04/23HEstudiantes87-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AFuenlabrada72-64
14/10/23HForca Lleida79-66
07/10/23AOviedo71-75 OT
18/06/23APalencia83-95
17/06/23AGipuzkoa69-64
02/06/23HEstudiantes87-85
28/05/23AEstudiantes102-89
26/05/23AEstudiantes92-87
19/05/23HLeyma Coruna86-80
14/05/23AEstudiantes96-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game78.390.072.5
Allowed / game88.086.089.0
Point differential-9.7+4.0-16.5
Avg total166.3176.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Pablo Burgos
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game74.079.071.5
Allowed / game68.366.069.5
Point differential+5.7+13.0+2.0
Avg total142.3145.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna330100%93.080.3+12.7
2 Ourense330100%80.369.0+11.3
3 Gipuzkoa43175%77.875.0+2.8
4 Tizona Burgos32167%84.076.0+8.0
5 Estudiantes32167%81.774.7+7.0
6 Real Valladolid32167%77.070.7+6.3
7 San Pablo Burgos32167%74.068.3+5.7
8 Oviedo32167%81.077.7+3.3
9 Alicante31233%73.370.0+3.3
10 Hestia Menorca31233%72.372.7-0.3
11 Caceres31233%78.783.0-4.3
12 Forca Lleida31233%69.077.7-8.7
13 Estela31233%81.390.7-9.3
14 Castello31233%78.388.0-9.7
15 Clavijo31233%56.372.0-15.7
16 Fuenlabrada41325%73.574.0-0.5
17 Real Betis41325%74.278.0-3.8
18 Melilla41325%76.882.5-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Castello2316261681
San Pablo Burgos2522311694
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