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Liceo Pablo Neruda vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:45
Final 57-95
18-19 22-18 5-30 12-28
Position#13
Record3-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game76.6
Liceo Pablo Neruda
Chile
vs
U. De Concepcion 🏆
Chile
Position#2
Record9-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game80.3
ChileLNB· Coliseo Universidad Autónoma
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liceo Pablo Neruda v U. De Concepcion
23 Mar 2024
LICE57
U. D95
13 Oct 2023
LICE61
U. D96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liceo Pablo Neruda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Liceo Pablo NerudaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeruda
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
56avg 58
H20/01
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 58
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
60-69
60
69
-9
53avg 58
H09/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
72avg 58
H10/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
67-87
67
87
-20
63avg 58
A02/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 58
A03/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
57avg 58
H09/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
61-63
61
63
-2
47avg 58
H10/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
51-88
51
88
-37
44avg 58
A16/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
67avg 58
A17/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
12-26
12-10
19-23
24-13
12-19
16-25
18-16
21-17
24-15
9-20
6-17
26-25
20-17
11-12
20-21
13-25
19-28
14-22
21-12
17-19
22-18
15-17
23-20
16-19
15-10
17-23
19-24
23-11
14-15
9-19
15-18
9-20
15-28
16-17
11-23
15-6
21-23
17-21
13-24
141.7Avg total
65.8Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.176.6144.7-8.523%
Season at home (7)69.074.0143.0-5.029%
Season away (6)67.079.7146.7-12.717%
Last 10 (10)65.875.9141.7-10.120%
Last 5 (5)64.475.0139.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)66.586.6153.2-20.114%
vs Similar (6)71.273.8145.0-2.767%
vs Weaker (2)81.568.5150.0+13.0100%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
no box
H02/02
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
84-70
84
70
+14
76avg 82
H03/02
LNB
Franca
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
59avg 82
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 82
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
87-67
87
67
+20
82avg 82
H02/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
99-89 OT
99
89
+10
no box
H03/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
90-94
90
94
-4
85avg 82
A08/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 82
A09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
68avg 82
H16/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
71avg 82
H17/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
21-31
24-17
20-15
29-13
13-17
25-22
17-18
22-22
22-26
14-23
14-17
15-26
19-11
11-11
20-31
25-13
28-19
22-14
12-21
28-22
21-21
11-20
21-18
26-19
18-26
25-24
21-25
22-26
17-14
24-14
15-18
21-26
21-18
13-14
18-12
23-15
20-18
19-20
16-20
162.6Avg total
82.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.280.3165.5+4.875%
Season at home (8)86.180.2166.4+5.988%
Season away (4)83.280.5163.8+2.850%
Last 10 (10)82.680.0162.6+2.670%
Last 5 (5)83.679.6163.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.890.5161.3-19.70%
vs Similar (4)83.589.8173.2-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.265.6154.8+23.7100%
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
Liceo Pablo NerudaU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H20/01
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H09/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H10/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H09/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H10/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A16/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A17/03
LNB
73.2Avg total
35.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.242.176.3-7.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.039.876.8-2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)31.544.475.9-12.927%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.573.2-1.870%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.867.2-0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.344.376.6-12.036%-
vs Similar (6)37.237.875.0-0.750%-
vs Weaker (2)47.030.577.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H02/02
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/02
LNB
Franca
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H02/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H03/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H16/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H17/03
LNB
84.2Avg total
43.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.838.181.8+5.752%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.337.883.2+7.558%-
Last 30 away (10)40.838.579.3+2.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.884.2+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.084.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.049.784.7-14.70%-
vs Similar (4)39.547.587.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.432.479.8+15.079%-
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.6
47.7%
50.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
32.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws13.69.2
67.6%
70.3%9.2
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.2
51.0%
50.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.912.9
72.1%
70.3%12.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LLLLWLWLLL
U. De Concepcion
WWWLWWLLWW
#13
League position
#2
-14.3
Net rating
+1.0
91.0
Offensive rating
103.0
105.2
Defensive rating
102.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
23.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.2%
3-point %
32.7%
62.7%
Assist %
59.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.0 · 103.0Defence105.2 · 102.0Shooting48.5% · 50.2%3-point %33.2% · 32.7%Ball care23.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds26.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Liceo Pablo Neruda   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liceo Pablo Neruda wins
4
U. De Concepcion wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24U. De Concepcion v Liceo Pablo Neruda87-67
05/01/24U. De Concepcion v Liceo Pablo Neruda111-68
15/10/23U. De Concepcion v Liceo Pablo Neruda144-76
13/10/23Liceo Pablo Neruda v U. De Concepcion61-96
Liceo Pablo Nerudalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24ALas Animas66-74
16/03/24AEspanol Osorno51-88
10/03/24HLas Animas61-63
09/03/24HEspanol Osorno67-76
03/03/24AEspanol de Talca77-74
02/03/24AU. De Concepcion67-87
10/02/24HAncud77-75
09/02/24HNaviera Ulloa60-69
27/01/24HValdivia70-73
20/01/24HLeones Quilpue62-80
U. De Concepcionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HSportiva Italiana78-73
16/03/24HPuente Alto73-70
09/03/24ASportiva Italiana78-72
08/03/24APuente Alto90-94
03/03/24HValdivia99-89 OT
02/03/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda87-67
09/02/24AObras Sanitarias65-79
08/02/24AFranca72-88
03/02/24HPuerto Montt84-70
02/02/24HCD Puerto Varas100-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liceo Pablo Neruda
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game68.169.067.0
Allowed / game76.674.079.7
Point differential-8.5-5.0-12.7
Avg total144.7143.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
U. De Concepcion
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %75%88%50%
Points / game85.286.183.2
Allowed / game80.380.280.5
Point differential+4.8+5.9+2.8
Avg total165.5166.4163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %25%25%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ancud1614288%83.276.6+6.6
2 Leones Quilpue1412286%83.667.4+16.1
3 U. De Concepcion129375%85.280.3+4.8
4 Espanol Osorno1611569%78.869.1+9.7
5 Las Animas1610662%81.278.4+2.8
6 CD Puerto Varas168850%82.282.2+0.1
7 Valdivia146843%84.884.3+0.5
8 Puente Alto156940%76.778.4-1.7
9 Sportiva Italiana145936%76.681.4-4.9
10 Naviera Ulloa1551033%73.977.3-3.5
11 Catolica1551033%75.279.5-4.3
12 Puerto Montt1651131%68.980.4-11.5
13 Espanol de Talca123925%80.187.8-7.7
14 Liceo Pablo Neruda1331023%68.176.6-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liceo Pablo Neruda182251257
U. De Concepcion1918302895
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