Real Valladolid vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 92-82

24-21 14-14 25-20 29-27

Position#4

Record19-11

FormLWWLW

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game73.2

Real Valladolid 🏆

Castello

Position#9

Record15-15

FormWWWLW

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game77.9

Primera FEBRound 31

Other2022-23

Meetings · Real Valladolid v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

77-85

-8

A17/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

81-75

H05/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

71-102

102

-31

A10/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

85-66

+19

H18/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

72-82

-10

A25/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

60-76

-16

A01/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

89-72

+17

H05/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

71-70

A09/04

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

74-81

-7

H15/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

94-82

+12

A23/04

Primera FEB

13-19

21-28

19-23

24-15

21-20

19-17

17-18

24-20

12-27

16-21

18-30

25-24

16-19

23-16

17-14

29-17

17-27

15-10

14-24

26-21

23-17

15-17

15-15

7-27

25-22

24-17

20-24

20-9

21-16

22-19

12-16

16-19

23-24

15-20

25-20

11-17

18-17

18-16

32-30

26-19

156.5Avg total

77.4Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	76.1	73.2	149.4	+2.9	63%
Season at home (15)	79.8	68.0	147.8	+11.8	93%
Season away (15)	72.5	78.5	150.9	-6.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	79.1	156.5	-1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	76.2	153.8	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.7	76.3	146.0	-6.7	33%
vs Similar (10)	78.1	73.2	151.3	+4.9	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	77.5	71.9	149.4	+5.6	71%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#11

64-84

-20

A18/02

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

77-68

H05/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

61-58

A10/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

85-80

H17/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

48-98

-50

A25/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

80-70

+10

H31/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

88-77

+11

A05/04

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

87-86

H09/04

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

62-99

-37

A16/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

105-78

105

+27

H21/04

Primera FEB

14-29

14-21

14-20

22-14

17-21

14-17

29-13

17-17

22-17

9-15

20-14

10-12

18-30

15-21

27-14

25-15

14-28

11-30

9-15

14-25

23-13

18-23

15-14

24-20

26-16

23-25

20-12

19-24

15-32

25-11

20-16

27-27

15-25

15-28

15-31

17-15

17-22

31-15

33-13

24-28

155.5Avg total

75.7Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	75.7	77.9	153.6	-2.2	50%
Season at home (15)	81.2	76.5	157.7	+4.7	73%
Season away (15)	70.2	79.3	149.5	-9.1	27%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	79.8	155.5	-4.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	82.0	166.4	+2.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	74.3	80.4	154.7	-6.1	47%
vs Similar (6)	70.5	74.8	145.3	-4.3	33%
vs Weaker (9)	81.6	75.9	157.4	+5.7	67%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real ValladolidCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.8	37.3	+1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.9	37.1	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	16.5	34.2	+1.2	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.6	19.1	38.6	+0.5	36%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	21.5	39.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	21.7	39.1	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	23.3	41.4	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.7	22.5	40.2	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.3	23.0	38.3	-7.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.3	37.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.6	38.1	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	47%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	17.5	35.8	+0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	33%	-

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

34-47

-13

A17/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

40-37

H05/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

28-48

-20

A10/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

39-35

H18/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

32-37

-5

A25/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

38-34

A01/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

49-39

+10

H05/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

43-35

A09/04

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

38-44

-6

H15/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

36-33

A23/04

Primera FEB

76.6Avg total

37.7Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	36.4	74.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	34.7	73.5	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	38.2	74.6	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	38.9	76.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.3	36.0	71.3	-0.7	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.7	37.7	75.4	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	38.6	35.7	74.3	+2.9	64%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#11

28-50

-22

A18/02

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

31-38

-7

H05/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

31-32

-1

A10/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

33-51

-18

H17/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

25-58

-33

A25/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

41-36

H31/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

49-41

A05/04

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

40-43

-3

H09/04

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

30-53

-23

A16/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

48-37

+11

H21/04

Primera FEB

79.5Avg total

35.6Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	41.0	78.3	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	40.6	78.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	41.3	77.9	-4.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	43.9	79.5	-8.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	42.0	83.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.5	42.5	79.9	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.7	40.5	74.2	-6.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.7	38.8	78.4	+0.9	56%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	15.9	32.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.3	37.7	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.8	21.8	37.7	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	16.7	16.2	32.9	+0.5	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.8	36.1	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	19.7	35.7	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	15.5	19.1	34.7	-3.6	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	17.6	38.7	+3.6	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	15.9	37.9	+6.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.9	38.7	-1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	17.0	38.9	+4.9	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	18.8	41.9	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.3	35.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.1	60%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.8	19.6	40.3	+1.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	36.0	73.5	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	31.7	70.7	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	40.3	76.3	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	40.2	79.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	39.2	76.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.3	40.3	74.7	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.4	35.5	75.9	+4.9	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	36.8	34.5	71.3	+2.3	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	36.8	74.8	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	35.6	77.9	+6.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.6	38.0	71.6	-4.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.9	76.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.1	37.6	73.7	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.8	34.3	71.2	+2.5	83%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.9	37.1	79.0	+4.8	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Valladolid wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/22	Castello v Real Valladolid	80-77
30/04/22	Real Valladolid v Castello	82-77
13/02/22	Castello v Real Valladolid	83-77
02/05/21	Real Valladolid v Castello	83-88
26/03/21	Castello v Real Valladolid	87-79

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/23	A	Gipuzkoa	94-82
15/04/23	H	MoraBanc Andorra	74-81
09/04/23	A	Alicante	71-70
05/04/23	H	Oviedo	89-72
01/04/23	A	Almansa	60-76
25/03/23	A	Ourense	72-82
18/03/23	H	Melilla	85-66
10/03/23	A	Leyma Coruna	71-102
05/03/23	H	Estudiantes	81-75
17/02/23	A	Forca Lleida	77-85

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/23	H	Melilla	105-78
16/04/23	A	Leyma Coruna	62-99
09/04/23	H	Estudiantes	87-86
05/04/23	A	Forca Lleida	88-77
31/03/23	H	Iraurgi SB	80-70
25/03/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	48-98
17/03/23	H	Palencia	85-80
10/03/23	A	Caceres	61-58
05/03/23	H	Albacete	77-68
18/02/23	A	Estela	64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	63%
Home	WWWWL	93%
Away	LLLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	63%	93%	33%
Points / game	76.1	79.8	72.5
Allowed / game	73.2	68.0	78.5
Point differential	+2.9	+11.8	-6.0
Avg total	149.4	147.8	150.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	53%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	13%	0%

Castello

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	50%
Home	WWWWW	73%
Away	LWLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	50%	73%	27%
Points / game	75.7	81.2	70.2
Allowed / game	77.9	76.5	79.3
Point differential	-2.2	+4.7	-9.1
Avg total	153.6	157.7	149.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	20%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	46% (13)	62% (8)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	31	27	4	87%	82.8	70.0	+12.8
2	Palencia	31	25	6	81%	82.5	72.7	+9.8
3	Leyma Coruna	30	21	9	70%	84.1	76.1	+8.0
4	Forca Lleida	31	20	11	65%	79.8	76.9	+2.9
5	San Pablo Burgos	30	19	11	63%	83.0	74.0	+9.0
6	Estudiantes	30	19	11	63%	78.3	73.3	+5.0
7	Real Valladolid	30	19	11	63%	76.1	73.2	+2.9
8	Alicante	30	18	12	60%	76.1	75.0	+1.1
9	Gipuzkoa	31	17	14	55%	78.1	74.9	+3.2
10	Castello	30	15	15	50%	75.7	77.9	-2.2
11	Estela	30	13	17	43%	73.1	78.3	-5.2
12	Almansa	31	11	20	35%	74.6	79.7	-5.1
13	Ourense	30	10	20	33%	72.8	79.2	-6.4
14	Caceres	30	9	21	30%	74.6	80.2	-5.6
15	Oviedo	31	9	22	29%	69.3	77.7	-8.5
16	Iraurgi SB	30	8	22	27%	73.2	82.1	-8.9
17	Albacete	30	7	23	23%	72.8	78.6	-5.8
18	Melilla	30	6	24	20%	75.0	82.7	-7.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Valladolid	24	14	25	29	92
Castello	21	14	20	27	82

← all games of the day

Real Valladolid vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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