Castello vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 10:15

Final 87-86

15-32 25-11 20-16 27-27

Position#9

Record13-14

FormWWLWW

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game76.9

Castello 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#7

Record18-9

FormLLWLW

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game72.5

Primera FEBRound 28

Other2022-23

Meetings · Castello v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

72-84

-12

A28/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

96-90 OT

H01/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

76-64

+12

H05/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

64-84

-20

A18/02

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

77-68

H05/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

61-58

A10/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

85-80

H17/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

48-98

-50

A25/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

80-70

+10

H31/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

88-77

+11

A05/04

Primera FEB

18-31

19-12

15-20

20-21

17-25

15-19

22-18

31-23

17-25

21-18

16-11

22-10

14-29

14-21

14-20

22-14

17-21

14-17

29-13

17-17

22-17

9-15

20-14

10-12

18-30

15-21

27-14

25-15

14-28

11-30

9-15

14-25

23-13

18-23

15-14

24-20

26-16

23-25

20-12

19-24

152.0Avg total

74.7Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	74.7	76.9	151.6	-2.1	48%
Season at home (13)	78.9	75.7	154.6	+3.2	69%
Season away (14)	70.8	77.9	148.7	-7.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	74.7	77.3	152.0	-2.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	76.6	149.0	-4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	73.9	78.1	152.0	-4.3	43%
vs Similar (8)	73.6	77.5	151.1	-3.9	25%
vs Weaker (8)	78.6	75.6	154.2	+3.0	62%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

94-75

+19

H29/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

86-76

+10

A01/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

66-74

-8

A05/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

75-64

+11

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

75-81

-6

A05/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

75-78

-3

H12/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

66-68

-2

A18/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

70-65

H26/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

51-85

-34

A01/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

79-56

+23

H05/04

Primera FEB

22-18

20-15

28-25

24-17

18-12

23-20

23-25

22-19

14-20

17-20

15-21

20-13

18-8

22-20

14-13

21-23

20-21

17-19

18-17

20-24

17-25

17-13

17-21

24-19

15-17

17-18

15-19

19-14

25-21

14-15

13-19

18-10

3-19

16-25

16-22

16-19

20-23

12-10

23-17

24-6

145.9Avg total

73.7Scored

72.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	77.3	72.5	149.8	+4.8	67%
Season at home (14)	79.6	68.5	148.1	+11.1	79%
Season away (13)	74.8	76.8	151.6	-1.9	54%
Last 10 (10)	73.7	72.2	145.9	+1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	68.2	70.4	138.6	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	65.3	82.3	147.7	-17.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	75.6	73.3	148.9	+2.3	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	80.5	68.5	149.0	+12.1	82%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CastelloEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	21.2	39.3	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	23.5	42.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.3	21.4	39.7	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.0	23.5	40.5	-6.5	12%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	17.2	36.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	17.7	33.7	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.6	15.9	36.6	+4.7	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	20.1	36.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	22.8	38.0	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.6	20.1	39.8	-0.5	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	17.9	35.9	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	16.7	34.9	+1.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	16.2	31.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.0	22.0	35.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.8	17.6	36.5	+1.2	59%	-

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

37-43

-6

A28/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-44

-12

H01/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

38-43

-5

H05/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

28-50

-22

A18/02

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

31-38

-7

H05/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

31-32

-1

A10/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

33-51

-18

H17/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

25-58

-33

A25/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

41-36

H31/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

49-41

A05/04

Primera FEB

78.1Avg total

34.5Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	40.8	78.2	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	41.0	78.7	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	40.7	77.7	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	43.6	78.1	-9.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	43.6	79.4	-7.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.9	41.6	79.5	-3.6	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.0	41.4	76.4	-6.4	12%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.6	39.0	77.6	-0.4	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

42-33

H29/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

41-32

A01/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

31-40

-9

A05/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

40-28

+12

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

37-40

-3

A05/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

34-38

-4

H12/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

32-35

-3

A18/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

39-36

H26/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

19-44

-25

A01/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-33

-1

H05/04

Primera FEB

70.6Avg total

34.7Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	35.3	73.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	33.8	71.8	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	37.1	74.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	35.9	70.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	37.2	68.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	29.0	39.7	68.7	-10.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.5	37.0	74.5	+0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.5	33.6	73.1	+5.9	71%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	17.9	35.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	18.9	35.0	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	15.1	33.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	13.8	32.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.1	18.3	33.4	-3.1	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	17.1	35.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	18.1	37.8	+1.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	22.3	39.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.3	39.1	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	57%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	15.6	35.9	+4.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	16.4	37.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	13.6	33.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.4	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.8	17.5	38.2	+3.3	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	35.8	72.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	34.3	74.1	+5.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.0	37.3	71.3	-3.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	33.2	72.3	+5.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	33.0	69.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.1	36.2	71.4	-1.1	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.9	34.2	71.1	+2.6	88%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.0	36.6	76.6	+3.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	36.1	75.7	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	34.2	75.1	+6.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	38.4	76.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.3	75.3	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	33.2	70.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	42.7	79.0	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.1	36.3	74.4	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.1	34.9	75.9	+6.2	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Castello wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/22	Estudiantes v Castello	77-52
15/03/22	Estudiantes v Castello	100-69
10/11/21	Castello v Estudiantes	66-78

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/23	A	Forca Lleida	88-77
31/03/23	H	Iraurgi SB	80-70
25/03/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	48-98
17/03/23	H	Palencia	85-80
10/03/23	A	Caceres	61-58
05/03/23	H	Albacete	77-68
18/02/23	A	Estela	64-84
05/02/23	H	Ourense	76-64
01/02/23	H	Gipuzkoa	96-90 OT
28/01/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	72-84

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/23	H	Gipuzkoa	79-56
01/04/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	51-85
26/03/23	H	Alicante	70-65
18/03/23	A	Oviedo	66-68
12/03/23	H	Almansa	75-78
05/03/23	A	Real Valladolid	75-81
17/02/23	H	Melilla	75-64
05/02/23	A	Leyma Coruna	66-74
01/02/23	A	Ourense	86-76
29/01/23	H	Forca Lleida	94-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	48%
Home	WWWWW	69%
Away	LLWLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	48%	69%	29%
Points / game	74.7	78.9	70.8
Allowed / game	76.9	75.7	77.9
Point differential	-2.1	+3.2	-7.1
Avg total	151.6	154.6	148.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	15%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	57% (7)	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	67%
Home	WWLWW	79%
Away	WLLLL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	67%	79%	54%
Points / game	77.3	79.6	74.8
Allowed / game	72.5	68.5	76.8
Point differential	+4.8	+11.1	-1.9
Avg total	149.8	148.1	151.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	57%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	27	24	3	89%	82.9	69.3	+13.6
2	Palencia	27	23	4	85%	82.4	71.7	+10.7
3	Leyma Coruna	28	19	9	68%	83.5	76.3	+7.2
4	Estudiantes	27	18	9	67%	77.3	72.5	+4.8
5	Real Valladolid	27	17	10	63%	75.7	72.7	+3.0
6	Forca Lleida	27	17	10	63%	79.5	77.4	+2.0
7	Alicante	27	17	10	63%	76.3	74.9	+1.4
8	San Pablo Burgos	27	16	11	59%	81.8	74.7	+7.1
9	Gipuzkoa	28	16	12	57%	77.1	73.3	+3.8
10	Castello	27	13	14	48%	74.7	76.9	-2.1
11	Estela	27	12	15	44%	73.6	78.4	-4.8
12	Ourense	27	10	17	37%	73.9	78.8	-5.0
13	Caceres	27	9	18	33%	73.7	78.7	-5.0
14	Almansa	27	8	19	30%	72.6	79.4	-6.9
15	Oviedo	27	7	20	26%	68.6	77.9	-9.3
16	Albacete	27	6	21	22%	71.6	77.6	-6.1
17	Melilla	27	6	21	22%	74.5	80.7	-6.2
18	Iraurgi SB	27	6	21	22%	72.3	81.0	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Castello	15	25	20	27	87
Estudiantes	32	11	16	27	86

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Castello vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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