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Liceo Pablo Neruda vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 82-74
20-28 24-15 16-17 22-14
Position#13
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game77.9
Liceo Pablo Neruda 🏆
Chile
vs
Espanol de Talca
Chile
Position#14
Record3-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.5
ChileLNB· Coliseo Universidad Autónoma
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liceo Pablo Neruda v Espanol de Talca
24 Mar 2024
LICE82
ESPA74
22 Nov 2023
LICE100
ESPA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liceo Pablo Neruda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Espanol de Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Liceo Pablo NerudaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeruda
Date
Competition
Valdivia
#6
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 58
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
60-69
60
69
-9
53avg 58
H09/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
72avg 58
H10/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
67-87
67
87
-20
63avg 58
A02/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 58
A03/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
57avg 58
H09/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
61-63
61
63
-2
47avg 58
H10/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
51-88
51
88
-37
44avg 58
A16/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
67avg 58
A17/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
57-95
57
95
-38
51avg 58
H23/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
12-19
16-25
18-16
21-17
24-15
9-20
6-17
26-25
20-17
11-12
20-21
13-25
19-28
14-22
21-12
17-19
22-18
15-17
23-20
16-19
15-10
17-23
19-24
23-11
14-15
9-19
15-18
9-20
15-28
16-17
11-23
15-6
21-23
17-21
13-24
18-19
22-18
5-30
12-28
142.7Avg total
65.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.377.9145.2-10.621%
Season at home (8)67.576.6144.1-9.125%
Season away (6)67.079.7146.7-12.717%
Last 10 (10)65.377.4142.7-12.120%
Last 5 (5)60.479.2139.6-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)66.187.0153.1-20.913%
vs Similar ◀ (5)71.076.0147.0-5.060%
vs Weaker (2)81.568.5150.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Puerto Montt
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 55
H02/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
84-97
84
97
-13
78avg 55
H03/02
LNB
Catolica
#12
L
75-76
75
76
-1
69avg 55
A10/02
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
94-92
94
92
+2
85avg 55
H02/03
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 55
H03/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
75-95
75
95
-20
64avg 55
A08/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
74-87
74
87
-13
57avg 55
A09/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
88-82
88
82
+6
90avg 55
H16/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
62avg 55
H17/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
65-98
65
98
-33
52avg 55
A23/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
27-15
17-22
24-20
28-26
16-24
21-28
19-19
15-26
23-19
18-17
19-14
26-25
14-22
28-25
26-20
19-17
18-22
17-15
20-23
27-26
15-25
15-22
18-22
15-18
21-26
13-27
25-16
25-25
27-17
10-25
26-15
22-25
18-18
10-20
27-16
15-30
14-13
19-28
17-27
165.7Avg total
79.4Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.988.5167.5-9.623%
Season at home (7)83.484.0167.4-0.643%
Season away (6)73.793.8167.5-20.20%
Last 10 (10)79.486.3165.7-6.930%
Last 5 (5)75.888.2164.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)65.488.2153.6-22.87%
vs Similar ◀ (2)81.078.5159.5+2.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
Liceo Pablo NerudaEspanol de Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valdivia
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H09/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H10/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H09/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H10/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A16/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A17/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/03
LNB
73.1Avg total
36.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.542.276.6-7.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.539.977.4-2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)31.544.475.9-12.927%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.573.1+0.180%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.867.4-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.644.076.6-11.439%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.038.476.4-0.460%-
vs Weaker (2)47.030.577.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Montt
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H02/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H03/02
LNB
Catolica
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A10/02
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H02/03
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A08/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A09/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H16/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H17/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A23/03
LNB
84.7Avg total
40.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.545.277.7-12.77%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.643.677.3-10.012%-
Last 30 away (13)31.047.278.2-16.20%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.284.7-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.684.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)31.845.677.5-13.84%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.038.580.5+3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 64.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.8
47.7%
50.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.8
31.2%
32.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws13.28.7
65.9%
70.3%8.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Espanol de Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espanol de Talca: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.120.8
48.3%
50.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.1
32.1%
32.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.616.0
65.0%
70.3%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LLLLLWLWLL
Espanol de Talca
LLWLLLWLLW
#13
League position
#14
-18.2
Net rating
-8.0
88.4
Offensive rating
101.5
106.6
Defensive rating
109.5
47.4%
Effective FG%
48.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
23.9%
Turnover %
19.8%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.2%
3-point %
32.1%
62.6%
Assist %
53.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence88.4 · 101.5Defence106.6 · 109.5Shooting47.4% · 48.2%3-point %31.2% · 32.1%Ball care23.9% · 19.8%Off. rebounds25.8% · 35.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Liceo Pablo Neruda   ■ Espanol de Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Liceo Pablo Neruda wins
0
Espanol de Talca wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Espanol de Talca v Liceo Pablo Neruda74-77
26/11/23Espanol de Talca v Liceo Pablo Neruda57-63
22/11/23Liceo Pablo Neruda v Espanol de Talca100-80
Liceo Pablo Nerudalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HU. De Concepcion57-95
17/03/24ALas Animas66-74
16/03/24AEspanol Osorno51-88
10/03/24HLas Animas61-63
09/03/24HEspanol Osorno67-76
03/03/24AEspanol de Talca77-74
02/03/24AU. De Concepcion67-87
10/02/24HAncud77-75
09/02/24HNaviera Ulloa60-69
27/01/24HValdivia70-73
Espanol de Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AValdivia65-98
17/03/24HPuente Alto77-79
16/03/24HSportiva Italiana88-82
09/03/24APuente Alto74-87
08/03/24ASportiva Italiana75-95
03/03/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda74-77
02/03/24HValdivia94-92
10/02/24ACatolica75-76
03/02/24HCD Puerto Varas84-97
02/02/24HPuerto Montt88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liceo Pablo Neruda
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %21%25%17%
Points / game67.367.567.0
Allowed / game77.976.679.7
Point differential-10.6-9.1-12.7
Avg total145.2144.1146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Espanol de Talca
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%43%0%
Points / game78.983.473.7
Allowed / game88.584.093.8
Point differential-9.6-0.6-20.2
Avg total167.5167.4167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ancud1614288%83.276.6+6.6
2 Leones Quilpue1513287%82.966.5+16.4
3 U. De Concepcion1310377%85.978.5+7.4
4 Espanol Osorno1712571%78.868.5+10.2
5 Las Animas1710759%79.678.1+1.5
6 CD Puerto Varas168850%82.282.2+0.1
7 Valdivia157847%85.783.0+2.7
8 Puente Alto156940%76.778.4-1.7
9 Sportiva Italiana145936%76.681.4-4.9
10 Naviera Ulloa1551033%73.977.3-3.5
11 Catolica1651131%74.279.4-5.2
12 Puerto Montt1651131%68.980.4-11.5
13 Espanol de Talca1331023%78.988.5-9.6
14 Liceo Pablo Neruda1431121%67.377.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liceo Pablo Neruda2024162282
Espanol de Talca2815171474
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