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Catolica vs Arabe Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 109-52
27-9 30-9 19-18 33-16
Position#14
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game55.7
vs
Position#25
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game72.7
ChileCopa ChileRound 9
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Catolica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CatolicaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Deportes Castro
#6
L
52-83
52
83
-31
A24/04
LNB
Deportes Castro
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H29/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H01/05
LNB
Valdivia
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H01/05
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
108-30
108
30
+78
H30/09
Copa Chile
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A16/10
Copa Chile
Sergio Ceppi
#18
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H22/10
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H29/10
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A06/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
13-24
11-17
12-14
20-15
19-19
14-25
22-23
18-21
20-19
20-21
27-20
26-11
19-19
9-25
17-22
17-24
19-20
11-16
20-21
33-8
25-3
22-8
28-11
21-16
9-17
13-9
14-8
14-18
30-20
19-9
8-11
14-16
20-16
11-23
22-14
18-14
14-9
9-21
18-2
136.9Avg total
71.2Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.555.7127.2+15.867%
Season at home (3)82.052.3134.3+29.767%
Season away (3)61.059.0120.0+2.067%
Last 10 (10)71.265.7136.9+5.550%
Last 5 (5)72.450.6123.0+21.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)62.979.6142.4-16.717%
vs Similar (4)71.280.8152.0-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.559.1143.6+25.4100%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisas
#14
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
81-108
81
108
-27
H26/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
W
106-75
106
75
+31
A31/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
A07/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H16/10
Copa Chile
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H29/10
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A06/11
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H13/11
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
56-84
56
84
-28
H16/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
19-10
23-19
14-23
18-21
30-25
13-31
20-31
16-27
34-13
29-13
27-22
12-22
10-10
15-23
16-12
18-12
21-15
16-24
18-22
16-21
17-9
9-13
8-14
20-20
12-10
15-16
9-25
13-25
18-12
8-22
12-23
14-13
16-10
13-20
10-26
15-19
9-15
16-17
16-33
142.8Avg total
66.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)58.072.7130.7-14.714%
Season at home (4)53.870.2124.0-16.50%
Season away (3)63.776.0139.7-12.333%
Last 10 (10)66.376.5142.8-10.220%
Last 5 (5)53.272.6125.8-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)60.083.1143.1-23.16%
vs Similar (9)72.875.4148.2-2.744%
vs Weaker (5)69.464.4133.8+5.060%
This opponent (Catolica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -8.1-8.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -8.1-8.1
CatolicaArabe Valparaiso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CatolicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Deportes Castro
#6
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A24/04
LNB
Deportes Castro
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H29/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/05
LNB
Valdivia
#5
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H01/05
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
58-11
58
11
+47
H30/09
Copa Chile
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A16/10
Copa Chile
Sergio Ceppi
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/10
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H29/10
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A06/11
Copa Chile
72.2Avg total
38.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.738.075.7-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.976.8+2.953%-
Last 30 away (13)35.239.274.4-4.146%-
Last 10 (10)38.533.772.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.627.467.0+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.942.477.3-7.625%-
vs Similar (4)38.535.273.8+3.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.930.573.4+12.488%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisas
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A31/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A07/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H16/10
Copa Chile
Sergio Ceppi
#18
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H29/10
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A06/11
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H13/11
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H16/11
Copa Chile
67.2Avg total
34.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.037.069.0-5.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.534.767.2-2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)31.439.671.0-8.136%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.067.2+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)30.030.860.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.640.571.1-9.925%-
vs Similar (9)34.434.368.8+0.167%-
vs Weaker (5)32.230.462.6+1.860%-
This opponent (Catolica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Catolica wins
0
Arabe Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
16/10/22Arabe Valparaiso v Catolica50-57
Catolicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22ALuis Matte Larrain59-46
29/10/22HSportiva Italiana67-69
22/10/22HSergio Ceppi71-58
16/10/22AArabe Valparaiso57-50
30/09/22HLuis Matte Larrain108-30
25/09/22ASportiva Italiana67-81
01/05/22HValdivia71-77
01/05/22HPuerto Montt85-81
29/04/22HDeportes Castro75-82
24/04/22ADeportes Castro52-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/22HSportiva Italiana56-84
13/11/22HLuis Matte Larrain53-69
06/11/22ASportiva Italiana51-82
29/10/22HSergio Ceppi56-71
16/10/22HCatolica50-57
07/10/22ALuis Matte Larrain87-79 OT
25/09/22ASergio Ceppi53-67
31/07/22ASergio Ceppi106-75
26/07/22HSportiva Italiana81-108
23/07/22HBrisas70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Catolica
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game71.582.061.0
Allowed / game55.752.359.0
Point differential+15.8+29.7+2.0
Avg total127.2134.3120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arabe Valparaiso
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%0%33%
Points / game58.053.863.7
Allowed / game72.770.276.0
Point differential-14.7-16.5-12.3
Avg total130.7124.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion660100%113.062.2+50.8
2 Leones Quilpue660100%82.750.5+32.2
3 Sportiva Italiana770100%82.162.6+19.6
4 Ancud87188%94.967.6+27.2
5 CD Puerto Varas76186%99.071.6+27.4
6 Espanol Osorno65183%97.770.8+26.8
7 Manquehue65183%82.260.0+22.2
8 Valdivia65183%82.069.3+12.7
9 Tinguiririca75271%77.070.6+6.4
10 Puente Alto64267%78.762.7+16.0
11 Catolica64267%71.555.7+15.8
12 Quilicura64267%78.869.5+9.3
13 Truenos De Talca64267%70.780.5-9.8
14 Las Animas63350%77.282.0-4.8
15 Espanol de Talca73443%73.168.9+4.3
16 Sergio Ceppi73443%70.370.3+0.0
17 Municipal Chillan73443%67.778.1-10.4
18 Boston C. C.52340%63.472.8-9.4
19 Deportes Castro62433%70.079.7-9.7
20 Puerto Montt62433%70.082.0-12.0
21 Temuco72529%65.371.6-6.3
22 Stadio Italiano72529%63.777.4-13.7
23 Luis Matte Larrain72529%59.778.1-18.4
24 Tomas Lawrence61517%64.378.0-13.7
25 Brisas61517%52.276.5-24.3
26 Arabe Valparaiso71614%58.072.7-14.7
27 Liceo Curico71614%56.478.1-21.7
28 Liceo Pablo Neruda71614%57.981.3-23.4
29 Aleman6060%51.585.3-33.8
30 CDSC Osorno7070%56.396.3-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Catolica27301933109
Arabe Valparaiso99181652
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