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CDEFF W vs Natacao W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-75
16-22 22-23 30-16 21-14
Position#11
Record3-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game65.1
CDEFF W 🏆
Portugal
vs
Natacao W
Portugal
Position#8
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game67.7
PortugalLFB WomenRound 10· Pavilhao Francisco Franco
Women2023-24
Meetings · CDEFF W v Natacao W
03 Dec 2023
CDEF89
NATA75
25 Feb 2023
CDEF65
NATA49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CDEFF W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CDEFF WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
60-62
60
62
-2
no box
A05/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
W
60-50
60
50
+10
54avg 50
A01/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
62-51
62
51
+11
53avg 50
H06/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
59-80
59
80
-21
41avg 50
H08/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
75-52
75
52
+23
62avg 50
A15/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
53-63
53
63
-10
38avg 50
H22/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
58-60
58
60
-2
54avg 50
H28/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
47-79
47
79
-32
30avg 50
A04/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
62-74
62
74
-12
50avg 50
A19/11
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
65avg 50
H24/11
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
19-17
11-17
10-13
11-16
17-8
10-15
22-11
17-15
8-12
15-14
22-10
19-17
7-16
24-26
9-21
23-14
22-11
18-12
12-15
13-14
13-19
7-14
20-16
9-16
15-18
22-13
12-13
9-18
17-28
10-12
11-21
21-8
21-21
4-19
16-26
31-25
17-12
12-21
10-19
125.4Avg total
60.6Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)60.765.1125.8-4.433%
Season at home (5)60.466.2126.6-5.820%
Season away (4)61.063.8124.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)60.664.8125.4-4.230%
Last 5 (5)58.070.6128.6-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)56.967.7124.6-10.713%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.159.5126.6+7.662%
vs Weaker (7)67.659.3126.9+8.386%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AD Vagos W
#11
W
61-49
61
49
+12
no box
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 51
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 51
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
42-75
42
75
-33
22avg 51
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
66avg 51
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
63-68
63
68
-5
56avg 51
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 51
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
42-77
42
77
-35
20avg 51
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 51
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
65-53
65
53
+12
57avg 51
A02/12
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
7-8
16-12
19-17
24-20
19-20
18-13
13-16
20-19
18-21
21-17
21-18
6-16
7-20
14-25
15-14
24-11
12-23
22-14
12-17
15-8
14-21
14-20
20-19
19-20
7-12
10-15
17-20
7-21
18-23
3-22
14-11
26-14
17-12
19-20
5-14
13-11
15-18
17-17
20-7
127.5Avg total
61.7Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)61.867.7129.4-5.956%
Season at home (5)57.669.8127.4-12.240%
Season away (4)67.065.0132.0+2.075%
Last 10 (10)61.765.8127.5-4.160%
Last 5 (5)58.065.0123.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)58.869.0127.8-10.232%
vs Similar ◀ (8)61.965.4127.2-3.538%
vs Weaker (2)58.556.0114.5+2.550%
This opponent (CDEFF W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
CDEFF WNatacao W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CDEFF WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A01/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H06/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H08/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A15/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H22/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H28/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A04/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A19/11
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H24/11
LFB Women
64.9Avg total
32.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.266.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.932.966.8+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)34.631.466.1+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)32.932.064.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.235.869.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.133.864.9-2.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.832.468.1+3.450%-
vs Weaker (7)39.328.667.9+10.771%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AD Vagos W
#11
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
13-36
13
36
-23
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A02/12
LFB Women
63.7Avg total
30.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.533.763.1-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.432.461.8-3.038%-
Last 30 away (17)29.534.664.2-5.124%-
Last 10 (10)30.733.063.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.232.062.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)28.835.664.4-6.826%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.232.163.4-0.925%-
vs Weaker (2)26.523.550.0+3.050%-
This opponent (CDEFF W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CDEFF Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CDEFF W: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.915.3
43.9%
43.3%30.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.3
27.1%
28.2%19.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.3
63.3%
72.6%10.3
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 60.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.012.3
36.3%
43.3%24.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.4
28.0%
28.2%22.3
🏀 Free throws19.413.9
71.4%
72.6%13.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CDEFF W
LLLLLWLWWL
Natacao W
WWLLLWLWWW
#11
League position
#8
-6.2
Net rating
-7.7
82.2
Offensive rating
82.5
88.5
Defensive rating
90.2
42.7%
Effective FG%
38.8%
41.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
23.8%
Turnover %
20.6%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.1%
3-point %
28.0%
54.4%
Assist %
61.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.2 · 82.5Defence88.5 · 90.2Shooting42.7% · 38.8%3-point %27.1% · 28.0%Ball care23.8% · 20.6%Off. rebounds25.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ CDEFF W   ■ Natacao W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CDEFF W wins
0
Natacao W wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23CDEFF W v Natacao W65-49
01/11/22Natacao W v CDEFF W52-74
CDEFF Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HBarcelos W70-77
19/11/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W62-74
04/11/23AImortal W47-79
28/10/23HGdessa Barreiro W58-60
22/10/23HEsgueira W53-63
15/10/23AACD Ferragudo W75-52
08/10/23HUniao Sportiva W59-80
06/10/23HGalitos W62-51
01/10/23ABenfica W60-50
05/04/23AGdessa Barreiro W60-62
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ACAB Madeira W65-53
18/11/23HGalitos W67-60
04/11/23HUniao Sportiva W42-77
29/10/23ABenfica W53-67
21/10/23HACD Ferragudo W63-68
15/10/23AImortal W70-65
08/10/23HGdessa Barreiro W42-75
05/10/23AEsgueira W80-75
01/10/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W74-69
26/03/23HAD Vagos W61-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CDEFF W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game60.760.461.0
Allowed / game65.166.263.8
Point differential-4.4-5.8-2.8
Avg total125.8126.6124.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%40%75%
Points / game61.857.667.0
Allowed / game67.769.865.0
Point differential-5.9-12.2+2.0
Avg total129.4127.4132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W108280%69.755.3+14.4
2 Gdessa Barreiro W108280%65.156.1+9.0
3 Esgueira W107370%69.061.5+7.5
4 Quinta Dos Lombos W106460%64.260.7+3.5
5 Natacao W95456%61.867.7-5.9
6 Imortal W105550%67.462.7+4.7
7 Benfica W105550%69.468.7+0.7
8 CAB Madeira W105550%62.464.4-2.0
9 CDEFF W93633%60.765.1-4.4
10 Barcelos W103730%69.575.4-5.9
11 ACD Ferragudo W102820%60.871.3-10.5
12 Galitos W102820%54.967.0-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CDEFF W1622302189
Natacao W2223161475
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