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Arabe Valparaiso vs Sergio Ceppi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 56-71
20-20 12-10 15-16 9-25
Position#25
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Position#18
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game63.0
ChileCopa ChileRound 6
Other2022
Meetings · Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi
11 May 2024
ARAB84
SERG81
06 Aug 2023
ARAB68
SERG72
05 Aug 2023
ARAB70
SERG71
23 Jul 2023
ARAB66
SERG69
29 Oct 2022
ARAB56
SERG71
11 Jun 2022
ARAB64
SERG58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sergio Ceppi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A21/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A03/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A10/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A16/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#14
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
81-108
81
108
-27
H26/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
W
106-75
106
75
+31
A31/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
A07/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H16/10
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
18-21
23-13
13-27
19-17
25-16
11-31
21-18
19-23
13-20
16-16
10-16
15-18
19-31
10-19
18-17
14-21
19-10
23-19
14-23
18-21
30-25
13-31
20-31
16-27
34-13
29-13
27-22
12-22
10-10
15-23
16-12
18-12
21-15
16-24
18-22
16-21
17-9
9-13
8-14
149.1Avg total
71.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)63.367.7131.0-4.333%
Season at home (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%
Season away (2)70.073.0143.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)71.477.7149.1-6.320%
Last 5 (5)75.477.2152.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.183.8147.9-19.86%
vs Similar (9)77.377.0154.3+0.356%
vs Weaker (5)69.464.4133.8+5.060%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manquehue
#4
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A16/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H18/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
65-95
65
95
-30
H28/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#9
L
75-106
75
106
-31
H31/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H08/08
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A13/08
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H15/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A22/10
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
13-13
11-8
22-16
12-14
19-20
12-14
20-9
19-14
21-17
14-13
11-19
9-29
8-28
26-11
22-27
27-16
13-34
13-29
22-27
7-12
12-7
18-19
7-25
8-24
19-14
13-15
11-19
22-12
10-10
23-15
12-16
27-9
23-16
17-17
26-23
18-14
20-30
9-19
11-8
134.3Avg total
64.8Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.763.0135.7+9.767%
Season at home (2)80.059.0139.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)58.071.0129.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)64.869.5134.3-4.750%
Last 5 (5)62.664.8127.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)58.173.6131.7-15.414%
vs Similar (6)70.569.7140.2+0.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)74.556.3130.8+18.2100%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
Arabe ValparaisoSergio Ceppi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A21/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A03/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A10/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A16/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A31/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A07/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H16/10
Copa Chile
73.7Avg total
37.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.838.070.8-5.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.736.370.0-2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)31.939.771.7-7.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.773.7+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.073.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.842.073.8-10.219%-
vs Similar (9)35.035.270.2-0.267%-
vs Weaker (5)32.230.462.6+1.860%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manquehue
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A16/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
17-57
17
57
-40
H28/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H31/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
D
19-19
19
19
+0
H08/08
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A13/08
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H15/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/10
Copa Chile
67.4Avg total
32.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)33.531.565.1+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.031.064.0+2.060%-
Last 30 away (9)34.132.166.2+2.067%-
Last 10 (10)32.834.667.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.229.662.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.737.166.9-7.429%-
vs Similar (6)34.531.866.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.024.761.7+12.3100%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arabe Valparaiso wins
1
Sergio Ceppi wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/22HCatolica50-57
07/10/22ALuis Matte Larrain87-79 OT
25/09/22ASergio Ceppi53-67
31/07/22ASergio Ceppi106-75
26/07/22HSportiva Italiana81-108
23/07/22HBrisas70-73
16/07/22ABoston C. C.62-85
10/07/22AManquehue58-75
03/07/22AStadio Italiano76-82
21/06/22ALuis Matte Larrain71-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/22ACatolica58-71
15/10/22HLuis Matte Larrain93-65
25/09/22HArabe Valparaiso67-53
13/08/22ABoston C. C.51-72
08/08/22HBoston C. C.44-63
31/07/22HArabe Valparaiso75-106
28/07/22HSportiva Italiana65-95
23/07/22ALuis Matte Larrain65-63
18/07/22HManquehue63-57
16/07/22AManquehue67-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game63.350.070.0
Allowed / game67.757.073.0
Point differential-4.3-7.0-3.0
Avg total131.0107.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%0%50%
Sergio Ceppi
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game72.780.058.0
Allowed / game63.059.071.0
Point differential+9.7+21.0-13.0
Avg total135.7139.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion440100%110.060.8+49.2
2 Ancud440100%102.068.2+33.8
3 Leones Quilpue330100%81.051.0+30.0
4 Sportiva Italiana220100%80.564.0+16.5
5 Valdivia54180%81.872.8+9.0
6 CD Puerto Varas43175%95.273.0+22.2
7 Manquehue43175%82.059.8+22.2
8 Catolica43175%75.854.8+21.0
9 Truenos De Talca43175%71.870.2+1.5
10 Tinguiririca43175%67.570.8-3.2
11 Espanol Osorno32167%88.074.0+14.0
12 Sergio Ceppi32167%72.763.0+9.7
13 Boston C. C.32167%62.367.7-5.3
14 Las Animas53260%81.680.2+1.4
15 Puente Alto21150%76.052.5+23.5
16 Quilicura42250%76.867.2+9.5
17 Deportes Castro42250%73.876.2-2.5
18 Espanol de Talca31233%74.771.3+3.3
19 Arabe Valparaiso31233%63.367.7-4.3
20 Liceo Pablo Neruda31233%73.080.0-7.0
21 Municipal Chillan31233%67.084.0-17.0
22 Tomas Lawrence41325%66.276.5-10.2
23 Puerto Montt41325%68.886.5-17.8
24 Liceo Curico41325%51.069.2-18.2
25 Brisas41325%50.074.8-24.8
26 Stadio Italiano2020%60.071.0-11.0
27 Temuco4040%69.287.5-18.2
28 Luis Matte Larrain4040%58.892.0-33.2
29 CDSC Osorno4040%57.092.8-35.8
30 Aleman4040%48.589.0-40.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso201215956
Sergio Ceppi2010162571
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