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Catolica vs Liceo Pablo Neruda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 94-60
29-19 21-15 21-9 23-17
Position#12
Record6-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#13
Record4-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game83.1
ChileLNB· Estadio Palestino
Other2023-24
Meetings · Catolica v Liceo Pablo Neruda
26 Apr 2024
CATO94
LICE60
30 Sep 2023
CATO72
LICE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Catolica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liceo Pablo Neruda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CatolicaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCatolica
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 57
A17/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
73avg 57
H22/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
59-78
59
78
-19
42avg 57
H23/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
85-68
85
68
+17
82avg 57
A29/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 57
A30/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
68avg 57
H08/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 57
H14/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
58-66
58
66
-8
51avg 57
H14/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
61-91
61
91
-30
45avg 57
A20/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
76-89
76
89
-13
60avg 57
A21/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
13-21
19-10
22-27
25-24
23-24
17-16
16-13
13-18
20-21
13-18
13-21
14-19
24-21
24-12
23-16
18-23
16-19
14-22
24-20
11-20
18-19
18-15
25-18
23-15
13-29
27-17
16-23
18-7
10-23
13-17
17-19
16-24
10-17
21-27
14-23
17-18
23-21
16-30
20-20
152.7Avg total
72.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.980.0153.9-6.126%
Season at home (10)74.577.3151.8-2.840%
Season away (13)73.582.1155.5-8.615%
Last 10 (10)72.280.5152.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)71.283.4154.6-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)64.181.8145.9-17.86%
vs Similar (8)75.578.4153.9-2.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)73.575.5149.0-2.050%
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeruda
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
67avg 60
A17/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
57-95
57
95
-38
51avg 60
H23/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
82-74
82
74
+8
70avg 60
H24/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
52-84
52
84
-32
50avg 60
A30/03
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
68-96
68
96
-28
59avg 60
A31/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
78-92
78
92
-14
70avg 60
A06/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
68-113
68
113
-45
55avg 60
A07/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
79-91
79
91
-12
74avg 60
H13/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 60
H14/04
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
88-102
88
102
-14
76avg 60
A21/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-6
21-23
17-21
13-24
18-19
22-18
5-30
12-28
20-28
24-15
16-17
22-14
11-15
12-18
17-29
12-22
19-12
20-21
16-42
13-21
21-24
16-24
17-23
24-21
21-21
15-30
24-37
8-25
21-14
25-20
17-24
16-33
19-12
14-26
15-22
31-25
21-18
22-28
25-28
20-28
162.3Avg total
71.7Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)69.883.1152.9-13.318%
Season at home (11)70.978.5149.4-7.527%
Season away (11)68.787.7156.5-19.09%
Last 10 (10)71.790.6162.3-18.910%
Last 5 (5)78.496.6175.0-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)69.086.3155.3-17.212%
vs Similar (3)75.074.3149.3+0.767%
vs Weaker (2)81.568.5150.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Catolica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -10.4-10.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -7.0-7.0
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -10.4-10.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -7.0-7.0
CatolicaLiceo Pablo Neruda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CatolicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A17/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H22/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H23/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A29/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A30/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H08/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H14/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H14/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A20/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/04
LNB
74.6Avg total
34.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.241.174.2-7.917%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.040.875.8-5.815%-
Last 30 away (17)31.841.273.0-9.518%-
Last 10 (10)34.040.674.6-6.610%-
Last 5 (5)31.838.670.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.842.272.9-11.412%-
vs Similar (8)35.639.274.9-3.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.340.576.8-4.217%-
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A17/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A30/03
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A31/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A07/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/04
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A21/04
LNB
76.9Avg total
37.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.276.6-3.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.938.176.0-0.269%-
Last 30 away (14)34.842.677.4-7.829%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.276.9-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.482.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.140.976.0-5.844%-
vs Similar (3)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Weaker (2)47.030.577.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Catolica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Catolicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Catolica: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.519.7
44.3%
50.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
32.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.110.4
68.9%
70.3%10.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.6
49.5%
50.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.4%
32.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws14.69.6
65.8%
70.3%9.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Catolica
LLLLLLWLWL
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LLLLLLLWLL
#12
League position
#13
-10.9
Net rating
-26.2
93.7
Offensive rating
93.1
104.6
Defensive rating
119.3
45.7%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
22.9%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.3%
3-point %
32.4%
54.3%
Assist %
57.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 93.1Defence104.6 · 119.3Shooting45.7% · 49.2%3-point %32.3% · 32.4%Ball care17.0% · 22.9%Off. rebounds24.4% · 26.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Catolica   ■ Liceo Pablo Neruda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Catolica wins
2
Liceo Pablo Neruda wins
Catolicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ASportiva Italiana76-89
20/04/24APuente Alto61-91
14/04/24HNaviera Ulloa58-66
14/04/24HAncud79-84
08/04/24HU. De Concepcion82-87 OT
30/03/24AU. De Concepcion72-84
29/03/24AEspanol de Talca85-68
23/03/24HEspanol Osorno59-78
22/03/24HLas Animas81-77
17/03/24ACD Puerto Varas69-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24AValdivia88-102
14/04/24HSportiva Italiana79-85
13/04/24HPuente Alto79-91
07/04/24ASportiva Italiana68-113
06/04/24APuente Alto78-92
31/03/24AAncud68-96
30/03/24ANaviera Ulloa52-84
24/03/24HEspanol de Talca82-74
23/03/24HU. De Concepcion57-95
17/03/24ALas Animas66-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Catolica
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %26%40%15%
Points / game73.974.573.5
Allowed / game80.077.382.1
Point differential-6.1-2.8-8.6
Avg total153.9151.8155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%10%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %13%10%15%
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%27%9%
Points / game69.870.968.7
Allowed / game83.178.587.7
Point differential-13.3-7.5-19.0
Avg total152.9149.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ancud2219386%84.277.5+6.7
2 Leones Quilpue2319483%84.668.1+16.5
3 U. De Concepcion2318578%86.979.3+7.7
4 Espanol Osorno2217577%82.469.0+13.4
5 Las Animas2213959%82.180.9+1.2
6 Valdivia22121055%84.782.0+2.7
7 Puente Alto22101245%78.977.5+1.5
8 Naviera Ulloa22101245%70.470.1+0.3
9 CD Puerto Varas2291341%80.683.0-2.4
10 Sportiva Italiana2291341%78.282.5-4.3
11 Catolica2361726%73.980.0-6.1
12 Puerto Montt2251723%68.782.8-14.1
13 Espanol de Talca2351822%75.385.4-10.1
14 Liceo Pablo Neruda2241818%69.883.1-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Catolica2921212394
Liceo Pablo Neruda191591760
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