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Natacao W vs Galitos W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 67-60
26-14 17-12 19-20 5-14
Position#8
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.6
Allowed / game70.9
Natacao W 🏆
Portugal
vs
Galitos W
Portugal
Position#10
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game49.9
Allowed / game63.3
PortugalLFB WomenRound 8· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2023-24
Meetings · Natacao W v Galitos W
06 Oct 2024
NATA60
GALI63
18 Nov 2023
NATA67
GALI60
08 Dec 2022
NATA57
GALI61
03 Oct 2020
NATA54
GALI45
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galitos W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
no box
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#10
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A19/03
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#11
W
61-49
61
49
+12
no box
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 49
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 49
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
42-75
42
75
-33
22avg 49
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
66avg 49
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
63-68
63
68
-5
56avg 49
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 49
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
42-77
42
77
-35
20avg 49
H04/11
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-18
11-12
10-10
15-17
20-19
24-22
14-19
19-21
19-12
7-8
16-12
19-17
24-20
19-20
18-13
13-16
20-19
18-21
21-17
21-18
6-16
7-20
14-25
15-14
24-11
12-23
22-14
12-17
15-8
14-21
14-20
20-19
19-20
7-12
10-15
17-20
7-21
18-23
3-22
14-11
128.9Avg total
60.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)60.670.9131.4-10.343%
Season at home (4)55.272.2127.5-17.025%
Season away (3)67.769.0136.7-1.367%
Last 10 (10)60.668.3128.9-7.740%
Last 5 (5)54.070.4124.4-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)59.368.9128.2-9.635%
vs Similar ◀ (7)60.165.6125.7-5.429%
vs Weaker (2)58.556.0114.5+2.550%
This opponent (Galitos W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
no box
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Natacao W
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H19/03
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
A26/03
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
45-69
45
69
-24
28avg 31
H01/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
51-62
51
62
-11
38avg 31
A06/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
36avg 31
A08/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
32-53
32
53
-21
14avg 31
A15/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
no box
H22/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
58-65
58
65
-7
46avg 31
H29/10
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
46-77
46
77
-31
25avg 31
A04/11
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
11-17
15-18
15-13
19-20
22-24
19-14
21-19
16-23
16-20
16-16
19-11
12-23
5-22
9-17
19-7
15-17
12-8
14-15
10-22
19-10
8-18
6-14
12-8
3-14
6-12
7-6
16-21
14-17
14-13
12-17
21-14
21-26
15-15
12-13
10-11
11-25
15-24
6-14
14-14
121.8Avg total
55.7Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)49.963.3113.1-13.414%
Season at home (3)58.367.0125.3-8.733%
Season away (4)43.560.5104.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)55.766.1121.8-10.420%
Last 5 (5)50.662.4113.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)58.070.5128.6-12.515%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.470.1142.6+2.371%
vs Weaker (2)57.066.5123.5-9.50%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
Natacao WGalitos W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A19/03
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#11
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
13-36
13
36
-23
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H04/11
LFB Women
64.5Avg total
29.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.433.963.2-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.132.661.6-3.543%-
Last 30 away (16)29.635.064.6-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)29.934.664.5-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)25.835.060.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)29.135.564.7-6.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)30.132.963.0-2.729%-
vs Weaker (2)26.523.550.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Galitos W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Natacao W
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H19/03
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A26/03
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
17-45
17
45
-28
H01/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A06/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A08/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
9-26
9
26
-17
A15/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H22/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/10
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A04/11
LFB Women
64.4Avg total
27.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.337.868.1-7.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.138.671.7-5.629%-
Last 30 away (16)27.937.165.0-9.231%-
Last 10 (10)27.337.164.4-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)25.234.860.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)27.838.866.6-11.015%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.434.972.3+2.671%-
vs Weaker (2)27.041.068.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 59.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.112.1
35.6%
43.3%24.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.4
25.9%
28.2%19.3
🏀 Free throws22.316.1
72.4%
72.6%16.1
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galitos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galitos W: 45.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀70%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.7 pts a game · 70% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers7.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.315.8
38.3%
43.3%31.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.02.3
13.0%
28.2%7.0
🏀 Free throws11.56.7
58.0%
72.6%6.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
LLLWLWWWLL
Galitos W
LLWLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#10
-13.4
Net rating
-23.3
80.1
Offensive rating
63.5
93.5
Defensive rating
86.8
36.9%
Effective FG%
32.6%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
42.5%
21.1%
Turnover %
27.2%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.19
25.9%
3-point %
13.0%
56.9%
Assist %
45.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence80.1 · 63.5Defence93.5 · 86.8Shooting36.9% · 32.6%3-point %25.9% · 13.0%Ball care21.1% · 27.2%Off. rebounds23.9% · 28.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Natacao W   ■ Galitos W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Natacao W wins
3
Galitos W wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Galitos W v Natacao W81-77
08/12/22Natacao W v Galitos W57-61
20/12/20Galitos W v Natacao W84-49
03/10/20Natacao W v Galitos W54-45
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HUniao Sportiva W42-77
29/10/23ABenfica W53-67
21/10/23HACD Ferragudo W63-68
15/10/23AImortal W70-65
08/10/23HGdessa Barreiro W42-75
05/10/23AEsgueira W80-75
01/10/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W74-69
26/03/23HAD Vagos W61-49
19/03/23AGalitos W77-81
11/03/23ABenfica W44-57
Galitos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23ABarcelos W46-77
29/10/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W58-65
22/10/23HImortal W72-67 OT
15/10/23AEsgueira W32-53
08/10/23ACAB Madeira W45-50
06/10/23ACDEFF W51-62
01/10/23HGdessa Barreiro W45-69
26/03/23AGdessa Barreiro W67-70
19/03/23HNatacao W81-77
11/03/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W60-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game60.655.267.7
Allowed / game70.972.269.0
Point differential-10.3-17.0-1.3
Avg total131.4127.5136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galitos W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game49.958.343.5
Allowed / game63.367.060.5
Point differential-13.4-8.7-17.0
Avg total113.1125.3104.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W86275%73.462.1+11.2
2 Uniao Sportiva W75271%64.754.9+9.9
3 Gdessa Barreiro W75271%64.356.1+8.1
4 Imortal W85362%70.063.0+7.0
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W74357%62.461.7+0.7
6 Benfica W84450%68.568.0+0.5
7 CAB Madeira W84450%61.564.4-2.9
8 CDEFF W73443%59.162.1-3.0
9 Natacao W73443%60.670.9-10.3
10 Barcelos W72529%71.075.6-4.6
11 ACD Ferragudo W72529%63.068.6-5.6
12 Galitos W71614%49.963.3-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W261719567
Galitos W1412201460
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