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Cedevita Olimpija vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 88-77
Projected total 164.8
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game82.0
Vs
82%
18%
■ COL 82%■ SLB 18%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.6/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9· Arena Stozice
Domestic2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Cedevita Olimpija host Slovan Bratislava in the ABA League. Pythia makes Cedevita Olimpija the favourite at 82% and projects 88-77, about 165 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Cedevita Olimpija are 4-3 this season (85.1 scored, 82.0 allowed a game), form WWWWL; Slovan Bratislava are 3-3 this season (82.2 scored, 84.5 allowed a game), form WWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija win
81.9%fair 1.22
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Slovan Bratislava win
18.1%fair 5.53
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 81
A14/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#11
W
93-81
93
81
+12
91avg 81
A17/10
ABA League
Le Mans
#12
L
66-84
66
84
-18
49avg 81
H21/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
65avg 81
H24/10
ABA League
Aris
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
54avg 81
A28/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#16
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 81
H31/10
ABA League
Tortona
#17
W
73-71 OT
73
71
+2
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A07/11
ABA League
Rostock
#28
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
no box
A15/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
22-29
19-16
20-17
23-23
20-18
25-17
25-23
16-22
22-21
14-28
14-13
13-21
21-28
26-26
21-20
19-21
20-17
18-19
16-21
27-18
27-27
20-18
22-24
16-20
11-16
17-14
21-15
18-21
30-18
16-19
21-13
24-21
26-20
20-19
18-11
24-26
19-22
21-19
19-27
163.8Avg total
81.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.182.0167.1+3.157%
Season at home (3)88.786.0174.7+2.767%
Season away (4)82.579.0161.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)81.782.1163.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)85.078.8163.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.785.7161.4-10.00%
vs Similar (13)85.283.1168.2+2.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.578.2168.7+12.380%
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Slovan BratislavaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBratislava
Date
Competition
Cibona
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
87avg 77
A12/10
ABA League
MBK Handlova
#5
L
62-63
62
63
-1
54avg 77
H14/10
Extraliga
Buducnost
#4
L
70-82
70
82
-12
62avg 77
A18/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
98-91
98
91
+7
92avg 77
A22/10
ABA League
Iskra Svit
#11
W
96-77
96
77
+19
93avg 77
A27/10
Extraliga
Inter Basket
#7
W
94-64
94
64
+30
96avg 77
H30/10
Extraliga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
H01/11
ABA League
BC Komarno
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
A06/11
Extraliga
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A09/11
ABA League
Nitra Blue Wings
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
H13/11
Extraliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
22-24
28-17
22-18
14-16
12-22
12-13
24-12
7-17
18-32
20-13
25-20
27-26
23-20
22-18
26-27
32-20
23-13
21-20
20-24
21-12
26-13
27-18
20-21
17-18
20-16
13-16
16-14
19-20
23-12
31-20
15-23
28-29
18-22
14-21
20-19
13-18
33-16
21-15
11-26
158.6Avg total
82.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.284.5166.7-2.350%
Season at home (1)66.064.0130.0+2.0100%
Season away (5)85.488.6174.0-3.240%
Last 10 (10)82.276.4158.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)81.273.8155.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.687.4160.0-14.914%
vs Similar (10)82.475.8158.2+6.670%
vs Weaker (13)78.065.4143.4+12.677%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1252%1303%1354%1407%1459%15011%15512%16012%16511%1709%1757%1805%1853%1902%1951%2000%2050%210
1%1253%1357%14511%15512%1659%1755%1852%1950%205
Pythia expects about 165 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
55.2%
Under 162.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
42.6%
Under 167.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172.5
Over 172.5
30.9%
Under 172.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cedevita Olimpija total 81.5
Over 81.5
73.1%
Under 81.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cedevita Olimpija total 85.5
Over 85.5
58.5%
Under 85.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cedevita Olimpija total 89.5
Over 89.5
42.5%
Under 89.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava total 78.5
Over 78.5
44.0%
Under 78.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava total 82.5
Over 82.5
29.1%
Under 82.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava total 86.5
Over 86.5
17.4%
Under 86.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-241%-211%-181%-152%-123%-95%-66%-35%+09%+310%+610%+99%+128%+158%+186%+215%+244%+272%+302%+331%+361%+390%+42
1%-211%-153%-96%-39%+310%+98%+156%+214%+272%+331%+39
Margin from Cedevita Olimpija's side (positive = Cedevita Olimpija win). Pythia's expected margin is +10.4; Cedevita Olimpija win by 1+ in 74% of simulations.
Spread Cedevita Olimpija -3
COL -3
76.1%
SLB +3
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
COL
No market prices yet.
SLB
No market prices yet.
Spread Cedevita Olimpija 0
COL 0
81.9%
SLB 0
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
COL
No market prices yet.
SLB
No market prices yet.
Spread Cedevita Olimpija +3
COL +3
87.3%
SLB -3
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
COL
No market prices yet.
SLB
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
Cedevita OlimpijaSlovan Bratislava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A14/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/10
ABA League
Le Mans
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H24/10
ABA League
Aris
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#16
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H31/10
ABA League
Tortona
#17
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H04/11
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A07/11
ABA League
Rostock
#28
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A10/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/11
ABA League
85.2Avg total
41.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.385.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.043.585.5-1.538%-
Last 30 away (17)43.541.484.8+2.159%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.685.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.886.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.743.080.7-5.314%-
vs Similar (13)41.542.884.4-1.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.141.189.2+7.080%-
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Slovan BratislavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#14
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A12/10
ABA League
MBK Handlova
#5
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H14/10
Extraliga
Buducnost
#4
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A18/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A22/10
ABA League
Iskra Svit
#11
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A27/10
Extraliga
Inter Basket
#7
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H30/10
Extraliga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H01/11
ABA League
BC Komarno
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A06/11
Extraliga
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/11
ABA League
Nitra Blue Wings
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/11
Extraliga
80.3Avg total
41.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.937.678.5+3.359%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.233.876.0+8.575%-
Last 30 away (17)39.940.380.2-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.980.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.278.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.943.080.9-5.143%-
vs Similar (10)41.838.780.5+3.160%-
vs Weaker (12)41.933.575.4+8.467%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.1
51.1%
57.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.4
29.7%
33.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.618.7
73.0%
73.2%18.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slovan Bratislavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovan Bratislava: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.118.4
63.2%
57.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.8
38.3%
33.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.7%
73.2%12.8
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
LWWWWLLLWL
Slovan Bratislava
WLWWWWWLLW
#6
League position
#9
-2.9
Net rating
+14.8
92.3
Offensive rating
104.1
95.2
Defensive rating
89.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
60.3%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.7%
3-point %
38.3%
49.1%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 104.1Defence95.2 · 89.3Shooting48.5% · 60.3%3-point %29.7% · 38.3%Ball care15.0% · 15.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Slovan Bratislava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cedevita Olimpija wins
0
Slovan Bratislava wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACrvena zvezda83-94
10/11/26ARostock88-71
07/11/26ABorac Mozzart85-71
04/11/26HTortona73-71 OT
31/10/26HFMP Beograd96-87
28/10/26AAris73-78
24/10/26HBuducnost81-95
21/10/26HLe Mans66-84
17/10/26AIgokea93-81
14/10/26ARigas Zelli79-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HNitra Blue Wings78-75
09/11/26ACrvena zvezda80-91
06/11/26ABC Komarno88-75
01/11/26HKK Krka Novo mesto66-64
30/10/26HInter Basket94-64
27/10/26AIskra Svit96-77
22/10/26ASiroki Brijeg98-91
18/10/26ABuducnost70-82
14/10/26HMBK Handlova62-63
12/10/26ACibona90-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game85.188.782.5
Allowed / game82.086.079.0
Point differential+3.1+2.7+3.5
Avg total167.1174.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Slovan Bratislava
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %50%100%40%
Points / game82.266.085.4
Allowed / game84.564.088.6
Point differential-2.3+2.0-3.2
Avg total166.7130.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai770100%94.080.7+13.3
2 Partizan76186%88.077.0+11.0
3 Crvena zvezda76186%93.383.4+9.9
4 Buducnost75271%89.481.9+7.6
5 KK Bosna75271%89.785.9+3.9
6 Cedevita Olimpija74357%85.182.0+3.1
7 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+0.9
8 Spartak Subotica74357%83.082.3+0.7
9 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea73443%85.985.6+0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%85.786.3-0.6
13 Zadar73443%75.175.9-0.7
14 Cibona73443%86.088.1-2.1
15 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
16 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-3.3
17 Perspektiva Ilirija72529%75.379.6-4.3
18 Mega Basket72529%81.691.6-10.0
19 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-9.6
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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