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CD Puerto Varas vs Leones Quilpue Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 71-83
Projected total 153.8
Final 68-103
13-23 17-26 16-26 22-28
Position#8
Record24-30
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game81.8
CD Puerto Varas
Chile
Vs
15%
85%
■ CD P 15%■ LEON 85%
Pythia win probability
Leones Quilpue 🏆
Chile
Position#2
Record40-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game75.5
ChileLNBLNB - Quarter-finals· Gimnasio Fiscal de Puerto Varas
Other2026-27
Meetings · CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue
11 Nov 2026
CD P68
LEON103
31 Oct 2026
CD P61
LEON86
01 Jun 2025
CD P64
LEON67
13 Mar 2025
CD P78
LEON64
16 Mar 2024
CD P90
LEON81
28 Jan 2023
CD P53
LEON87
05 Feb 2022
CD P82
LEON78
23 Nov 2019
CD P87
LEON75
09 Feb 2019
CD P93
LEON76
31 Oct 2015
CD P100
LEON106
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

CD Puerto Varas will host Leones Quilpue on 11 November 2026 in the LNB, and the Pythia model names Leones Quilpue the clear favourite with an 85% chance of victory, driven by their 40-11 record, 82.7 points per game and 75.5 allowed per game, placing them second in the league. CD Puerto Varas, 24-30 overall, averages 77.9 points and concedes 81.8, but they shine at home with a 17-9 record, 80.8 points scored and 79.2 allowed, though their last five games were 2-3. Their recent outings include a 62-74 loss to Leones Quilpue away on 8 November, a 69-97 defeat on 7 November, and a 82-68 home win over Espanol Osorno on 1 November. Leones Quilpue, 40-11 overall and 18-7 on the road, have won every one of their last five games, with recent victories of 74-62 and 97-69 over CD Puerto Varas at home and a 89-68 win away on 1 November. In head-to-head, Leones Quilpue lead 8-2 and last met on 8 November with a 74-62 win. The Pythia projection is 71-83, a total of 153.8 points, with a 15% probability that CD Puerto Varas will win and a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Puerto Varas winLost
14.8%fair 6.77
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leones Quilpue winWon
85.2%fair 1.17
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD Puerto VarasChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaras
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
64avg 70
A07/10
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
75avg 70
A08/10
LNB
Puente Alto
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
53avg 70
H14/10
LNB
Valdivia
#3
L
61-103
61
103
-42
37avg 70
H18/10
LNB
Valdivia
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
74avg 70
A24/10
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
67avg 70
A26/10
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
61-86
61
86
-25
50avg 70
H31/10
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#6
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H01/11
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
A07/11
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
no box
A08/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
21-21
21-25
16-15
19-25
16-26
19-31
30-16
15-25
16-18
16-11
23-21
18-26
12-27
18-28
13-22
22-22
12-28
23-26
26-20
10-19
21-17
16-18
31-15
11-17
13-29
14-17
23-23
13-19
41-16
16-20
12-13
25-29
11-15
19-24
14-29
13-28
17-8
13-19
19-19
158.1Avg total
72.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)77.981.8159.7-3.944%
Season at home (26)80.879.2160.0+1.665%
Season away (28)75.284.2159.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)72.685.5158.1-12.920%
Last 5 (5)70.478.8149.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.687.9162.6-13.322%
vs Similar (10)76.378.8155.1-2.540%
vs Weaker (2)89.568.0157.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones QuilpueChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuilpue
Date
Competition
Ancud
#10
W
85-75
85
75
+10
85avg 75
H07/10
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
99avg 75
H08/10
LNB
Puerto Montt
#9
W
75-54
75
54
+21
69avg 75
H10/10
LNB
Puente Alto
#4
W
90-66
90
66
+24
84avg 75
H23/10
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
64-89
64
89
-25
50avg 75
A25/10
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
87avg 75
A29/10
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
86-61
86
61
+25
72avg 75
A31/10
LNB
Puerto Montt
#9
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
A01/11
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
97-69
97
69
+28
no box
H07/11
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
74-62
74
62
+12
no box
H08/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
25-17
20-17
22-26
25-19
26-16
31-19
16-30
15-16
18-15
24-13
18-10
25-8
24-15
18-23
23-20
14-15
14-29
16-22
20-23
29-12
21-19
24-22
17-28
17-11
29-13
17-14
23-23
20-23
22-12
21-21
26-12
29-25
15-11
24-19
29-14
28-13
8-17
19-13
19-19
155.8Avg total
84.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)82.775.5158.2+7.278%
Season at home (26)82.672.7155.3+10.085%
Season away (25)82.878.5161.3+4.372%
Last 10 (10)84.970.9155.8+14.090%
Last 5 (5)87.468.2155.6+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.381.3158.6-4.057%
vs Similar (2)77.578.5156.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.269.0154.3+16.2100%
This opponent (CD Puerto Varas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155Actual: Over 155
Over 155
46.6%
Under 155
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160Actual: Over 160
Over 160
34.5%
Under 160
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165Actual: Over 165
Over 165
24.0%
Under 165
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

CD Puerto Varas total 78.5Actual: CD Puerto Varas under 78.5
Over 78.5
22.7%
Under 78.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CD Puerto Varas total 82.5Actual: CD Puerto Varas under 82.5
Over 82.5
13.0%
Under 82.5
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CD Puerto Varas total 86.5Actual: CD Puerto Varas under 86.5
Over 86.5
6.8%
Under 86.5
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leones Quilpue total 73Actual: Leones Quilpue over 73
Over 73
84.7%
Under 73
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leones Quilpue total 77Actual: Leones Quilpue over 77
Over 77
73.1%
Under 77
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leones Quilpue total 81Actual: Leones Quilpue over 81
Over 81
57.9%
Under 81
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread CD Puerto Varas -3Actual: Leones Quilpue +3
CD P -3
10.1%
LEON +3
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
CD P
No market prices yet.
LEON
No market prices yet.
Spread CD Puerto Varas 0Actual: Leones Quilpue 0
CD P 0
14.8%
LEON 0
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
CD P
No market prices yet.
LEON
No market prices yet.
Spread CD Puerto Varas +3Actual: Leones Quilpue -3
CD P +3
19.8%
LEON -3
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
CD P
No market prices yet.
LEON
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
CD Puerto VarasLeones Quilpue
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD Puerto VarasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A07/10
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A08/10
LNB
Puente Alto
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H14/10
LNB
Valdivia
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H18/10
LNB
Valdivia
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A24/10
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A26/10
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H31/10
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#6
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H01/11
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/11
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/11
LNB
78.7Avg total
34.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.343.180.4-5.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.281.6-0.864%-
Last 30 away (16)34.544.879.2-10.219%-
Last 10 (10)34.444.378.7-9.910%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.474.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.745.982.6-9.222%-
vs Similar (10)38.440.478.8-2.060%-
vs Weaker (2)36.531.568.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ancud
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/10
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H08/10
LNB
Puerto Montt
#9
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H10/10
LNB
Puente Alto
#4
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H23/10
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A25/10
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A29/10
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A31/10
LNB
Puerto Montt
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A01/11
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/11
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H08/11
LNB
74.3Avg total
42.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.034.777.7+8.383%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.832.976.7+10.894%-
Last 30 away (13)42.037.179.1+4.969%-
Last 10 (10)42.232.174.3+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)43.631.274.8+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.340.781.0-0.457%-
vs Similar (2)40.046.586.5-6.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.231.675.8+12.695%-
This opponent (CD Puerto Varas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Puerto Varastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Puerto Varas: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.9
53.5%
52.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.0
24.3%
31.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
71.0%14.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leones Quilpuetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones Quilpue: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.2
54.0%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.111.6
35.0%
31.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.611.8
67.0%
71.0%11.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Puerto Varas
LLWLWLLLLL
Leones Quilpue
WWWWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#2
-20.9
Net rating
+24.1
77.6
Offensive rating
95.6
98.5
Defensive rating
71.5
46.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
24.3%
3-point %
35.0%
51.3%
Assist %
58.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence77.6 · 95.6Defence98.5 · 71.5Shooting46.9% · 53.3%3-point %24.3% · 35.0%Ball care15.0% · 14.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ CD Puerto Varas   ■ Leones Quilpue
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CD Puerto Varas wins
8
Leones Quilpue wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas74-62
07/11/26Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas97-69
31/10/26CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue61-86
08/10/26Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas98-84
02/06/25CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue64-67
21/05/25Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas73-70
20/05/25Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas66-63
14/03/25CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue78-64
06/03/25Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas89-56
16/03/24CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue90-81
CD Puerto Varaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ALeones Quilpue62-74
07/11/26ALeones Quilpue69-97
01/11/26HEspanol Osorno82-68
31/10/26HLeones Quilpue61-86
26/10/26AEspanol Osorno78-69
24/10/26AValdivia83-96
18/10/26HValdivia61-103
14/10/26HPuente Alto70-75
08/10/26ALeones Quilpue84-98
07/10/26APuente Alto76-89
Leones Quilpuelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HCD Puerto Varas74-62
07/11/26HCD Puerto Varas97-69
01/11/26APuerto Montt89-68
31/10/26ACD Puerto Varas86-61
29/10/26AAncud91-81
25/10/26AU. De Concepcion64-89
23/10/26HPuente Alto90-66
10/10/26HPuerto Montt75-54
08/10/26HCD Puerto Varas98-84
07/10/26HAncud85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Puerto Varas
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeLLLLW65%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542628
Win %44%65%25%
Points / game77.980.875.2
Allowed / game81.879.284.2
Point differential-3.9+1.6-9.0
Avg total159.7160.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)75% (12)50% (6)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Leones Quilpue
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLWWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %78%85%72%
Points / game82.782.682.8
Allowed / game75.572.778.5
Point differential+7.2+10.0+4.3
Avg total158.2155.3161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (3)100% (6)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion4638883%93.078.0+15.0
2 Leones Quilpue51401178%82.775.5+7.2
3 Valdivia46361078%86.875.2+11.7
4 Puente Alto45242153%81.380.3+1.0
5 Las Animas38201853%84.280.6+3.6
6 Espanol Osorno50252550%78.478.4+0.0
7 CD Puerto Varas54243044%77.981.8-3.9
8 Boston C. C.1881044%82.393.7-11.4
9 Puerto Montt44192543%78.381.1-2.8
10 Ancud43152835%80.383.7-3.3
11 Catolica34112332%76.482.7-6.4
12 Naviera Ulloa34102429%78.188.1-10.0
13 Colo Colo35102529%78.681.6-3.0
14 Espanol de Talca3252716%76.189.6-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Puerto Varas1317162268
Leones Quilpue23262628103
← all games of the day
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